No end to Sudan fighting despite RSF paramilitaries backing truce plan

No end to Sudan fighting despite RSF paramilitaries backing truce plan
An end to fighting in Sudan still seems far off despite the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, fighting the army for more than two years, endorsing a truce proposal. (AFP/Screengrab)
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No end to Sudan fighting despite RSF paramilitaries backing truce plan

No end to Sudan fighting despite RSF paramilitaries backing truce plan
  • Experts express doubt about whether the RSF is truly ready to implement a truce
  • The conflict may nevertheless be at a turning point

PORT SUDAN: An end to fighting in Sudan still seems far off despite the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces, fighting the army for more than two years, endorsing a truce proposal.
The government, backed by the army, has yet to respond to US-led international mediators, and explosions rocked the army-controlled capital Khartoum on Friday.
Experts express doubt about whether the RSF is truly ready to implement a truce, and warn it is in fact preparing an offensive to capture city of el-Obeid in the south.
But the conflict may nevertheless be at a turning point.
Fighting has raged since April 2023, pitting the forces of army chief Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan against those of his former deputy, RSF commander Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo.
Now, the United States, , the United Arab Emirates and Egypt are backing a proposed ceasefire.
Here is what we know after two years and almost seven months of a war that has killed tens of thousands, displaced nearly 12 million and triggered a hunger crisis:

- RSF victory in Darfur -

Less than two weeks ago the RSF captured El-Fasher, the army’s last major stronghold in western Darfur.
The takeover was accompanied by reports of mass killings, sexual violence and looting, triggering international condemnation.
There are now fears of further atrocities as the conflict shifts east toward Khartoum and the oil-rich Kordofan region.
Under international pressure, the RSF now says it is ready to consider a ceasefire, but the army has not responded and observers are unconvinced.
“Its only intent is to distract from the atrocities it is currently committing in El Fasher and position itself as more responsible than the army,” Cameron Hudson of the Washington-based Center for Strategic and International Studies told AFP.
The army, he said, is now “focused on retaking all of Kordofan and then proceeding on to El-Fasher.”
El-Fasher’s fall has given the paramilitaries control over all five state capitals in Darfur and parts of the south while the army now dominates northern, eastern and central areas along the Nile and Red Sea.
“The RSF, now that they control all of Darfur, has an incentive to try to bring food and assistance into areas under their control, but the army has an incentive to not allow the RSF to consolidate its gains,” Hudson said.
No details of the ceasefire proposal have been made public.

- New explosions -

On Friday, one day after RSF responded positively to the ceasefire idea, explosions were heard in Khartoum and in Atbara, an army-held city around 300 kilometers (186 miles) north of Khartoum, according to witnesses who spoke to AFP.
Khartoum has seen relative calm since the regular army regained control this year, but the RSF continues to mount attacks in several regions.
A resident in Omdurman, part of the greater Khartoum area, told AFP on condition of anonymity out of fear of reprisal, he was awoken “around 2 am (0000 GMT) by the sound of ... explosions near the Wadi Sayidna military base.”
Another resident said they “heard a drone overhead around 4:00 am before an explosion struck near” a power station, causing an outage in the area.
In Atbara a resident saw several drones before dawn on Friday.
“Anti-aircraft defenses shot them down, but I saw fires breaking out and heard sounds of explosions in the east of the city,” the resident said, also on condition of anonymity.
There were no immediate reports of casualties.
Neither the army nor the RSF commented on the blasts, though the RSF has been using long-range drones to strike army-held areas since it lost control of the capital.

- Fighting in Kordofan -

In the south, the Sudan Doctors’ Union accused the RSF of shelling a hospital in the besieged city of Dilling in South Kordofan on Thursday morning, wounding several people.
In a statement, the union said that the shelling “destroyed the hospital’s radiology and medical imaging department,” crippling one of the region’s vital health facilities.
Dilling has been under RSF siege since June 2023. It lies around 150 kilometers (93 miles) southwest of El-Obeid, the capital of North Kordofan — a key crossroads linking Darfur to Khartoum.

- Famine and oil -

Independent verification remains difficult due to heavy fighting and communications blackouts in the area, but Dilling faces a severe humanitarian crisis.
According to the Rome-based Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), the city is now at risk of famine, while the state capital, Kadugli, is already facing one.
Famine has also been confirmed in Darfur’s El-Fasher and three nearby displacement camps. Last year, the IPC also declared famine in parts of South Kordofan’s Nuba Mountains.
South Kordofan, which borders South Sudan, is one of Sudan’s most resource-rich areas and home to the Heglig oil field, among the country’s largest.


Turkiye preparing law to let PKK fighters return under peace plan

Turkiye preparing law to let PKK fighters return under peace plan
Updated 58 min 6 sec ago

Turkiye preparing law to let PKK fighters return under peace plan

Turkiye preparing law to let PKK fighters return under peace plan
  • The proposed law would protect those returning home but stop short of offering a general amnesty
  • Some militant leaders could be sent to third countries under the plans

ISTANBUL: Turkiye is preparing a law to let thousands of Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) fighters and civilians return home from hideouts in northern Iraq under negotiations to end generations of war.
A senior Middle East official and a Kurdish political party source in Turkiye said the proposed law would protect those returning home but stop short of offering a general amnesty for crimes committed by former militants. Some militant leaders could be sent to third countries under the plans.
Bringing PKK guerrillas and their families home from their bases in mountainous northern Iraq is seen as one of the final hurdles in a peace process launched a year ago to end a war that has killed 40,000 people.
While officials have spoken publicly about reconciliation efforts in general terms, the sources disclosed details that have not previously been reported, including proposals for returns to take place in separate waves of civilians and fighters, and for commanders to be sent to third countries.
The Middle East official, describing the sensitive negotiations on condition of anonymity, said legislation to allow the returns could come before the Turkish parliament as soon as this month.

PLAN COULD INCLUDE SEPARATE WAVES OF RETURNS
Turkiye’s intelligence agency MIT, which has led talks with the PKK, did not immediately comment on the proposal. The PKK did not immediately comment.
Since Kurdish militants launched their insurgency in 1984 — originally with the aim of creating an independent Kurdish state — the conflict has exerted a huge economic and social burden on Turkiye and neighboring countries.
Ending it would boost NATO member Turkiye’s political and economic stability, and ease tensions in Iraq where the PKK is based, and Syria where Kurdish fighters have been allied with US forces.
In a major breakthrough, the PKK announced a decision in May to disarm and disband after a call to end its armed struggle from its jailed leader Abdullah Ocalan.
In July the group symbolically burned weapons, and last month it announced it was withdrawing fighters from Turkiye as part of the disarmament process. It called on Ankara to take steps to let its members participate in “democratic politics.”
But the terms of reconciliation have been sensitive, with Turkiye wary of offering a wide amnesty for what it considers past crimes of a terrorist organization.
Numan Kurtulmus, who heads a reconciliation commission set up by Turkiye in August, said last week that any legal steps would come only after Turkiye verifies that the PKK has completed its dissolution process.
“Once Turkiye’s security and intelligence units have verified and confirmed that the organization has truly laid down its arms and completed its dissolution process, the country will enter a new phase of legal regulations aimed at building a terror-free Turkiye,” he said.
According to the senior Middle East official, the proposal now being discussed would see roughly 1,000 civilians and non-combatants return first, followed by about 8,000 fighters after individual screening.
Beyond that, the official said Turkiye had so far rejected taking back around 1,000 senior and mid-level PKK figures, and wants them relocated to a third country, possibly in Europe.
Talks were ongoing on that issue, with some parties involved in the negotiations concerned that excluding PKK top brass from repatriation could eventually fuel a renewed insurgency, the official said.
Legislation to enable returns could come before the Turkish parliament as early as the end of November, the official added.
Tayip Temel, deputy co-chair of the pro-Kurdish DEM Party — which though an opposition party has worked closely with the government on the peace process — said the ongoing negotiations focused on a formula personally emphasized by Ocalan.
“Work is underway on a special law for the PKK to enable the democratic and social reintegration of its members,” Temel told Reuters.
“The law will cover everyone returning from the PKK, whether civilian or militant. There is no plan for a phased return. The formula being worked on is comprehensive and applies to all.”
He confirmed that Turkiye had raised the idea of some PKK figures being sent to third countries, but said this would have to be discussed with the potential hosts.

DIFFERENT PROCEDURES FOR DIFFERENT GROUPS
Another source at DEM, parliament’s third-biggest party, said the commission drafting the proposal was working on a single, PKK-specific law that would avoid the language of a general amnesty.
“Different procedures will apply to different groups of returnees,” the source said, adding that some returning PKK members will likely face investigations and trials. “Otherwise it will be hard to reach common ground among parties in the commission.”
Once the parliamentary commission completes its work, it is expected to recommend the special PKK law to parliament, paving the way for potential legislation.
Human Rights Watch urged lawmakers to use the peace process to reform laws that have long been used to charge and incarcerate non-violent Kurdish activists.
The commission “has a unique opportunity to help shape a post-conflict society and should make bold recommendations to repeal abusive laws used to silence and marginalize people,” said Hugh Williamson, Europe and Central Asia director at HRW.