Oil Updates — crude slides as markets assess impact of US-China trade war
Oil Updates — crude slides as markets assess impact of US-China trade war /node/2597240/business-economy
Oil Updates — crude slides as markets assess impact of US-China trade war
Brent crude futures fell 66 cents, or 1.0 percent, to $64.01 per barrel by 09:30 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 69 cents, or 1.1 percent, to $60.64. Shutterstock
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Updated 16 April 2025
鷡շ鳧
Oil Updates — crude slides as markets assess impact of US-China trade war
Updated 16 April 2025
鷡շ鳧
SINGAPORE: Oil prices fell about 1 percent on Wednesday, as shifting US tariff policies fuelled uncertainty, prompting traders to weigh the potential impact of the US-China trade war on economic growth and energy demand, according to Reuters.
Brent crude futures fell 66 cents, or 1.0 percent, to $64.01 per barrel by 09:30 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude dropped 69 cents, or 1.1 percent, to $60.64. Both benchmarks fell 0.3 percent on Tuesday.
Global oil demand is expected to grow at its slowest rate for five years in 2025 and US production gains will also taper off, due to US President Donald Trump’s tariffs on trading partners and their retaliatory moves, the International Energy Agency said on Tuesday.
“Investors continue to struggle in finding a catalyst to drive a more meaningful rebound, as global growth is widely expected to slow ahead with US tariffs, which puts oil demand in jeopardy,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.
“The downward trend for oil prices remains intact and we may expect initial optimism around tariff rollbacks to fade, and the underlying macro headwinds on upcoming economic data could bring markets back to a more sobering reality,” Yeap said.
World oil demand this year is expected to rise by 730,000 barrels per day, the IEA said, sharply down from the 1.03 million bpd it expected last month. The reduction is larger than a cut in demand estimates made on Monday by the OPEC.
The tariff dispute between the US and China remains the most significant threat to the global economy and oil demand, said Imad Al-Khayyat, a research lead at London Stock Exchange Group.
“Each passing week without signs of easing in this standoff increases the likelihood of a global recession and lowers the price ceiling,” Al-Khayyat said.
Concerns over Trump’s escalating tariffs, combined with rising output from OPEC+, a group comprising OPEC and its producing allies such as Russia, have already dragged oil prices down roughly 13 percent so far this month.
The uncertainty surrounding trade tensions has led several banks, including UBS, BNP Paribas and HSBC, to cut their crude price forecasts.
Trump has ratcheted up tariffs on Chinese goods to eye-watering levels, prompting Beijing to slap retaliatory duties on US imports in an intensifying trade war between the world's two biggest economies that markets fear will lead to a global recession.
Meanwhile, US crude oil stocks rose 2.4 million barrels in the week ended April 11, while gasoline inventories fell 3 million barrels and distillate stocks dropped 3.2 million barrels, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
Where the money is flowing: AI, agritech, and fintech set to lead Saudi venture capital ecosystem
Updated 20 June 2025
Nour El-Shaeri
RIYADH: ’s venture capital ecosystem is entering a pivotal phase of growth, fueled by a surge in domestic and international investment targeting sectors aligned with the Kingdom’s Vision 2030.
Agriculture tech, fintech, artificial intelligence, and clean energy are emerging as key pillars of this transformation, driven by regulatory reforms, demographic shifts, and a rising global investor appetite.
The country’s ambition to become a regional innovation hub is drawing sustained capital inflows, placing it at the center of the broader emerging venture market investment narrative.
Domestic ambition shapes sectoral disposition
Said Murad, senior partner at investment firm Global Ventures, cited ’s high food import dependency and its ambitions to boost domestic production as key in drawing funds to the Kingdom.
“Agritech and climate-related technologies will certainly contribute to the next phase of investment growth,” he told Arab News in an interview.
Complementing this trend, Philip Bahoshy, CEO of MAGNiTT, pointed to fintech, AI, clean energy, logistics, and advanced manufacturing as areas expected to dominate future funding.
“These sectors align with Vision 2030’s push for economic diversification and digital transformation,” he told Arab News, with health tech and deep tech also gaining traction due to increasing research and development support and regulatory tailwinds.
Philip Bahoshy, CEO of MAGNiTT. Supplied
AI, in particular, is emerging as a dominant investment theme in the region. According to MAGNiTT’s 2025 predictions, the sector is set to double its share of venture capital funding in emerging venture markets this year, following a surge of high-profile deals in 2024.
“AI was the main driver of investment activity both in the private and public markets in the US and other mature markets in 2024,” the platform noted, referencing data from PitchBook.
In the first nine months of 2024, AI accounted for 41.3 percent of US venture capital funding. In , this momentum is reflected in deals such as Intelmatix’s $20 million Series A round and Amazon Web Services’s planned data center investment, both signaling the Kingdom’s rising stake in the global AI landscape.
MAGNiTT also cited broader geopolitical and commercial developments in the AI space, including chip export agreements, as indicators of the sector’s rising importance in the region.
“Based on our proprietary data, we expect AI funding to double in 2025 due to increased investor attention to innovative AI startups,” the company stated.
Beyond AI, Global Ventures’ investment in Iyris, an agritech company spun out of King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, illustrates the potential of local innovation to address long-standing structural challenges.
“Iyris is positively disrupting agricultural practices for mid-to-low-tech farmers, particularly in hot climates,” Murad said.
The startup launched the National Food Production Initiative in 2023, partnering with SABIC and Red Sea Global to establish a sustainable farming project in Bada, , aimed at regenerating unproductive land and enhancing food security.
Fintech remains another strong area of interest, supported by a digitally connected population and a push toward financial inclusion.
“With 98 percent internet penetration and 97 percent smartphone adoption among the 18-to-78-year age group, the Kingdom has one of the world’s most digitally enabled populations,” Murad said.
He views this as a key enabler for innovation in financial services, both consumer-facing and enterprise-driven.
Focused sectors, broad appeal
Capital inflows into are being driven not only by sector performance but also by global institutional interest in the region.
According to MAGNiTT, firms including BlackRock, Golden Gate Ventures, and Polen Capital have already established offices or acquired licenses in the Kingdom, the UAE, or Qatar.
Others, including General Catalyst and the BRICS Investment Fund, have made their investment debuts or launched dedicated MENA-focused funds.
“In 2025, we expect even more investors and asset managers to set up offices in the EVM regions, particularly and the UAE,” MAGNiTT stated, attributing this to the region’s “friendly business-enabling environment.”
Said Murad, senior partner at investment firm Global Ventures. Supplied
Deal flow in the Kingdom has grown across all funding stages. “ saw a surge in pre-seed and seed-stage funding,” said Murad, noting that demand for later-stage capital is increasing as startups validate their models and seek international expansion.
Supporting this trajectory is a growing exit pipeline. In 2024, completed 42 initial public offerings, ranking seventh globally in capital raised.
“This growing pipeline of exits signals the increasing maturity of the country’s capital markets and reinforces the long-term viability of its venture ecosystem,” Murad added.
As international capital intensifies, local venture firms are adapting their strategies to remain competitive.
“Regional players active in the market will understand local nuances, ultimately providing a competitive advantage,” Murad said.
He emphasized that investors offering operational support and showcasing portfolio success stories will be best positioned to attract international limited partners.
The Kingdom’s regulatory environment is increasingly seen as a strength in the region’s venture capital narrative.
“Government initiatives and the regulatory framework are geared to venture capital firms investing in startups in a secure, forward-thinking, and robust environment,” Murad said.
Still, he cautioned that strong business fundamentals remain essential. “The need for entrepreneurs to have strong, sustainable business models with good unit economics is as necessary as ever,” said the Global Ventures partner.
Despite global uncertainties, Saudi entrepreneurs may be better equipped than most to navigate a challenging macroeconomic environment.
“At Global Ventures, we refer to the ‘adversity advantage’— a natural upside for regional entrepreneurs who are used to working with, and around, resource scarcity,” Murad said.
“This has empowered them, by design, to build businesses more resilient and adaptable to challenges,” he added.
Oil Updates — prices fall as US delays decision on direct Iran involvement
Updated 20 June 2025
Reuters
SINGAPORE: Oil prices fell on Friday after the White House delayed a decision on US involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, but remained on course for a third consecutive weekly rise.
Brent crude futures fell $2, or 2.5 percent, to $76.85 a barrel by 9:48 a.m. Saudi time but still looked set to gain more than 3 percent on the week.
US West Texas Intermediate crude for July — which did not settle on Thursday as it was a US holiday and expires on Friday — was down 14 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $75.
The more liquid August contract was up 0.3 percent, or 19 cents, to $73.69.
On Thursday prices jumped almost 3 percent after Israel bombed nuclear targets in Iran and Iran fired missiles and drones at Israel. The week-old war between Israel and Iran showed no signs of either side backing down. Iran is OPEC’s third-largest producer.
Brent futures trimmed previous session gains following the White House’s comments that President Donald Trump would decide whether the US will get involved in the Israel-Iran conflict in the next two weeks.
“Oil prices surged amid fears of increased US involvement in Israel’s conflict with Iran. However, the White House press secretary later suggested there was still time for de-escalation,” said Phil Flynn, analyst at the Price Futures Group.
“The ‘two-week deadline’ is a tactic Trump has used in other key decisions. Often these deadlines expire without concrete action, ... which would see the crude oil price remain elevated and potentially build on recent gains,” said Tony Sycamore, analyst at IG.
Emril Jamil, oil research analyst at LSEG, said the “unwavering determination” of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to increase output “may have added jitters to the market.”
OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets’ central bank, says Saudi energy minister
Updated 19 June 2025
Nadin Hassan
RIYADH: OPEC+ has proven to be the “central bank” and regulator of the global oil market, providing much-needed stability, ’s energy minister said.
Speaking at the annual St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in Russia, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman praised the alliance’s role in balancing oil markets amid global economic uncertainties.
“I would have to say that OPEC+ had proven to be an instrument that if it wasn’t invented by us and Russia and our colleagues, it should have been invented a long time ago because this is what OPEC+ had achieved in terms of bringing stability to the market and had proven that it is the central bank and the regulator of oil markets,” the energy minister said.
Prince Abdulaziz also highlighted the ongoing partnership between and Russia through the Saudi-Russian Joint Committee, noting plans for Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak to visit the Kingdom later this year with a high-level business delegation.
“I’m looking forward to host Alexander — the co-chair of our joint committee — to this year, with the biggest, most sizable business community participation,” he said.
Prince Abdulaziz emphasized that the collaboration seeks to deepen bilateral economic ties and foster diversified investment opportunities.
“We have a lot to showcase that bonding together. It will allow us to have a much more diversified relationship, and we are, as a government, working together to provide the right environment for those who want to invest in or in Russia or in any type or form of joint venturing that we should facilitate that and ensure that the investment environment is congenial for it to happen,” he added.
The minister described the energy alliance as a flexible mechanism responsive to changing global conditions, reaffirming ’s commitment to cooperation with partners to maintain market stability.
Acknowledging the challenges facing Russia, Prince Abdulaziz noted the Kingdom’s support amid external restrictions.
“It’s been a challenging time what Russia is going through, but we have shown a great deal of understanding of the situation, and we’re trying to maneuver with the restrictions that are existing today,” he said.
“That has been the discharge of our leadership willingness to accommodate with this current situation and hopefully helping to support Russia in mitigating these exterior most daunting issues.”
On whether and Russia would compensate for any loss of Iranian crude supplies, the minister stressed that such scenarios are hypothetical and that OPEC+ decisions are collective.
“You give me a question that is not evidently seen happening, I don’t have an answer for you. Again, we only react to realities. But if anybody gives a question that is not relating to the reality today, I fail to see where we could predict things and how we would relate to it,” he said.
The minister clarified that OPEC+ consists of 22 member states and is not dominated by and Russia alone. A core group of eight countries is tasked with engaging the full membership to ensure coordinated responses to market changes.
“To respond to a hypothetical question by giving a hypothetical answer, which none of us two here have the right to speak on behalf of everybody without knowing their opinion, is too much of an ask,” he added.
He concluded by highlighting OPEC+’s reputation as a reliable and adaptive organization.
“What we know and what Alexander was saying just a while ago is that we have, as OPEC even before, an OPEC+ attending to so many circumstances since its first, it was in sequence, even inception, that we have been a reliable organization, a serious organization, an effective organization, and attentive to circumstances when they prevail,” he said.
Closing Bell: Saudi main index rises to close at 10,610
Updated 19 June 2025
Reem Walid
RIYADH: ’s Tadawul All Share Index rose on Thursday, gaining 19.58 points, or 0.18 percent, to close at 10,610.71.
The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.4 billion ($1.7 billion), as 116 of the stocks advanced and 115 retreated.
The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 28.01 points, or 0.11 percent, to close at 26,175.83. This came as 35 of the listed stocks advanced while 41 retreated.
The MSCI Tadawul Index lost 0.54 points, or 0.04 percent, to close at 1,367.14.
The best-performing stock of the day was Alistithmar AREIC Diversified REIT Fund, whose share price surged 9.97 percent to SR7.50.
Seera Group Holding also recorded strong gains, with its share price rising 7.99 percent to SR23.80, while Banan Real Estate Co. climbed 7.14 percent to close at SR4.50.
Southern Province Cement Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 5.19 percent to SR27.40. Ataa Educational Co. also saw its stock prices fall 3.43 percent to SR59.10.
Leejam Sports Co. also saw its stock prices decline 3.01 percent to SR116.
On the announcements front, Advance International Communications and Technology said it has completed the conversion of one of its branches into an independent limited liability company under the name Innovation Passage Technology Co.
According to a statement on Tadawul, the move is part of the company’s strategy to restructure its operations by separating the wholesale business sector. The new entity will take over all wholesale functions and operations. The company stated that the transformation is not expected to have a significant financial impact and that any further updates will be announced as they arise.
Alujain Corp. announced that its board of directors has approved the distribution of SR51.9 million in cash dividends for the second quarter of 2025.
A bourse filing revealed that the number of shares eligible for dividends is 69.2 million, with the dividend per share set at SR0.75. The dividend represents 7.5 percent of the share’s par value.
Alujain shares closed the session up 2.74 percent at SR35.
United Cooperative Assurance Co. announced the signing of a memorandum of understanding with Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co. to evaluate a potential merger.
According to a Tadawul filing, both parties will conduct technical, financial, tax, legal, and actuarial due diligence, and will enter into non-binding discussions regarding the terms and conditions of the proposed transaction.
United Cooperative Assurance shares closed at SR6.70, up 0.75 percent.
’s PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030
New firm to turn site into multicultural hub post-event
Updated 19 June 2025
MOHAMMED AL-KINANI
RIYADH: ’s Public Investment Fund has launched Expo 2030 Riyadh Co., a wholly owned entity tasked with developing, managing, and operating the infrastructure and programming for the Kingdom’s first World Expo.
During its development phases, the project is projected to contribute $64 billion to ’s gross domestic product and generate around 171,000 direct and indirect jobs. Once operational, it is expected to add $5.6 billion to the national economy.
According to an official release on Thursday, the newly established company will play a pivotal role not only in executing the large-scale event but also in preserving its long-term legacy.
Known as ERC, the company will fast-track operations to meet its ambitious mandate. It plans to collaborate with both local and international private sector partners to deliver on construction, cultural programming, and event management goals.
“ERC benefits from PIF’s diverse local and global ecosystem and the establishment of the company aligns with PIF’s local real estate strategy, which drives economic transformation and diversification, advancing urban innovation and enhancing quality of life, driven by the ambitious goals of Saudi Vision 2030,” said Saad Al-proud, head of PIF’s Local Real Estate Investment Division.
Covering an expansive 6 million sq. m, the Expo 2030 site will be one of the largest World Expo venues ever built. Strategically located north of Riyadh near the upcoming King Salman International Airport, it will offer direct access to major city landmarks.
Set to run from Oct. 1, 2030 to March 31, 2031, Expo 2030 Riyadh is expected to draw over 40 million visits. Following the event, ERC aims to repurpose the gated expo area into a “global village” — a multicultural destination featuring retail, food and beverages, and premium residential offerings, all aligned with the Kingdom’s push toward sustainable tourism and innovation.
Participating nations will have the opportunity to construct permanent pavilions, enabling a lasting impact beyond the event itself and encouraging long-term investment and business ties.
PIF emphasized that the initiative reflects its broader strategy to drive economic diversification while securing sustainable financial returns.
The fund remains at the forefront of delivering ’s transformative giga-projects and real estate ventures, reshaping the national landscape and bolstering the Kingdom’s global positioning.
Riyadh secured the rights to host Expo 2030 in November 2024, winning the international vote in the first round — further solidifying its reputation as a fast-evolving capital that blends connectivity, sustainability, and high quality of life at scale.
