Gaza war death toll could be 40 percent higher, says study

Gaza war death toll could be 40 percent higher, says study
An official Palestinian tally of direct deaths in the Israel-Hamas war likely undercounted the number of casualties by around 40% in the first nine months of the war as the Gaza Strip's healthcare infrastructure unravelled, according to a study published on Thursday. (Getty Images/File)
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Updated 10 January 2025

Gaza war death toll could be 40 percent higher, says study

Gaza war death toll could be 40 percent higher, says study
  • Researchers sought to assess the death toll from Israel’s air and ground campaign in Gaza between October 2023 and the end of June 2024
  • They estimated 64,260 deaths due to traumatic injury during this period, about 41 percent higher than the official Palestinian Health Ministry count

LONDON: An official Palestinian tally of direct deaths in the Israel-Hamas war likely undercounted the number of casualties by around 40 percent in the first nine months of the war as the Gaza Strip’s health care infrastructure unraveled, according to a study published on Thursday.
The peer-reviewed statistical analysis published in The Lancet journal was conducted by academics at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Yale University and other institutions.
Using a statistical method called capture-recapture analysis, the researchers sought to assess the death toll from Israel’s air and ground campaign in Gaza between October 2023 and the end of June 2024.
They estimated 64,260 deaths due to traumatic injury during this period, about 41 percent higher than the official Palestinian Health Ministry count. The study said 59.1 percent were women, children and people over the age of 65. It did not provide an estimate of Palestinian combatants among the dead.
More than 46,000 people have been killed in the Gaza war, according to Palestinian health officials, from a pre-war population of around 2.1 million.
A senior Israeli official, commenting on the study, said Israel’s armed forces went to great lengths to avoid civilian casualties.
“No other army in the world has ever taken such wide-ranging measures,” the official said.
“These include providing advance warning to civilians to evacuate, safe zones and taking any and all measures to prevent harm to civilians. The figures provided in this report do not reflect the situation on the ground.”
The war began on Oct. 7 after Hamas gunmen stormed across the border with Israel, killing 1,200 people and taking more than 250 hostages, according to Israeli tallies.
The Lancet study said the Palestinian health ministry’s capacity for maintaining electronic death records had previously proven reliable, but deteriorated under Israel’s military campaign, which has included raids on hospitals and other health care facilities and disruptions to digital communications.
Israel accuses Hamas of using hospitals as cover for its operations, which the militant group denies.

STUDY METHOD EMPLOYED IN OTHER CONFLICTS
Anecdotal reports suggested that a significant number of dead remained buried in the rubble of destroyed buildings and were therefore not included in some tallies.
To better account for such gaps, the Lancet study employed a method used to evaluate deaths in other conflict zones, including Kosovo and Sudan.
Using data from at least two independent sources, researchers look for individuals who appear on multiple lists of those killed. Less overlap between lists suggests more deaths have gone unrecorded, information that can be used to estimate the full number of deaths.
For the Gaza study, researchers compared the official Palestinian Health Ministry death count, which in the first months of war was based entirely on bodies that arrived in hospitals but later came to include other methods; an online survey distributed by the health ministry to Palestinians inside and outside the Gaza Strip, who were asked to provide data on Palestinian ID numbers, names, age at death, sex, location of death, and reporting source; and obituaries posted on social media.
“Our research reveals a stark reality: the true scale of traumatic injury deaths in Gaza is higher than reported,” lead author Zeina Jamaluddine told Reuters.
Dr. Paul Spiegel, director of the Center for Humanitarian Health at the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, told Reuters that the statistical methods deployed in the study provide a more complete estimate of the death toll in the war.
The study focused solely on deaths caused by traumatic injuries though, he said.
Deaths caused from indirect effects of conflict, such as disrupted health services and poor water and sanitation, often cause high excess deaths, said Spiegel, who co-authored a study last year that projected thousands of deaths due to the public health crisis spawned by the war.
The Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS) estimates that, on top of the official death toll, around another 11,000 Palestinians are missing and presumed dead.
In total, PCBS said, citing Palestinian Health Ministry numbers, the population of Gaza has fallen 6 percent since the start of the war, as about 100,000 Palestinians have also left the enclave.


Zelensky warns Trump that Putin is 'bluffing'

Zelensky warns Trump that Putin is 'bluffing'
Updated 3 min 55 sec ago

Zelensky warns Trump that Putin is 'bluffing'

Zelensky warns Trump that Putin is 'bluffing'
  • Trump and Putin will meet in Alaska on Friday for talks on ending Ukraine war
  • Zelensky’s comments came after a virtual call with Trump and European leaders

KYIV: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said on Wednesday that he warned US President Donald Trump ahead of his talks with Vladimir Putin this week that the Russian leader is “bluffing” about his desire to end the war.
Trump and Putin will meet in Alaska on Friday, where Kyiv and its allies are worried the two leaders may try to dictate the terms of peace in the 3-1/2-year war.
“I told the US president and all our European colleagues that Putin is bluffing,” he said at a joint briefing in Berlin with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz.
“He is trying to apply pressure before the meeting in Alaska along all parts of the Ukrainian front. Russia is trying to show that it can occupy all of Ukraine.”
Zelensky’s comments, made after a virtual call with Trump and European leaders, come as Russian forces step up pressure on the battlefield in eastern Ukraine, aiming to force Kyiv to give up land.
Zelensky, who said he hoped the main topic of the talks in Alaska would be an immediate ceasefire, added that any discussions regarding territory should be covered during a three-leader meeting.
“Regarding our principles and territorial integrity, in the end this is all decided at the level of leaders,” he said. “Without Ukraine, it is impossible to decide this. And, by the way, everyone also supports this.”
Zelensky said Trump told him he would debrief him about his talks with Putin.


Former British officer sues Ministry of Defense over handling of Afghan data breach

Former British officer sues Ministry of Defense over handling of Afghan data breach
Updated 49 min 32 sec ago

Former British officer sues Ministry of Defense over handling of Afghan data breach

Former British officer sues Ministry of Defense over handling of Afghan data breach
  • Individual worked on Afghan cases for under two years before his role ended unexpectedly after he threatened to become a whistleblower
  • He is suing the MoD and his third-party recruiter, and the case is set to be heard next year

LONDON: A former British military officer is suing the Ministry of Defense for constructive dismissal after speaking out about the handling of a data leak that exposed the personal details of thousands of Afghans seeking relocation to the UK.

The Times reported that an unnamed individual was contracted to assist with Operation Rubific, a secret mission addressing the fallout from a massive data breach.

The former officer worked on Afghan cases for under two years before his role ended unexpectedly after he threatened to become a whistleblower. He was then reassigned to another area in a position for which he was overqualified.

“He complained they are letting in people they shouldn’t and not letting in those he should,” a source close to the former officer suing the MoD told The Times.

He also raised concerns that the government was not prioritizing those most at risk among the tens of thousands of Afghans identified for resettlement in Britain. He assisted four Afghan individuals in relocating to Britain after their details were revealed on the leaked list.

The MoD is facing scrutiny over a superinjunction that blocked public and parliamentary oversight after a spreadsheet leaked containing the names, telephone numbers and email addresses of Afghans seeking relocation to Britain.

The former officer allegedly threatened to alert other departments about the superinjunction and was subsequently “managed out,” according to the source.

The individual is suing the MoD and his third-party recruiter, for whom he worked as a contractor after leaving the military. The case is set to be heard next year.

Officials argued that the data breach should remain secret for nearly two years, claiming it put 100,000 Afghans at risk of Taliban retribution, including death and torture. However, the superinjunction was lifted in July after a government review deemed it “highly unlikely” that Afghans on the leaked spreadsheet were at risk.

Ministers reduced the number of Afghans brought to Britain from 42,500 to 24,000, including family members, based on their presence in the country or prior invitations. Concerns have also been raised about the motive behind the secrecy order, questioning if it aims to protect the MoD’s reputation and prepare for potential mass applications from affected Afghans, The Times reported.

Adnan Malik, the head of data protection at Barings Law, is now representing 1,400 individuals from the leaked list; a number that continues to grow daily.

He told The Times that the MoD’s “attempt to silence one of their own whistleblowers is another shameful development” after tens of thousands of Afghans had their data breached without their knowledge.

A source from the MoD said that the individual’s contract had concluded.


Saudi PIF’s assets under management rise 19% to $913bn in 2024

Saudi PIF’s assets under management rise 19% to $913bn in 2024
Updated 32 min 6 sec ago

Saudi PIF’s assets under management rise 19% to $913bn in 2024

Saudi PIF’s assets under management rise 19% to $913bn in 2024
  • Total revenue increased by 25% year on year
  • PIF witnessed an annual average portfolio return of 7.2% since 2017

RIYADH: The total value of assets under management held by ’s sovereign wealth fund reached $913 billion by the end of 2024, representing a 19 percent rise compared to the same period of the previous year. 

In its 2024 Annual Report, the Public Investment Fund said that total revenue increased by 25 percent year on year, while cash balance remained strong and broadly unchanged. 

The analysis follows Brand Finance’s recent ranking of PIF as the most valuable and fastest-growing sovereign wealth fund globally, with a brand value of $1.2 billion.

In July, a Global SWF study reported that the wealth fund had risen to fourth place globally among sovereign wealth funds, with assets exceeding $1 trillion, slightly higher than the figure in PIF’s annual report.

“PIF’s portfolio delivered year-on-year growth of assets under management of 19 percent to reach $913 billion. Capital deployment across priority sectors reached $56.8 billion in 2024, bringing cumulative investment since the beginning of 2021 to more than $171 billion,” said Yasir A. Al-Salman, chief financial officer of PIF. 

PIF witnessed an annual average portfolio return of 7.2 percent since 2017, while the fund’s cumulative real non-oil gross domestic product contribution to the Kingdom between 2021 and 2024 grew to $243 billion. 

 

 

“Throughout 2024, PIF continued to lead with long-term vision and purpose. PIF deepened its impact and continued to drive the economic transformation of , while generating sustainable returns,” said Maram Al-Johani, PIF’s acting chief of staff and secretary general to the board. 

She further said that the fund currently represents 10 percent of the Kingdom’s non-oil economy. 

“PIF’s portfolio reflects its focus on diversifying the Saudi economy. PIF continued to invest in and establish new companies, driving forward change and bringing the total number of portfolio companies at year-end to 225, of which PIF has created and established 103,” said Al-Johani. 

Al-Johani added that PIF continued to drive the development of strategic economic sectors in the Kingdom through expanding the technical capabilities of its investment portfolios, promoting localization, and encouraging innovation.

“The 2024 results highlight PIF’s transition from digital transformation to digital leadership, with artificial intelligence and automation together becoming a vital part of operations. In 2024, PIF completed 58 digital projects, launched 15 new applications and automated more than 477 processes, enabling insights, strategy and the creation of economic value,” said Al-Johani. 

PIF said that it continued to diversify funding sources, raising $9.83 billion in public debt and an additional $7 billion in private debt. 

Affirming the financial stability of PIF, global credit rating agency Moody’s upgraded the fund’s credit rating to Aa3 from A1 with a stable outlook, while Fitch affirmed its A+ rating with a stable outlook. 


For these Pakistani women, Independence Day offers a chance to earn and celebrate

For these Pakistani women, Independence Day offers a chance to earn and celebrate
Updated 59 min 32 sec ago

For these Pakistani women, Independence Day offers a chance to earn and celebrate

For these Pakistani women, Independence Day offers a chance to earn and celebrate
  • Housewives, maids, mothers turn to selling flags and festive goods for extra income during Aug. 14 rush
  • Seasonal stalls in Pakistan’s commercial center can bring women vendors savings of up to $54 in a few days

KARACHI: In the days before Pakistan’s Independence Day, the streets of Karachi fill with green and white flags, bunting and balloons, but for many women in the city, the national celebration is also a time to step into business — if only for a few days.

Housewives, maids and street vendors set up temporary stalls along busy roads and markets, selling flags, badges, hats and T-shirts to customers celebrating the August 14 holiday.

In an economy where inflation has eroded incomes and steady jobs are scarce, the seasonal rush offers a welcome boost to household finances.

“August 14 is Independence Day, a day of happiness, so we also celebrate our happiness and earn a livelihood for the children,” said Shama Sikandar, a housewife selling Independence Day T-shirts for the first time this year from a roadside stall on Shahra-e-Quaideen.

“Before this, I would just stay at home and do nothing all year.”

She said the sight of other women working outside the home inspired her to try.

“It feels good to be working. I have seen many women even driving rickshaws, some riding motorcycles, some pushing carts, and others doing various jobs to earn a livelihood for their children.”

In Karachi, seasonal vendors crowd key intersections and shopping strips ahead of the holiday, calling out to passing motorists and pedestrians. The sales supplement incomes for women who otherwise rely on low-paying, year-round work.

For 32-year-old maid and mother of three, Saima Babar, the August rush is a planned investment.

From her savings of 30,000 rupees ($105), she buys flags and other celebratory goods to sell on the streets.

“Thanks to Allah, the household runs, we manage one meal a day, and that’s fine, right? My children are doing okay,” she said. “[By selling flags] I manage to save about 10 to 12 thousand rupees ($36–$43).”

Husna, a mother of seven who usually sells pens and keychains at traffic lights in Karachi’s upscale Defense area, shifts her stall to the Sindhi Muslim neighborhood every August.

“On some flags, I earn 20 rupees ($0.07) profit; on others, 30 rupees ($0.11). In this way, I make around 1,200 rupees ($4.30) a day,” she said, before handing over a badge and a couple of flags to a customer.

“Our livelihood is made; there’s enough for bread, water, and lentils. It’s happiness for you, and it’s happiness for us too. Pakistan Zindabad.”

Even women who have been selling for years say the holiday provides a reliable boost.

Sajan Kumar and his wife, Suman, have been setting up a flag stall on Shahra-e-Faisal every August for the past eight years.

“As soon as August 14 arrives, we come here to sell flags,” Kumar said. “It’s a day of celebration. We sell every year. People buy them, celebrate, and also come with their children to stroll around. We manage to save around 10 to 15 thousand rupees ($36–$54).”

Pakistan marks its 79th Independence Day this year under the theme “Marka-e-Haq – the Battle of Truth,” with celebrations beginning on Aug. 1 and running through the month. Across Sindh and Punjab provinces, flag-raising ceremonies, cultural shows, boat parades, marathons, and even donkey cart races have drawn large crowds.

For Babar, the more the merrier.

“The more people celebrate, the more purchases there are, right?” she said with a smile.


US actress Lana Parrilla shines in Jacquie Aiche jewelry

US actress Lana Parrilla shines in Jacquie Aiche jewelry
Updated 13 August 2025

US actress Lana Parrilla shines in Jacquie Aiche jewelry

US actress Lana Parrilla shines in Jacquie Aiche jewelry
  • US actress at premiere of ‘The Rainmaker’ in which she stars
  • Egyptian US designer Jacquie Aiche has top celebrity clients

DUBAI: American actress Lana Parrilla attended the premiere of “The Rainmaker” this week in New York, turning heads in a black ensemble paired with jewelry by US-Egyptian brand Jacquie Aiche.

Parrilla accessorized her look with gold bracelets, rings and drop earrings from the Los Angeles-based label, known for its fusion of bohemian and Middle Eastern-inspired fine jewelry.

Her high-neck, sleeveless black gown featured a belted waist and sheer pleated skirt.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

The actress, who is best known for her role as Regina Mills, also known as the Evil Queen, in the long-running ABC series “Once Upon a Time,” stars in the new legal drama series “The Rainmaker,” a television adaptation of John Grisham’s 1995 novel.

Parrilla plays Jocelyn “Bruiser” Stone, a seasoned and unconventional lawyer who guides a young attorney through the complexities of the legal world.

The series focuses on Rudy Baylor, played by Milo Callaghan, a newly graduated law student who teams up with Bruiser and her paralegal Deck Shifflet (P. J. Byrne) after being dismissed from his firm.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Together, they pursue a high-stakes case against a powerful insurance company, led by attorney Leo F. Drummond, played by “Mad Men” actor John Slattery.

The series also features performances by Madison Iseman, Dan Fogler, Robyn Cara, and Wade Briggs.

During the premiere Cara wore a black gown by Lebanese designer Elie Saab. The British actress’ dress featured a sheer flowing train and a plunging neckline. The dress combined a delicate lace bodice with a fitted waist and a semi-sheer skirt.

The 10-episode drama will premiere on USA Network on Aug. 15 and will also be available to stream on Peacock starting Aug.16.

Aiche launched her eponymous label from her garage in 2008. She now has an impressive celebrity client list that includes Rihanna, Selena Gomez, Katy Perry and Shanina Shaik.

The stylists of these celebrities flock to Aiche’s Beverly Hills showroom to adorn their clients in her signature delicate earrings, finger bracelets and chokers ahead of red-carpet events.

The jeweler is also the brainchild behind Chrissy Teigen’s bespoke engagement ring from John Legend.

Her pieces often feature Arab influences such as hammered gold, amulets and the evil eye talisman. And natural elements including turquoise, fossils and precious gemstones, which are a nod to her indigenous American ancestors.