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Is this really the end of the war in Gaza?

Is this really the end of the war in Gaza?

Smoke billows following an Israeli strike in Gaza City. October 02, 2025 (File/AFP)
Smoke billows following an Israeli strike in Gaza City. October 02, 2025 (File/AFP)
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More than 2 million Palestinians are waiting for the sun to rise and for this long, dark night — the most brutal war in the history of Palestine’s conflicts — to end. At this important moment, following the announcement in Washington on Monday, the hope that feels both near and far still faces many challenges.

The most prominent of these is whether both Hamas and Israel will accept the plan to end the conflict — or whether they will impose conditions that prolong the implementation talks and undermine the opportunity.

It is clear that neither Hamas nor Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is satisfied. Hamas no longer has allies to shield it. Even Qatar and Turkiye have agreed to and are supporting the plan, and are participating alongside Egypt in the negotiations. Iran is no longer in a position to assist Hamas after losing much of its supportive military capability.

Hamas no longer has allies to shield it

Abdulrahman Al-Rashed

As for Netanyahu, he does not dare challenge US President Donald Trump, who has the power to bring him down through his ties with Netanyahu’s own political bloc — and the Israeli leader could even end up in prison.

It is likely that Hamas will eventually lay down its weapons and that its field commanders will depart for Algeria or Turkiye, as is being suggested. But not so quickly. Ceasefire understandings are rarely reached easily, as each side clings to its interpretations, and adds new conditions and guarantees. Those who drafted the ceasefire and Gaza administration plan say they drew on previous experiences in Bosnia and Timor.

Hamas’ expected objections will include the entry of Israeli forces into areas it used to control, and its exclusion from civilian governance in Gaza, made worse by the plan’s stipulation that the Palestinian Authority take over municipal, health, education, judicial, and civil security services.

The nature of guarantees offered to the group also remains unclear, including whether Israel will refrain from pursuing or assassinating Hamas members in coming years, something Israel has done for decades.

Netanyahu, too, has his objections

Abdulrahman Al-Rashed

Netanyahu, too, has his objections. The agreement deprives him of the promise he made to control Gaza and prevents the displacement of its residents. Even those permitted to leave voluntarily are guaranteed the right to return, according to a clause in former UK leader Tony Blair’s plan, and their properties cannot be confiscated. Moreover, Israel, which believes it has tightened the noose around Hamas after launching the assault on Gaza City, must now stop and release about 2,000 Palestinians in exchange for the remaining hostages, both living and dead.

This is hardly the victory Netanyahu had planned for, and it may backfire on him politically.

Yet, there remains strong hope that we are witnessing the end of the war — even with staunch opposition from both Hamas and Netanyahu.

  • Abdulrahman Al-Rashed is a Saudi journalist and intellectual. He is the former general manager of Al-Arabiya news channel and former editor-in-chief of Asharq Al-Awsat, where this article was originally published. X: @aalrashed
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