黑料社区

How Gulf ties became key focus of India鈥檚 foreign policy over past decade

How Gulf ties became key focus of India鈥檚 foreign policy over past decade
In this handout picture released by the official Saudi Press Agency (SPA), 黑料社区's Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman (R) escorts Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi during their meeting at Al-Salam Royal Palace in Jeddah on April 22, 2025. (AFP/ file)
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Updated 09 June 2025

How Gulf ties became key focus of India鈥檚 foreign policy over past decade

How Gulf ties became key focus of India鈥檚 foreign policy over past decade
  • Modi is the only Indian PM to have officially visited all GCC states
  • By 2018, the GCC became India鈥檚 largest regional trading bloc

Ties with Gulf countries have become a key focus of India鈥檚 foreign policy over the past 10 years, the latest report by the Council for Strategic and Defense Research shows, highlighting New Delhi鈥檚 special focus on 黑料社区 and the UAE.

Headquartered in the Indian capital, the CSDR is a think tank specializing in research on geopolitics, foreign policy, and military strategy. Its report published last month, 鈥淔rom Trees to Forests: The Evolution of India-Middle East Ties post 2014,鈥 highlights India鈥檚 investment in bilateral relations with Gulf Cooperation Council countries, which are independent of larger global frameworks.

The effort to strengthen the connection started before Prime Minister Narendra Modi took office in 2014, but it has gained momentum with his frequent visits to the six-member bloc comprising 黑料社区, the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain and Oman.

鈥淚n the last 10 years, India has substantiated this effort by filling crucial gaps in political, economic, and military contact with key states, with a special focus on 黑料社区 and the UAE,鈥 Bashir Ali Abbas, senior research associate at CSDR and the report鈥檚 author, told Arab News.

鈥淚n the last 10 years, the Middle East has also emerged as a strategic space for India, with new defense relationships, and economic visions which also fit with the Gulf鈥檚 own focus on economic diversification.鈥

While India鈥檚 relations with the Gulf region span centuries, it currently has the largest concentration of the Indian diaspora 鈥 about 9.7 million people.

鈥淎nd India鈥檚 top oil suppliers at any point in time inevitably are at least three Gulf states. This alone necessitates that India pay close attention to the region,鈥 Abbas said.

鈥淚n India, policy makers and official decision-making institutions have updated their understanding of the region, but more importantly its changing nature. This evolved understanding has enabled the rise of new strategic partnerships, and PM Narendra Modi is the only Indian PM to have officially visited all six states of the Gulf Cooperation Council.鈥

By 2018, the GCC became India鈥檚 largest regional trading bloc, with an annual trade value of $104 billion in FY2017-2018. The volume that year surpassed India-ASEAN trade of $81 billion, and India-EU trade 鈥 $102 billion.

Currently, it is even higher, with the Indian government estimating it at $162 billion in FY2023-24.

In 2019, India became only the fourth state to establish a Strategic Partnership Council with 黑料社区, following Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman鈥檚 visit to New Delhi.

During the Kingdom鈥檚 presidency of the Group of 20 largest economies in 2020, the two countries started to forge partnerships and bilateral programs that saw further development as India took the G20 presidency in 2023.

Over the past four years, the countries have since also engaged in a series of bilateral navy, air force and army exercises.

鈥淭oday, India sees 黑料社区 as a strategic partner, with political and economic ties robust enough to also substantial cooperation in defense and security,鈥 Abbas said.

鈥淕iven both India鈥檚 own Viksit Bharat 2047 development vision and (the crown prince鈥檚) Vision 2030, India and 黑料社区 are now driven by shared economic and strategic goals.鈥

With the UAE, India signed a Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement in 2022, following which their bilateral trade grew to $85 billion in just over a year. The number of multi-sectoral memoranda of understanding between Indian and Emirati public and private entities has since reached over 80, according to the CSDR report.

鈥淚ndia also sought to reframe other bilateral relationships where fresh opportunities had arisen,鈥 it said, adding that New Delhi was 鈥渃losing the Gulf circle,鈥 with strategic partnerships signed with Kuwait during Modi鈥檚 visit in 2024, and with Qatar during Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al-Thani鈥檚 state trip to New Delhi in early 2025.

The relations 鈥渨ill certainly see a positive trajectory in the near and distant future 鈥 especially if it is backed up by greater avenues of intellectual contact,鈥 Abbas said.

鈥淕reater intellectual contact and an evolved popular understanding will enhance the strategic relationships between India and its Arab partners, through the injection of more ideas, perspectives, and actors who can work as champions for closer ties.鈥


Nigerian state signs peace pact with criminal gangs: official

Nigerian state signs peace pact with criminal gangs: official
Updated 19 sec ago

Nigerian state signs peace pact with criminal gangs: official

Nigerian state signs peace pact with criminal gangs: official
  • Dozen bandit kingpins met with local officials to renounce violence. With no ideological leaning, the bandits are motivated by financial gains
  • As a mark of goodwill, the bandits surrendered weapons and released 17 hostages, with the promise to free more people they were holding

KANO, Nigeria: Authorities in Nigeria鈥檚 northwestern Katsina state struck a peace deal at the weekend with criminal gangs to try to end years of violence, a government official said Monday.
Katsina is one of several states in northwestern and central Nigeria terrorized by criminal gangs that the locals refer to as bandits.
The gangs raid villages, kill and abduct residents as well as torch homes after looting them.
The gangs maintain camps in a huge forest straddling Zamfara, Katsina, Kaduna states in the northwest region and Niger state in the country鈥檚 central zone and have carried out mass kidnappings of students from schools in recent years.
On Saturday, a dozen bandit kingpins met with local officials and community leaders in the town of Danmusa, where they renounced violence and pledged to turn a new leaf, Nasiru Mu鈥檃zu, Katsina state internal commissioner said.
鈥淭here was a peace meeting between 12 bandit leaders and the local community leaders in Danmusa where the bandits renounced their criminal activities and committed to peace,鈥 Mu鈥檃zu said.
The bandits initiated the meeting, he said. 鈥淭he community welcomed the overtures and agreed to a peace deal as long as the bandits are genuinely interested in peace,鈥 he said.
As a mark of goodwill, the bandits surrendered weapons and released 17 hostages, with the promise to free more people they were holding.
Authorities in Katsina had earlier ruled out peace deals after the criminal gangs reneged on peace negotiations and returned to crime.
With no ideological leaning, the bandits are motivated by financial gains but their increasing alliance with jihadists from the northeast has been raising concern among authorities and security analysts.
In 2023, Katsina state governor Dikko Umar Radda established Katsina Community Watch Corps, comprising around 2,000 vigilantes to assist the military and police in fighting the bandits.
鈥淲e have been fighting the bandits for the past two years and the state governor has reiterated he will not negotiate from a position of weakness,鈥 Mu鈥檃zu said.
鈥淏ut since they on their own came forward and extended the olive branch, we have to give them that opportunity.鈥
In November last year, neighboring Kaduna state, which has rejected negotiation with bandits, signed a peace accord with the criminal gangs terrorizing Birnin-Gwari district.


Hunger crisis deepens in global hotspots as famine risk rises, UN warns

Hunger crisis deepens in global hotspots as famine risk rises, UN warns
Updated 22 min 17 sec ago

Hunger crisis deepens in global hotspots as famine risk rises, UN warns

Hunger crisis deepens in global hotspots as famine risk rises, UN warns
  • Conflict, economic shocks, and climate-related hazards blamed for harsh conditions in the worst-hit areas

ROME: Extreme hunger is intensifying in 13 global hot spots, with Gaza, Sudan, South Sudan, Haiti, and Mali at immediate risk of famine without urgent humanitarian intervention, a joint UN report warned on Monday.

The 鈥淗unger Hotspots鈥 report by the UN Food and Agriculture Organization and World Food Programme blamed conflict, economic shocks, and climate-related hazards for conditions in the worst-hit areas.

The report predicts food crises in the next five months.

It called for investment and help to ensure aid delivery, which it said was being undermined by insecurity and funding gaps.

鈥淭his report is a red alert. We know where hunger is rising and we know who is at risk,鈥 said WFP Executive Director Cindy McCain. 

鈥淲ithout funding and access, we cannot save lives.鈥

For famine to be declared, at least 20 percent of the population in an area must be suffering extreme food shortages, with 30 percent of children acutely malnourished and two people out of every 10,000 dying daily from starvation or malnutrition and disease.

In Sudan, where famine was confirmed in 2024, the crisis is expected to persist due to conflict and displacement, with almost 25 million people at risk.

South Sudan, hit by flooding and political instability, could see up to 7.7 million people in crisis, with 63,000 in famine-like conditions, the report said.

In Gaza, Israel鈥檚 continued military operations and blockade have left the entire population of 2.1 million people facing acute food insecurity, with nearly half a million at risk of famine by the end of September, the report said.

In Haiti, escalating gang violence has displaced thousands, with 8,400 already facing catastrophic hunger, while in Mali, conflict and high grain prices put 2,600 people at risk of starvation by the end of August.

Other countries of high concern include Yemen, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Myanmar, and Nigeria.

鈥淧rotecting people鈥檚 farms and animals to ensure they can keep producing food where they are, even in the toughest and harshest conditions, is not just urgent 鈥 it is essential,鈥 said FAO Director General QU Dongyu.

Some countries, such as Ethiopia, Kenya, and Lebanon, have improved and have been removed from the FAO and WFP鈥檚 Hunger Hotspots list.

The UN鈥檚 Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs said on Monday it was drastically scaling back its global humanitarian aid plans because of the 鈥渄eepest funding cuts ever鈥 鈥 leaving tens of millions of people facing dire straits.

OCHA said it was seeking $29 billion in funding for 2025 compared to the $44 billion requested initially in December, in a 鈥渉yper-prioritized鈥 appeal.

鈥淏rutal funding cuts leave us with brutal choices,鈥 OCHA chief Tom Fletcher said in a statement.

鈥淎ll we ask is 1 percent of what you chose to spend last year on war. But this isn鈥檛 just an appeal for money it鈥檚 a call for global responsibility, human solidarity, and a commitment to end the suffering.鈥

In late April, while visiting a hospital in Kandahar in Afghanistan, Fletcher warned: 鈥淐utting funding for those in greatest need is not something to boast about ... The impact of aid cuts is that millions die.鈥

With 2025 nearly halfway through, the UN has received only $5.6 billion out of the $44 billion sought initially for this year 鈥 a mere 13 percent.

In total, the original plan covered more than 70 countries and aimed to assist nearly 190 million vulnerable people.

Even so, that plan acknowledged there were 115 million people the UN could not reach.

鈥淲e have been forced into a triage of human survival,鈥 Fletcher said on Monday.

The mathematics 鈥渋s cruel, and the consequences are heartbreaking.鈥

鈥淭oo many people will not get the support they need, but we will save as many lives as we can with the resources we are given,鈥 he said.

Aid will now be directed so that it can 鈥渞each the people and places facing the most urgent needs,鈥 with those in 鈥渆xtreme or catastrophic conditions鈥 as the starting point, said Fletcher.

鈥淭his will ensure that limited resources are directed where they can do the most good 鈥 as quickly as possible,鈥 the statement said.


Norway鈥檚 king makes symbolic visit to Svalbard, in coveted Arctic

Norway鈥檚 king makes symbolic visit to Svalbard, in coveted Arctic
Updated 16 June 2025

Norway鈥檚 king makes symbolic visit to Svalbard, in coveted Arctic

Norway鈥檚 king makes symbolic visit to Svalbard, in coveted Arctic
  • the region around Svalbard has gained in geopolitical and economic importance as tensions mount between Russia and the West, not least with the ice sheet receding
  • Interest in the Arctic has intensified since US President Donald Trump鈥檚 threats this year to annex Greenland, which he says the US needs for reasons of national security

OSLO: Norway鈥檚 King Harald made a highly symbolic visit on Monday to the country鈥檚 Svalbard archipelago, located in an Arctic region coveted by superpowers like the United States, Russia and China.
Situated halfway between the European continent and the North Pole, the region around Svalbard has gained in geopolitical and economic importance as tensions mount between Russia and the West, not least with the ice sheet receding.
Interest in the Arctic has intensified since US President Donald Trump鈥檚 threats this year to annex Greenland, which he says the US needs for reasons of national security.
鈥淚t was especially appropriate to come this year,鈥 the 88-year-old monarch said after stepping off the royal yacht with his wife Sonja in Longyearbyen, Svalbard鈥檚 main town which is home to 2,500 people.
鈥淲e have seen increased attention being paid to the Arctic and Svalbard. This brings both challenges and opportunities,鈥 he added.
The king was in Svalbard to take part in celebrations marking the 100th anniversary of the entry into force of an international treaty that put the Svalbard archipelago under Norwegian rule.
Drawn up in Paris in 1920, the treaty gives the citizens of the nearly 50 signatories 鈥 including China and Russia 鈥 an equal right to exploit the archipelago鈥檚 natural resources.
As a result, Russia is able to maintain two settlements, including a mining community, in the small village of Barentsburg where a Lenin statue stands and Soviet flags are regularly flown 鈥 all in a NATO country.
China has meanwhile defined itself as a 鈥渘ear-Arctic state鈥 and has displayed a growing interest in the region.
鈥淲hen the royal yacht 鈥楴orge鈥 drops anchor with the royal standard atop the mast, this emphasizes, even more than King Harald鈥檚 words could say, that Norway is taking care of its rights and assuming its responsibilities,鈥 said Lars Nehru Sand, a commentator at public radio NRK.
鈥淭he king is here to show that this is ours,鈥 he said.


UN refugee agency says will shed 3,500 jobs due to funding cuts

UN refugee agency says will shed 3,500 jobs due to funding cuts
Updated 16 June 2025

UN refugee agency says will shed 3,500 jobs due to funding cuts

UN refugee agency says will shed 3,500 jobs due to funding cuts
  • UNHCR carried out a review of its activities, expenditure, staffing and structures following a plunge in humanitarian funding
  • It has been among a host of UN and private aid agencies badly hit by funding cuts by the United States, which previously made up more than 40 percent of UNHCR contributions received

GENEVA: The UN refugee agency said Monday it will cut 3,500 staff jobs 鈥 slashing nearly a third of its workforce costs 鈥 due to a funding shortfall, and reduce the scale of its help worldwide.
UNHCR carried out a review of its activities, expenditure, staffing and structures following a plunge in humanitarian funding.
The Office of the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees has been among a host of UN and private aid agencies badly hit by funding cuts by the United States.
The United States 鈥 which was by far UNHCR鈥檚 biggest donor 鈥 has slashed its foreign aid under a radical spending review ordered by US President Donald Trump. Other countries have also cut humanitarian spending.
Washington previously made up more than 40 percent of UNHCR contributions received 鈥 $2 billion per year, the agency鈥檚 chief Filippo Grandi told the UN Security Council in April.
鈥淚n light of difficult financial realities, UNHCR is compelled to reduce the overall scale of its operations,鈥 Grandi said in Monday鈥檚 statement.
He added that UNHCR would focus 鈥渙n activities that have the greatest impact for refugees鈥 while streamlining its Geneva headquarters and regional offices.
The agency said it had had to close or downsize offices worldwide and implement a nearly 50-percent cut in senior positions in Geneva and at the regional HQs.
鈥淚n total, approximately 3,500 staff positions will be discontinued,鈥 the statement said.
Additionally, hundreds of temporary workers have had to leave the organization due to the funding shortfall.
鈥淥verall, UNHCR estimates a global reduction in staffing costs of around 30 percent,鈥 the agency said.
It said that programs ranging from financial aid to vulnerable families, health, education, and water and sanitation had already been affected by cuts.
UNHCR said it was working with other organizations and refugee-hosting countries to try to mitigate the impact on refugees.
UNHCR estimates that it will end 2025 with available funding at about the same level as a decade ago 鈥 despite the number of people forced to flee their homes having nearly doubled over the same period to more than 122 million.
鈥淓ven as we face painful cuts and lose so many dedicated colleagues, our commitment to refugees remains unshakeable,鈥 said Grandi.
鈥淎lthough resources are scarcer and our capacity to deliver is reduced, we will continue to work hard to respond to emergencies, protect the rights of refugees, and pursue solutions 鈥 including returning home, as nearly two million Syrians have done since December.鈥
Syria鈥檚 civil war erupted in 2011, and ruler Bashar Assad was overthrown in December 2024.
Sudan is now the world鈥檚 largest forced displacement situation, with its 14.3 million refugees and internally displaced people overtaking Syria (13.5 million), followed by Afghanistan (10.3 million) and Ukraine (8.8 million).
At the end of 2024, one in 67 people worldwide were forcibly displaced, UNHCR said Thursday.


India to count its population in 2027, after six-year delay

India to count its population in 2027, after six-year delay
Updated 16 June 2025

India to count its population in 2027, after six-year delay

India to count its population in 2027, after six-year delay
  • Caste information to be included in the census for the first time since 1931
  • Experts expect caste details to lead to a reform of affirmative action policies

NEW DELHI: After a six-year delay, India is set to count its population in the 2027 census, the government said on Monday, as it prepares to also record caste data for the first time in nearly a century.

One of the world鈥檚 largest administrative undertakings, India鈥檚 population census was originally scheduled for 2021, but has faced multiple delays 鈥 mainly due to the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Ministry of Home Affairs issued a gazette notification, declaring that the census 鈥渟hall be taken during the year 2027.鈥

The ministry did not specify when the process of counting India鈥檚 population 鈥 currently estimated at nearly 1.46 billion 鈥 would begin, but the process of house listing and enumeration is set to be complete before March鈥1,鈥2027, for most of the country, and by Oct.鈥1,鈥2026, for snow-bound and remote regions such as Ladakh, Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand.

The last census was conducted in 2011 and provided critical data for planning welfare schemes, allocating federal funds, and drawing electoral boundaries.

In 2027, for the first time since 1931 鈥 when India was still under British colonial rule 鈥 caste details will be collected as well.

India鈥檚 caste system, which is rooted in Hindu scriptures, historically divided the population into a hierarchy that dictated people鈥檚 occupations, living areas, and marriage prospects based on their family of birth. While originally a Hindu practice, many non-Hindu communities in India also identify with certain castes today.

For centuries, those in the lowest ranks of the hierarchy have faced marginalization and social restrictions.

After gaining independence from Britain in 1947, India banned caste-based discrimination and created specific caste categories for affirmative action policies.

鈥淥nce you count the number of people of various castes, it is going to lead to a political empowerment because of those people who are underrepresented in politics, in elections, in jobs, in the private sector,鈥 Nilanjan Mukhopadhyay, political commentator and Narendra Modi鈥檚 biographer, told Arab News.

鈥淚ndia鈥檚 policy of reservations 鈥 which is otherwise known as positive discrimination in other countries like the US 鈥 is going to become more widespread and more systemic, and thereby it is going to lead to some amount of friction between various castes.鈥

India has specific caste categories for affirmative action policies, reserving up to 50 percent of government jobs and educational seats for marginalized groups. The census containing caste details may lead to altering the rate, as the number of lower caste Indians is much higher.

鈥淲e hope that they will be getting better representation. And other political parties will also have to give due weightage to people from these castes, which are not represented. So even in politics, you鈥檒l have tickets being distributed to people from other castes,鈥 Mukhopadhyay said.

鈥淭his is going to be the next wave of political empowerment of the existing underprivileged and underrepresented castes and communities.鈥

Prime Minister Narendra Modi鈥檚 government announced in April that counting castes in the upcoming census will 鈥渆nsure that our social fabric does not come under political pressure鈥 and 鈥渢hat society becomes stronger economically and socially.鈥

But the idea to include it came from the opposition, which for the past six years has been demanding that caste details be included in the census. The most vocal advocate of it has been Rahul Gandhi, the leader of the Congress Party and Modi鈥檚 key rival.

The census is likely to provide information that will not only inspire social change but may also impact the political scene, which has been dominated by Modi鈥檚 Bharatiya Janata Party since 2014.

鈥淚f there is one thing that can really counter communalism and majoritarian politics it is the caste. Rahul Gandhi picked up the caste census issue quite late, but he made it a point by raising the issue,鈥 said Ambarish Kumar, political analyst and host of a news analysis show.

鈥淚f you look at any field, the small demography of upper castes dominates almost every field 鈥 The caste census is an attempt to address this grave anomaly. The caste census will bring the marginal communities into the focus of the government policies which are not there.鈥