Pakistan’s Indus River faces ‘very high flood’ at Guddu as Punjab waters begin to recede

Pakistan’s Indus River faces ‘very high flood’ at Guddu as Punjab waters begin to recede
A resident walks with stick through a flooded road after a rain, following a recent monsoon season, in Karachi, Pakistan, on September 10, 2025. (REUTERS)
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Pakistan’s Indus River faces ‘very high flood’ at Guddu as Punjab waters begin to recede

Pakistan’s Indus River faces ‘very high flood’ at Guddu as Punjab waters begin to recede
  • Flood authority warns Indus flows rising at Guddu Barrage, a key dam in Sindh controlling water to southern Pakistan
  • Punjab says water levels at headworks easing after deadly monsoon floods but millions still remain displaced

KARACHI: Pakistan’s flood authority on Thursday warned that the Indus River will reach “very high flood” levels at Guddu Barrage, a major dam in Sindh province that regulates flows to southern Pakistan, within 48 hours, as swollen rivers from Punjab move south and officials there reported conditions gradually improving.

Punjab, home to more than half of Pakistan’s 240 million people and its main farming belt, has been devastated since late August when record monsoon rains swelled the Ravi, Chenab and Sutlej rivers simultaneously in a historic first. Punjab officials say 79 people have died and nearly two million acres of farmland submerged in the province’s worst flooding in four decades.

According to the Punjab disaster authority, the Chenab River was still carrying heavy volumes on Thursday afternoon, with more than 150,000 cubic feet per second flowing through Trimmu, one of its major control points, and above 90,000 at Qadirabad further downstream.

The Sutlej River was also running high, pushing over 120,000 cubic feet per second through its headworks at Sulemanki and Islam, while the Ravi had stabilized at lower levels. Officials said the overall pattern showed that enormous volumes of water were continuing to drain southward from Punjab into the Indus.

“River Indus at Guddu is expected to attain Very High Flood level during the next 48 hours. River Indus at Sukur is expected to attain High Flood level after 48 hours,” the Flood Forecasting Division said.

By Thursday afternoon, Guddu Barrage itself was carrying more than 505,000 cusecs, with gauges upstream at Chachran showing levels steady at nearly 298 feet, officials said.

Guddu and Sukkur are the two main barrages that channel Indus waters into central and southern Sindh, protecting densely populated areas further downstream.

Sindh Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah said in a statement Sukkur Barrage had safely handled over 1.1 million cusecs of water in recent days.

“Sukkur Barrage is a great masterpiece of 1932 and was built by the best engineers of that time,” he said, adding that “climate change has made it necessary to enhance the capacity of barrages.”

He said reinforcement works were under way at 45 vulnerable points across the province.

A day earlier, Shah said the “super-flood” threat in Sindh had receded.

“By the grace of God, the threat of a nine- to ten-lakh cusec flood in Sindh has passed,” he told a private TV channel, according to the provincial authorities.

SOUTHERN PUNJAB

Meanwhile, rescue operations remain focused in southern Punjab’s Jalalpur Pirwala, a tehsil near the city of Multan where the Chenab and Sutlej converge and floodwaters have inundated entire villages.

“With the help of the Pakistan Army, relief goods are being delivered to the affected areas,” said PDMA Director General Irfan Ali Kathia.

He said 706,000 people had been affected in Jalalpur Pirwala, 362,000 moved to safer places and more than 311,000 livestock relocated.

“Rescue operations will continue until all victims are moved to safe places,” he added.

Punjab Information Minister Azma Bukhari said 3,628 people had been evacuated from Multan in the past three days, and that water levels at key headworks, including Muhammad Wala and Sher Shah Bridge, were “no longer critical.”

Punjab Relief Commissioner Nabil Javed said more than 4.3 million people across the province had been affected and 2.26 million moved to safe places.

He said 396 relief camps, 490 medical camps and 412 veterinary camps were operating, and 1.7 million animals had been relocated.

The Pakistan Meteorological Department forecast no significant rain until at least Sept. 15, giving flooded areas in Punjab time to drain.

But officials have cautioned that swollen rivers would continue pushing south into Sindh for days, requiring close monitoring of dykes and barrages.

Nationwide, nearly 1,000 people have been killed in Pakistan since the monsoon season began on June 26.

“The floods have caused a lot of destruction,” Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif told a cabinet meeting in Islamabad on Wednesday. “Today, after the consultation, the cabinet is announcing a climate emergency and an agricultural emergency.”


Pakistan floods pose risks to recovery, may strain fiscal account — central bank

Pakistan floods pose risks to recovery, may strain fiscal account — central bank
Updated 11 September 2025

Pakistan floods pose risks to recovery, may strain fiscal account — central bank

Pakistan floods pose risks to recovery, may strain fiscal account — central bank
  • Central bank warns torrential rains could weaken agriculture loan repayments
  • Report says banking sector resilient despite flood-related pressures

KARACHI: Pakistan’s central bank warned this week recent torrential rains and flooding could weigh on the country’s fragile economic recovery by straining public finances and hurting farmers’ ability to repay loans.

The State Bank of Pakistan (SBP), in its mid-year review of the banking sector, said while inflation had eased and the currency had stabilized, the impact of climate shocks was now a major concern.

“Recent torrential rains and flooding could pose some challenges to the economic recovery, and may exert pressures on the fiscal account,” the report said.

The floods, which have swamped parts of Punjab and Sindh provinces, are expected to hit the agriculture sector hardest. Farmers dependent on seasonal harvests face the greatest repayment risks.

“The recent heavy floods may weaken the repayment capacity of agri borrowers,” the SBP said, though it noted agriculture loans form a relatively small share of bank lending.

Despite these risks, the central bank said the overall financial system remains strong, pointing to stress tests showing that large, systemically important banks could absorb even severe shocks over the next two years.

“Accordingly, the earning as well as solvency position of the banking sector is likely to remain steady,” the report said, citing “adequate capital cushions” and improving business confidence.

Pakistan has faced repeated climate disasters, most notably the 2022 “super floods” that inundated a third of the country and caused more than $30 billion in damage. T

This year’s floods have again highlighted the country’s vulnerability to climate shocks, even as it implements a $7 billion International Monetary Fund (IMF) program requiring fiscal consolidation.


Rescuers in Pakistan scramble to save residents as swollen rivers reach dangerous levels

Rescuers in Pakistan scramble to save residents as swollen rivers reach dangerous levels
Updated 11 September 2025

Rescuers in Pakistan scramble to save residents as swollen rivers reach dangerous levels

Rescuers in Pakistan scramble to save residents as swollen rivers reach dangerous levels
  • Rescuers backed by army raced Wednesday to evacuate thousands from flooded villages near city of Jalalpur Pirwala
  • Stranded villagers complained those who could afford private boats escaped quickly, leaving poor to wait for rescuers

SHER SHAH, Pakistan: Rescuers backed by the military raced Wednesday to evacuate thousands of people from flooded villages near the city of Jalalpur Pirwala in eastern Pakistan, officials said, as authorities struggled to shore up embankments against rising waters which touched the official danger mark.

The rescue operation continued overnight and was ongoing.

The flooding has affected nearly 142,000 people in the area, Relief Commissioner Nabil Javed said. Many displaced residents have moved in with relatives, while others are spending sleepless nights on embankments or in relief camps after their homes were submerged.

On Wednesday, rescue crews in boats were seen crisscrossing the waters, pulling people from trees and rooftops. But many stranded villagers complained that those who could afford private boats escaped quickly, leaving the poor to wait for rescuers.

Since Aug. 23, about 4,000 villages across Punjab have been submerged, affecting more than 4.2 million people, displacing 2.1 million and killing at least 68 after heavier-than-normal monsoon rains and repeated releases of water from overflowing Indian dams, according to the Punjab Disaster Management Authority.

“Those who could pay owners of private boats have already left the village,” said survivor Bilal Ahmed, who spoke from a relief camp. “I paid money to use a private boat to leave my village.” He said food supplies are scarce and displaced families receive only one meal a day.

Residents sit in a rescue boat as they evacuate following monsoon rains and rising water levels in the Chenab River, in Basti Khan Bela, on the outskirts of Jalalpur Pirwala, Punjab province, Pakistan, on September 10, 2025. (REUTERS)

At roadside tents, families waited for food as children cried and women whispered prayers for the waters to recede, hoping for a miracle.

Torrential rains on Wednesday also flooded streets in Karachi, the capital of southern Sindh province. Officials warned that water from swollen rivers will flow into Sindh this week, raising fears of damage downstream.

On Wednesday, bulldozers and heavy machinery were reinforcing embankments around Jalalpur Pirwala in a desperate attempt to protect the city of about 700,000. Authorities said that if the city is breached, hundreds of thousands of lives could be at risk.

Punjab Chief Minister Maryam Nawaz Sharif visited Jalalpur Pirwala and pledged compensation for families who lost relatives, homes and livestock in the floods. In a televised speech, she vowed to “fulfill every promise.”

According to the Pakistan Meteorological Department, the Ravi, Chenab, and Sutlej rivers are all in high flood, with water levels reaching the danger mark. Jalalpur Pirwala lies at the confluence of the Chenab and Sutlej rivers before they flow south toward Sindh province, where evacuations are underway in anticipation of flooding.

Irfan Ali Kathia, director general of the provincial disaster management authority, said he was confident the city would be saved.

“More rescue boats have been dispatched,” he said, but he blamed villagers for ignoring repeated warnings. An Associated Press reporter saw families standing knee-deep in muddy water waiting for rescue boats.

For many of those rescued, the future remains uncertain.

“My wife and children are still trapped in our flooded home,” said Muhammad Arshad, tears in his eyes as he boarded a rescue boat. “When the floods came, I was outside the village. For three days, I waited for a boat. Today is my first chance to see them.”

Saima Hussain, 35, who fled her village by an evacuation boat, recounted a haunting scene from her escape. “I saw rescuers pulling a woman’s body from the water,” she said. “Her baby was still alive, clinging to her chest.”

Holding her own baby, she said she had nothing to feed him.

“For two days, he hasn’t had milk,” she said. “God saved us, but we need help as we are now fighting hunger,” she said. ”I hope for a miracle. We pray for the water to recede,” Hussain said.

Since late June, flooding has killed more than 900 people across Pakistan.


Pakistan, UAE appoint special representatives to step up anti-narcotics cooperation

Pakistan, UAE appoint special representatives to step up anti-narcotics cooperation
Updated 11 September 2025

Pakistan, UAE appoint special representatives to step up anti-narcotics cooperation

Pakistan, UAE appoint special representatives to step up anti-narcotics cooperation
  • Pakistan cites 400 arrests, five tons of drugs seized in joint operations with UAE
  • UAE last year set up a federal anti-narcotics authority to unify drug control policies

ISLAMABAD: Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates have appointed special representatives to coordinate anti-narcotics efforts and bolster intelligence sharing and joint operations against drug trafficking networks, the interior ministry in Islamabad said on Thursday. 

The decision was announced after talks in Islamabad between Pakistan’s Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi and Sheikh Zayed bin Hamad bin Hamdan Al Nahyan, chairman of the UAE’s National Anti-Narcotics Authority. 

The move ties into broader regional efforts, following April’s Pakistan-hosted Pak-GCC Anti-Narcotics Conference, where Gulf states agreed to deepen cooperation against the smuggling of heroin, synthetic drugs and precursors across the region.

“For strengthening anti-narcotics cooperation, Pakistan appointed DG ANF Major General Abdul Mueed, while the UAE appointed Brig. Tahir Gharib as special representative,” a statement from the Pakistani interior ministry said.

Naqvi welcomed the establishment of the UAE’s federal anti-narcotics body and congratulated Sheikh Zayed on becoming its first chairman, calling it a milestone in bilateral cooperation. He said Pakistan was acting as a “frontline force” in the fight against drugs and stressed that those involved in the “heinous trade” were being dealt with firmly.

Naqvi cited the arrest of 400 people allegedly involved in smuggling narcotics into the UAE and the seizure of around five tons of drugs, saying such successes were only possible “through joint efforts and timely exchange of information.” 

He also pointed to an uptick in synthetic drug smuggling in recent months and said Pakistan had launched a crackdown on the criminal networks behind it.

As quoted in the statement, Sheikh Zayed pledged full support from the Emirati side, saying:

“Every possible cooperation will also be provided by the UAE in the field of anti-narcotics. We must strengthen mutual cooperation so that we can provide a better future for coming generations.”


Pakistan says 19 militants killed in three operations in northwest

Pakistan says 19 militants killed in three operations in northwest
Updated 11 September 2025

Pakistan says 19 militants killed in three operations in northwest

Pakistan says 19 militants killed in three operations in northwest
  • ISPR says weapons and ammunition recovered as troops continue area ‘sanitization operations’
  • President Asif Zardari hails the raids as proof of Pakistan’s resolve to eradicate militant violence

ISLAMABAD: Pakistani security forces killed 19 militants in three separate operations in the country’s northwest this week, the military’s media wing, Inter-Services Public Relations (ISPR), said on Thursday.

Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which Islamabad calls “khwarij,” an early-Islamic term for rebels who declared other Muslims apostates, has intensified attacks in the region in recent years. Pakistani officials often accuse the TTP and separatist groups such as the Baloch Liberation Army of being backed by India, a charge New Delhi denies.

“On 9-10 September, nineteen Khwarij belonging to Indian Proxy, Fitna al Khwarij were sent to hell in three separate engagements in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa Province,” the ISPR said.

“Weapons and ammunition were also recovered from Indian sponsored killed Khwarij, who remained actively involved in numerous terrorist activities in these areas,” it added.

According to the statement, security forces first launched an intelligence-based operation in the Guluno area of Mohmand district, where 14 militants were killed after an intense exchange of fire.

A second operation in Datta Khel, North Waziristan, left four militants dead, while another encounter in Bannu district killed one.

ISPR said “sanitization operations” were continuing to eliminate any remaining fighters in these areas, reaffirming that security forces were determined to eradicate militant violence from the country.

President Asif Ali Zardari praised the operations, saying the courage and professionalism of Pakistan’s soldiers “continue to protect the nation from the scourge of terrorism.” He vowed Pakistan would keep pursuing militants “until every last terrorist and their facilitators are brought to justice.”


Pakistan’s top refiner Cnergyico to boost fuel oil exports as domestic sales plummet

Pakistan’s top refiner Cnergyico to boost fuel oil exports as domestic sales plummet
Updated 11 September 2025

Pakistan’s top refiner Cnergyico to boost fuel oil exports as domestic sales plummet

Pakistan’s top refiner Cnergyico to boost fuel oil exports as domestic sales plummet
  • Company recently made Pakistan’s first purchase of low-sulfur US crude to cut high-sulfur fuel oil output
  • Pakistan’s fuel-oil power generation has declined with lower demand amid rising solar and nuclear output

SINGAPORE: Pakistan’s largest refiner Cnergyico expects to boost fuel oil exports by 35 percent to 40 percent during the fiscal year ending June 2026 as high taxes have cut into domestic sales, its vice chairman said.

Pakistan levied additional taxes of about 40 percent on domestic sales of fuel oil in June, on top of a consumption tax of 18 percent, effectively shutting its refiners out of the domestic market.

The company has exported 80,000 tons, or 95 percent of its production, from July to date, versus 55 percent in the last fiscal year that ended in June, Usama Qureshi told Reuters on the sidelines of the APPEC conference.

Sales of fuel oil, mainly used by ships, typically make up 10 percent to 15 percent of the refiner’s annual revenue.

Cnergyico exported 247,000 metric tons (1.57 million barrels) in the fiscal year ended June, and an increase of 35 percent to 40 percent would boost annual exports to 333,000 tons to 346,000 tons.

Pakistan’s fuel oil exports jumped to an all-time high of 242,000 tons in August, data from analytics firm Kpler showed.

Cnergyico is upgrading its refinery complex to reduce fuel oil production and boost fuel sales to the domestic market, in line with Pakistan’s policy guidelines to upgrade refineries to produce cleaner fuels, Qureshi said in an interview.

“We will be importing more sweet crude and upgrading the refinery to produce cleaner diesel and gasoline, and also plan to set up fuel oil cracking facilities to boost gasoline production,” Qureshi added.

Cnergyico mainly imports so-called sour crude, with high sulfur content, from the Middle East, and booked Pakistan’s first-ever purchase of US crude last month.

US crude grades typically contain low levels of sulfur, and produce less fuel oil when refined.

Domestic sales of fuel oil are typically more profitable, while export revenue depends on fuel oil cracks, Qureshi said.

The company sold fuel oil to traders who exported it to destinations such as southern Europe, Singapore and the United Arab Emirates.

Pakistan has a significant fuel oil-based power generation capacity, but utilization has plunged this decade, due to lower power demand, higher solar adoption and increased generation from other clean energy sources such as nuclear.