Paramilitary force pushes east in new escalation of Sudan’s war

Paramilitary force pushes east in new escalation of Sudan’s war
The paramilitary force battling the army in Sudan's civil war is shifting its focus eastward after consolidating its grip over Darfur last month, reigniting violence and launching drone attacks across the country's oil-producing southern areas. (Reuters/File)
Short Url
Updated 21 sec ago

Paramilitary force pushes east in new escalation of Sudan’s war

Paramilitary force pushes east in new escalation of Sudan’s war
  • The RSF started moving on Kordofan at the same time as it took Al-Fashir late last month
  • According to Amy Pope, head of IOM, up to 50,000 people have been displaced from Kordofan

KHARTOUM: The paramilitary force battling the army in Sudan’s civil war is shifting its focus eastward after consolidating its grip over Darfur last month, reigniting violence and launching drone attacks across the country’s oil-producing southern areas.
Escalating drone strikes and new deployments of troops and weapons by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and the army suggest both sides are now centring their efforts on Kordofan, a region comprised of three states that serves as a buffer between the RSF’s western Darfur strongholds and the army-held states in the east.
The RSF accepted a ceasefire proposal by the United States last week after an international outcry over accounts that it had killed large groups of civilians as it overran Al-Fashir, the army’s last significant holdout in Darfur.
The army has not agreed to the ceasefire, which could provide a window for more deliveries of desperately needed humanitarian aid after 2-1/2 years of conflict, and fighting has not abated.

WITNESS ACCOUNTS OF REVENGE ATTACKS
The RSF started moving on Kordofan at the same time as it took Al-Fashir late last month, seizing the town of Bara in North Kordofan state, a crucial strategic link between Darfur and central Sudan. The army had recaptured the town just two months earlier.
According to Amy Pope, head of the International Organization for Migration, up to 50,000 people have been displaced from Kordofan since then.
Echoing reports from Al-Fashir, where tens of thousands were also displaced but many more are unaccounted for, survivors from Bara, who gave only their first names for fear of retribution against their families, described revenge attacks and summary executions against those accused of supporting the army.
“They said you celebrated with the army ... we have to kill you,” said one escapee, Khalil, speaking to Reuters with his arm in a sling in army-controlled Omdurman, part of Sudan’s capital. He said he had sat in a row with eight other men, two of whom were killed, as an RSF soldier fired on them.
Another man, Ismail, described hiding inside a house as men were shot in the street, until he was able to pay a fighter to escort him and his family out of the city.
A third man, Mohamed, said that when RSF troops arrived at his house he could hear his father fighting back and being fatally shot outside the door. Bands of RSF fighters entered the house, beat him and others, and demanded money and gold, he said. He left the city on foot, hiding from fighters and vehicles. Emergency Lawyers, a Sudanese activist group, said hundreds were killed in Bara.
Reuters could not independently verify the accounts of the violence.
Asked for comment, the RSF said the army had blocked every attempt for peace. “Any place where the army is present is a legitimate target and we will attack in any area in Kordofan, Khartoum, or Port Sudan,” an RSF leader said.
The RSF did not address a request for comment on the accounts of killings in Bara. The RSF says reports of widespread abuses in Al-Fashir and elsewhere are exaggerated and that it is investigating any that may have happened.

SIGNS OF A MILITARY BUILD-UP
Fighting may now turn to North Kordofan’s capital, El Obeid, one of Sudan’s largest cities. Two eyewitnesses told Reuters they saw the army and allied forces amassing troops and equipment in the city earlier this week, while the RSF was deployed to the east.
The town of Babanusa in West Kordofan state, home to a major army base, is also surrounded by RSF soldiers, residents told Reuters. Civilians mostly fled the city during earlier fighting.
In South Kordofan, the RSF and allied fighters in the SPLM-N armed group are surrounding the army in the cities of Kadugli and nearby Al-Dalanj and fighting has escalated, according to an SPLM-N source.
A global hunger monitor assessed last week that Kadugli was experiencing famine as of September, and that Al-Dalanj was likely also in famine, mirroring the impact of the siege on Al-Fashir.
Witnesses and sources have reported signs of a broader military build-up. An army source and a source close to the SPLM-N said the armed group had received new weapons via South Sudan.
A witness in the army’s wartime capital of Port Sudan, on the Red Sea coast, reported an increase in cargo plane arrivals. Two army sources said the planes carried military cargo. Reuters could not independently verify the claims.
The war, which erupted out of a power struggle, has caused ethnically-charged bloodletting, widespread destruction and mass displacement, drawing in foreign powers and threatening to split Sudan. Both sides have increasingly relied on drone strikes in recent months, leading to heavy civilian casualties.
On November 3, a drone attack in Sheikan locality in North Kordofan killed 49 people, including women and children, Emergency Lawyers said, without naming who was behind the attack.
“Developments on the ground indicate clear preparations for intensified hostilities, with everything that implies for its long-suffering people,” UN human rights chief Volker Turk said on Friday.


What lies ahead in Iraq: the hard task of forming a government

What lies ahead in Iraq: the hard task of forming a government
Updated 58 min 42 sec ago

What lies ahead in Iraq: the hard task of forming a government

What lies ahead in Iraq: the hard task of forming a government
  • With no single bloc dominating the next parliament, key parties could spend weeks or even months negotiating alliances to build the largest bloc and nominate the next premier

BAGHDAD: Following Iraq’s parliamentary election this week, the complex and often lengthy task of choosing the country’s next leader is set to begin.
Incumbent Prime Minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani claimed victory for his coalition after preliminary results showed it was the largest bloc — though it still falls short of the majority needed to form a government.
Sudani now faces the tough quest of securing support from other parties, mostly from the Shiite majority, in his bid for a second term.
With no single bloc dominating the next parliament, key parties could spend weeks or even months negotiating alliances to build the largest bloc and nominate the next premier.
Sudani was brought to power in 2022 by the Coordination Framework, an alliance of Shiite factions with varying links to Iran.
While preliminary vote counts for each list by province were released, seat allocations in parliament will not be announced until later.
By convention in Iraq, a Shiite Muslim holds the post of prime minister and a Sunni that of parliament speaker, while the largely ceremonial presidency goes to a Kurd.

- How is the government formed? -

Naming a premier and forming a government has often proven to be an arduous task involving protracted political wrangling.
In previous parliaments, Shiite majority parties have struck compromises to work together and form a government, and the main contenders often find themselves sidelined.
Seats are used as bargaining chips, and newly-elected lawmakers can switch sides.
With an outright majority almost impossible to achieve by any single list — as was the case in this week’s vote — the next premier will be selected by whichever coalition can gather enough allies to become the biggest bloc.
Since voting began two years after the 2003 US-led invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein, only one premier, Nuri Al-Maliki, has served for two terms (2006-2014).

- What are the possible outcomes? -

Currently, no serious candidates have emerged except for Sudani — though he himself was a relative unknown prior to his nomination.
A senior politician told AFP last month that the Coordination Framework is divided over supporting Sudani, with Al-Maliki seemingly poised to oppose a second term for the incumbent.
Long-term powerbrokers, including from the Coordination Framework, worry that Sudani has amassed too much power during his first term, making some reluctant to allow him to keep his seat.
Sudani has also faced allegations that members of his office were responsible for wiretapping the phones of politicians.
A source within a main party in the Coordination Framework told AFP that the alliance had previously agreed to reunite and create the largest bloc.
“They will name the next premier and participate in choosing the parliament speaker, his deputies and the president,” the source said.

- What happened after previous votes? -

In the 2010 election, former premier Iyad Allawi’s bloc won most seats, 91, closely followed by Maliki’s alliance, which won 89.
After months of bickering, political leaders stuck a deal and Al-Maliki was reappointed for another term despite coming second in the ballot.
In 2021, influential Shiite cleric Moqtada Sadr’s bloc emerged as the biggest winner, with 73 seats, but still fell far short of a majority.
His bloc withdrew from parliament following a dispute with other Shiite parties that culminated in deadly fighting in Baghdad.
In the aftermath, influential parties instead came together under the Coordination Framework to form a larger bloc, and brought Sudani to power.

- What role do Tehran and Washington play? -

For decades, Iraq has been a proxy battleground between the US and Iran, and forming a government has always been influenced by the two foes.
The next premier will have to maintain the delicate balance between their interests.
Since the US-led invasion, Iran has not only wielded significant influence in Iraqi politics, but also backs armed groups in the country, whose power has grown both politically and financially.
As Iran’s regional influence wanes, it aims to preserve its power in Iraq and keep the market open to products from its crippled economy.
Washington meanwhile wants to cripple Tehran’s influence, pressuring Baghdad to disarm Iran-backed factions, many of which have been designated as terrorist groups.
Some of those groups will nonetheless have seats in the parliament and maybe the government.
Last week, Foreign Minister Fuad Hussein told the Saudi-funded Al-Hadath channel that six pro-Iran factions are on a US blacklist — a key factor the government must consider.