黑料社区

Education sector leads weekly POS surge with 666% value spike despite overall drop

Education sector leads weekly POS surge with 666% value spike despite overall drop
This sharp increase in educational spending came despite a 1.5 percent decline in the total value of POS transactions. Getty
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Education sector leads weekly POS surge with 666% value spike despite overall drop

Education sector leads weekly POS surge with 666% value spike despite overall drop

RIYADH:聽黑料社区鈥檚 point-of-sale spending聽in the education sector saw a weekly rise of聽666 percent to reach聽SR193.26 million ($51.53 million) by聽June 21,聽according to official data.

The latest figures from the Saudi Central Bank, known as SAMA, also聽showed the number of POS transactions in the聽sector nearly doubled, climbing by 98.1 percent, indicating a significant rebound in consumer activity in this segment.

This sharp increase in educational spending came despite a 1.5 percent decline in the total value of POS transactions across the Kingdom, which dropped from SR11.1 billion to SR10.9 billion over the same period.

The weekly data further showed that transaction values rose in several other sectors, although none matched the scale of growth seen in the education division.

Spending on transportation increased by 28.7 percent, while construction and building materials saw a 25.6 percent uptick in value.

Telecommunication and health sectors both posted gains of 4.8 percent and 16.8 percent, respectively.

The electronics and electric devices segment recorded a 16.8 percent rise in spending value, and the furniture sector grew by 4.4 percent.

Slight increases were also observed in the public utilities and miscellaneous goods and services sectors, which grew by 3.5 percent and 2.1 percent, respectively.

However, several categories experienced downturns. The largest declines in transaction values were reported in the hotels and recreation and culture sectors, which fell by 9.1 percent and 14.7 percent, respectively.

Regionally, Riyadh remained the top city for POS spending, logging over SR3.91 billion in transactions, a 9.1 percent increase from the previous week. Dammam and Khobar also recorded gains, with spending in Dammam up by 8.4 percent and in Khobar by 5.1 percent.

Cities such as Makkah and Madinah recorded double-digit declines, down by 24.2 percent and 11.7 percent, respectively, in total POS transaction values.

Jeddah maintained a steady performance, with spending remaining flat at SR1.6 billion, while Tabuk saw a slight uptick of 3 percent in value.

Spending in restaurants and cafes dropped by 12.8 percent, while beverage and food transactions declined by 7.2 percent.

Jewelry purchases also contracted by 12.8 percent, and clothing and footwear fell by 7.2 percent. Other sectors, such as gas stations and the category, also saw declines of 5.1 percent.

Overall, the total number of POS transactions across all sectors dipped slightly by 0.6 percent week on week, totaling just over 202.5 million transactions during the reporting period.


Fitch affirms UAE鈥檚 鈥楢A-鈥 rating on strong external buffers, fiscal prudence

Fitch affirms UAE鈥檚 鈥楢A-鈥 rating on strong external buffers, fiscal prudence
Updated 43 min 17 sec ago

Fitch affirms UAE鈥檚 鈥楢A-鈥 rating on strong external buffers, fiscal prudence

Fitch affirms UAE鈥檚 鈥楢A-鈥 rating on strong external buffers, fiscal prudence

RIYADH: The UAE鈥檚 long-term foreign-currency rating has been affirmed at 鈥淎A-鈥 with a stable outlook by Fitch, reflecting the country鈥檚 consolidated government debt, strong net external asset position, and high gross domestic product per capita. 

The US-based rating agency noted that this outlook benefits from Abu Dhabi鈥檚 sovereign net foreign assets 鈥 amounting to 157 percent of the UAE鈥檚 gross domestic product in 2024 鈥 which rank among the highest of all Fitch-rated sovereigns. 

The agency noted the ongoing regional geopolitical risks, but it assumes the conflict involving Israel, the US, and Iran will be contained and short-lived. 

The report comes as Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire brokered by the US, which took effect on June 24, following 12 days of conflict that raised fears of a broader regional escalation. 

In its commentary, Fitch Ratings stated: 鈥淎 regional conflagration would pose a risk to Abu Dhabi鈥檚 hydrocarbon infrastructure and to Dubai as a trade, tourism and financial hub,鈥 

It emphasized that 鈥渢he UAE鈥檚 ratings could absorb some short-term disruptions given large fiscal and external buffers.鈥 

Fitch鈥檚 assessment follows S&P Global鈥檚 recent assignment of 鈥淎A/A鈥1+鈥 with a stable outlook for its foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings to the UAE, citing the country鈥檚 strong fiscal and external positions. 

The agency also noted that the UAE鈥檚 sizable asset cushion would help shield it from oil price volatility and regional geopolitical tensions. 

Fitch estimated the UAE鈥檚 consolidated fiscal surplus stood at 7.1 percent of GDP in 2024, following a level of 8.6 percent in 2023, with surpluses in Abu Dhabi and Dubai and budget deficits in Ras Al Khaimah and Sharjah. 

It projected a fiscal breakeven oil price of $45鈥$50 per barrel in 2025 and 2026, excluding investment income, which Fitch attributed partly to 鈥渞ising oil production volumes and the significant share of spending by GREs (government-related entities).鈥 

鈥淲e forecast the consolidated surplus at 5.3 percent of GDP in 2025 and 5.9 percent in 2026. Narrower deficits in Sharjah and higher oil production levels in Abu Dhabi will mitigate the forecast drop in oil prices from $79.5 per barrel in 2024 to $65/bbl in 2025 and 2026,鈥 Fitch said. 

It added: 鈥淒ubai will retain a budget surplus.鈥 

With regard to the federal government鈥檚 budget, Fitch stated that it remains below 4 percent of GDP and is primarily focused on core services.

The report emphasized that the federal budget must remain balanced by law, leaving limited scope for borrowing or adjustment. From 2026 onward, corporate tax revenue is expected to help offset reduced grants from Abu Dhabi. 

Despite moderate direct debt, Fitch views the UAE鈥檚 economy as highly leveraged. 鈥淲e estimate overall contingent liabilities from GREs of the emirates and the FG in 2023 at about 62 percent of UAE 2023 GDP,鈥 the report said, though it acknowledged that many state-owned entities are financially sound. 

Fitch forecasts UAE GDP to grow by 5.2 percent in 2025, supported by a 9 percent increase in oil production from Abu Dhabi and strong non-oil growth of over 4 percent, driven by investment and population expansion. However, it warned of risks from 鈥渓ower oil prices and global growth uncertainties.鈥 

Earlier this month, the UAE Central Bank鈥檚 Quarterly Economic Review for December 2024 reported that the country鈥檚 GDP reached 1.77 trillion dirhams ($481.4 billion) in 2024, growing 4 percent. Non-oil sectors contributed 75.5 percent of the total 鈥 highlighting continued economic diversification. 

The central bank maintained its real GDP growth forecast at 4 percent for 2024, with an anticipated acceleration to 4.5 percent in 2025 and 5.5 percent in 2026. 

On governance, Fitch said the UAE maintains an ESG Relevance Score of 鈥5[+]鈥 for political stability, rule of law, and institutional quality.

The agency credited the UAE鈥檚 鈥渞ecord of domestic political stability, strong institutional capacity, effective rule of law and a low level of corruption,鈥 referencing World Bank Governance Indicators, where the country ranks in the 70th percentile.


Lebanon鈥檚 economy to benefit from World Bank鈥檚 $250m recovery boost

Lebanon鈥檚 economy to benefit from World Bank鈥檚 $250m recovery boost
Updated 4 min 46 sec ago

Lebanon鈥檚 economy to benefit from World Bank鈥檚 $250m recovery boost

Lebanon鈥檚 economy to benefit from World Bank鈥檚 $250m recovery boost

JEDDAH: Lebanon鈥檚 battered infrastructure and strained public services are set for a boost, as the World Bank has approved $250 million to launch a broader $1 billion recovery and reconstruction initiative.

In a statement on Wednesday, the World Bank announced that its board of executive directors had approved the funding a day earlier under the Lebanon Emergency Assistance Project.

The project follows a phased approach to address response, recovery, and reconstruction, focusing on prioritizing and sequencing interventions to achieve maximum economic and social impact in the shortest possible time.

Since October 2023, Lebanon has experienced renewed turmoil due to escalating cross-border violence between Hezbollah and Israeli forces in the country鈥檚 south, which has severely damaged civilian infrastructure and disrupted essential public services.

鈥淭he Rapid Damage and Needs Assessment of the impact of the conflict in Lebanon between Oct. 8, 2023, and Dec. 20, 2024, estimated total direct damages across 10 sectors at $7.2 billion, and reconstruction and recovery needs at $11 billion,鈥 the bank said in its press release.

It added that around $1.1 billion in damage had been sustained by key infrastructure and facilities vital to public well-being and economic activity. Affected sectors include transportation, energy, water, healthcare, education, and municipal services.

鈥淐onsidering the scale of needs, the LEAP was designed to support restoration of public infrastructure and buildings, given this is a precondition to economic and social recovery,鈥 the release explained.

According to a separate World Bank report released earlier this month, Lebanon鈥檚 cumulative gross domestic product had contracted by nearly 40 percent since 2019. Meanwhile, the Lebanese pound has lost more than 98 percent of its value, driving triple-digit inflation through 2023.

The study highlighted how the collapse of the banking sector and the currency鈥檚 crash turned Lebanon into a dollarized, cash-based economy worth $9.8 billion 鈥 about 45.7 percent of GDP in 2022.

鈥淭he conflict has introduced another shock to Lebanon鈥檚 already crisis-ridden economy. While the economic contraction was anticipated to bottom out in 2023, following five years of sustained sharp contraction, the conflict and its spillovers have had negative knock-on effects on economic growth in 2023, continuing into 2024,鈥 the report said.

It further noted that since July 2023, the Lebanese pound has stabilized at 89,500 to the US dollar, which helped bring inflation down to double digits in 2024 for the first time since March 2020, following three consecutive years of triple-digit inflation.

Lebanon鈥檚 Prime Minister Nawaf Salam welcomed the news on social media, writing on his X account: 鈥淚 welcome the World Bank Board鈥檚 approval of the $250 million Lebanon Emergency Assistance Project, which represents a key step toward reconstruction by addressing damage to critical infrastructure and essential services in areas affected by the conflict.鈥

He added that the assistance reinforces national recovery efforts within a government-led implementation framework and paves the way for attracting further much-needed financing.

Jean-Christophe Carret, the World Bank鈥檚 Middle East division director, said: 鈥淕iven Lebanon鈥檚 large reconstruction needs, the LEAP is structured as a $1 billion scalable framework with an initial $250 million contribution from the World Bank and the ability to efficiently absorb additional financing 鈥 whether grants or loans 鈥 under a unified, government-led implementation structure that emphasizes transparency, accountability, and results.鈥

Carret noted that the framework offers a credible platform for development partners to align their support with Lebanon鈥檚 reform agenda and amplify the impact of long-term recovery efforts.

According to the statement, the financing will enable immediate interventions to fast-track recovery and return to normalcy. This includes the safe and efficient handling of rubble to maximize recycling and reuse.

To ensure timely implementation, the government has undertaken key reforms within the project鈥檚 implementing body, the Council for Development and Reconstruction, the statement said.

It added that LEAP will be carried out under the strategic guidance of the prime minister鈥檚 office, with coordination across relevant ministries through the Council of Ministers. The Ministry of Public Works and Transport will oversee project implementation, while the Ministry of Environment will monitor environmental and social compliance, including rubble management.


Oil Updates 鈥 crude rises more than 1% as investors assess Iran-Israel ceasefire, demand outlook

Oil Updates 鈥 crude rises more than 1% as investors assess Iran-Israel ceasefire, demand outlook
Updated 25 June 2025

Oil Updates 鈥 crude rises more than 1% as investors assess Iran-Israel ceasefire, demand outlook

Oil Updates 鈥 crude rises more than 1% as investors assess Iran-Israel ceasefire, demand outlook
  • Report says US strikes failed to destroy Iran鈥檚 nuclear sites
  • Prices settled at multi-week lows in previous session

LONDON: Oil prices climbed more than 1 percent on Wednesday as investors assessed the stability of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel, while support also came from data that showed US demand was relatively strong.

Brent crude futures were up 99 cents, or 1.5 percent, at $68.13 a barrel at 12:02 p.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude gained 94 cents, or 1.5 percent, to $65.31.

Brent settled on Tuesday at its lowest since June 10 and WTI since June 5, both before Israel launched a surprise attack on key Iranian military and nuclear facilities on June 13.

Prices had rallied to five-month highs after the US attacked Iran鈥檚 nuclear facilities over the weekend.

鈥淐oncerns about oil supply disruptions have declined,鈥 said Giovanni Staunovo, commodity analyst at UBS. 鈥淭he drawdown shows that demand is still holding up in the US, the trade tensions were not as bad as some were fearing.鈥

Industry data showed US crude inventories fell by 4.23 million barrels in the week ended June 20, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.

Traders and analysts are also seeing some support from market expectations that interest rate cuts could happen soon in the US Lower interest rates typically spur economic growth and demand for oil.

鈥淔ed Chair Powell鈥檚 first testimony to Congress (yesterday) has hinted at a slight chance of bringing forward the first rate cut of 2025 to July ... which should offer some form of floor on oil prices from the demand side,鈥 said OANDA senior market analyst Kelvin Wong.

A slew of US macroeconomic data released overnight including on consumer confidence showed possibly weaker than expected economic growth in the world鈥檚 largest oil consumer, bolstering expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.

Futures point to nearly 60 basis points鈥 worth of easing by December.

On the geopolitical front, a preliminary US intelligence assessment said US airstrikes did not destroy Iran鈥檚 nuclear capability and only set it back by a few months, as a shaky ceasefire brokered by US President Donald Trump took hold between Iran and Israel.

Earlier on Tuesday, both Iran and Israel signalled that the air war between the two nations had ended, at least for now, after Trump publicly scolded them for violating a ceasefire.

As the two countries lifted civilian restrictions after 12 days of war 鈥 which the US joined with an attack on Iran鈥檚 uranium-enrichment facilities 鈥 each sought to claim victory.

鈥淲hile concerns regarding Middle Eastern supply have diminished for now, they have not entirely disappeared, and there remains a stronger demand for immediate supply,鈥 said ING analysts in a client note.

Oil prices will likely consolidate at around $65-$70 per barrel levels as traders look to more US macroeconomic data this week and the Fed鈥檚 rate decision, said independent market analyst Tina Teng.

Investors were also awaiting US government data on domestic crude and fuel stockpiles due on Wednesday.


Major Gulf markets gain on easing regional conflict

Major Gulf markets gain on easing regional conflict
Updated 25 June 2025

Major Gulf markets gain on easing regional conflict

Major Gulf markets gain on easing regional conflict
  • 黑料社区鈥檚 benchmark index added 0.2%
  • Dubai鈥檚 main share index gained 0.4%

LONDON: Major stock markets in the Gulf rose in early trade on Wednesday, on course to extend gains from the previous session when they registered sharp gains following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran.
The ceasefire brokered by US President Donald Trump appeared to be holding on Wednesday, a day after both countries signalled that their air conflict had ended, at least for now.
黑料社区鈥檚 benchmark index added 0.2 percent, helped by a 1 percent rise for Saudi National Bank, the country鈥檚 biggest lender by assets.
Elsewhere, Specialized Medical Company opened 0.2 percent lower in debut trade.
Oil prices climbed as investors assessed the stability of a ceasefire, while support also came from market expectations that US interest rate cuts could happen soon.
The Fed鈥檚 decision affects monetary policy in the Gulf, where most currencies, including the Saudi riyal, are pegged to the US dollar.
Dubai鈥檚 main share index gained 0.4 percent, with top lender Emirates NBD rising 2 percent.
In Abu Dhabi, the index was up 0.1 percent.
The Qatari index increased 0.3 percent, with the Gulf鈥檚 biggest lender Qatar National Bank gaining 0.9 percent.
Qatar reopened its airspace after a brief suspension, its civil aviation authority said early on Tuesday, following a missile attack by Iran on an American air base in Qatar on Monday that caused no injuries.


黑料社区 raises $628m in June sukuk offering

黑料社区 raises $628m in June sukuk offering
Updated 24 June 2025

黑料社区 raises $628m in June sukuk offering

黑料社区 raises $628m in June sukuk offering

JEDDAH: 黑料社区鈥檚 National Debt Management Center has completed its June issuance under the government鈥檚 riyal-denominated sukuk program, raising SR2.355 billion ($628 million).

The figure marks a decline of 42 percent from May鈥檚 SR4.08 billion, which was the highest monthly total recorded this year. The drop reflects typical fluctuations in the government鈥檚 monthly funding activity.

The June offering was divided into five tranches. The first amounted to SR25 million and will mature in 2027. The second, totaling SR1.175 billion, will mature in 2029. The third tranche stood at SR500 million and is set to mature in 2032. The fourth was SR5 million, maturing in 2036, while the fifth and final tranche reached SR650 million, due in 2039.

Sukuk, which are structured to comply with Islamic finance principles, offer investors returns generated from tangible assets or projects, rather than traditional interest payments. These instruments continue to attract strong demand from investors seeking stable, Shariah-compliant returns.

Despite the month-on-month decline, the latest issuance underscores 黑料社区鈥檚 efforts to diversify its funding base and develop the domestic debt market.

The NDMC has maintained a steady pace of monthly issuances this year, including SR3.72 billion in January, SR3.07 billion in February, SR2.64 billion in March, and SR4.08 billion in May.

黑料社区 continues to lead the Gulf Cooperation Council in sukuk and bond activity. In the first quarter of 2025, the Kingdom accounted for more than 60 percent of all primary debt issuances in the region, raising $31.01 billion from 41 offerings, according to the Kuwait Financial Center, known as Markaz.

In a broader outlook, S&P Global has highlighted 黑料社区鈥檚 expanding non-oil economy and strong sukuk activity as key drivers for growth in global Islamic finance.

The agency forecasts total sukuk issuance could reach between $190 billion and $200 billion in 2025, with up to $80 billion in foreign-currency issuances, assuming stable market conditions.

Looking ahead, Kamco Invest projects that 黑料社区 will lead the GCC in bond maturities over the next five years. Between 2025 and 2029, about $168 billion in Saudi bonds are expected to mature, underscoring the Kingdom鈥檚 prominent role in the region鈥檚 debt landscape.