ISLAMABAD: Pakistan鈥檚 ruling coalition faced fresh strain on Wednesday after former foreign minister Bilawal Bhutto-Zardari summoned a high-level meeting of his party to decide its stance amid an escalating rift with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif鈥檚 government at the center.
The disagreement between the two main coalition partners 鈥 Bhutto-Zardari鈥檚 Pakistan People鈥檚 Party (PPP) and Sharif鈥檚 Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) 鈥 has widened over how to distribute federal relief funds to victims of recent floods that have killed more than 1,000 people across Pakistan this year.
The PPP wants cash aid routed through the federal Benazir Income Support Programme (BISP), a welfare scheme named after Bhutto-Zardari鈥檚 late mother and former premier Benazir Bhutto, while Punjab鈥檚 PML-N government insists on using its own provincial damage assessments.
Tensions intensified after Punjab Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz, the daughter of former Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and the PM鈥檚 niece, defended her province鈥檚 right to control its water resources. The remarks angered the PPP-led government in Sindh province, which lies downstream along the Indus River, Pakistan鈥檚 main water source, and has long accused Punjab of hoarding water flows.
The escalating feud has raised questions about the durability of the coalition that has governed Pakistan since early 2024 under a post-election power-sharing arrangement.
鈥淐hairman Bilawal Bhutto Zardari has summoned a meeting of the Pakistan People鈥檚 Party鈥檚 Central Executive Committee at Bilawal House Karachi. Important decisions regarding national politics will be made in the meeting,鈥 the PPP said in a post on X, formerly Twitter.
President Asif Ali Zardari, Bhutto-Zardari鈥檚 father and co-chairman of the PPP, has also called Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi, seen as close to Pakistan鈥檚 military leadership, to Karachi to help defuse tensions.
On Wednesday evening, the president met Naqvi, Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar and National Assembly Speaker Ayaz Sadiq in Nawabshah in a meeting widely seen as part of efforts to defuse tensions within the ruling coalition.
PPP spokesperson Nadeem Afzal Chan told Arab News the party would discuss 鈥渢he future of the alliance鈥 at the upcoming meeting, scheduled for Oct. 18.
鈥淭he party has made certain demands, including local government elections in Punjab, use of BISP data for flood relief, and support measures for farmers,鈥 he said. 鈥淭he party will continue to raise its voice in favor of these demands.鈥
Punjab Information Minister Azma Bukhari, a close aide to Maryam Nawaz, rejected the PPP鈥檚 accusations and dismissed calls for an apology from the Punjab chief minister.
鈥淕iving dictation and interference in administrative affairs is not acceptable,鈥 Bukhari told Arab News.
鈥淭hey are our allies. They can advise us, but it is the prerogative of the government and the chief minister to accept or reject that advice. They should not use this advice as a blackmailing tool. Their recommendations are welcome, but the government will see what it can do.鈥
She said BISP data 鈥渋s different than flood loss data,鈥 explaining that Punjab鈥檚 government was calculating losses of property, livestock and crops independently.
鈥淢aryam Nawaz will never apologize, and why would she apologize? Should she apologize for standing with Punjab? It is out of the question,鈥 Bukhari added, when asked if the CM would withdraw her comments on water resources.
While opposition politicians have urged Bhutto-Zardari鈥檚 party to move a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Sharif, most analysts say such an escalation remains improbable.
After the February 2024 general elections, no single party won a parliamentary majority. Candidates backed by jailed former premier Imran Khan鈥檚 Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) ran as independents and secured the largest bloc of seats, but were unable to form a government. The PML-N and PPP subsequently stitched together a coalition through complex National Assembly arithmetic, bringing in smaller parties to reach a majority.
This coalition is widely believed to have the backing of Pakistan鈥檚 powerful military establishment, which has long played a decisive role in shaping political outcomes and continues to be seen as a stabilizing force behind the current setup.
鈥淭he tensions will ultimately die down as the government has full backing of the [military] establishment. Maryam Nawaz is unlikely to apologize for her statements, but there could be some sort of clarification,鈥 senior journalist Mazhar Abbas said.
Veteran journalist Suhail Warraich also said the row would likely end in reconciliation.
鈥淭he end will be that the two parties will patch up, nothing more,鈥 Warraich told Arab News.
鈥淭his will happen without any apology from Maryam Nawaz. These issues create noise but rarely lead to breakups.鈥