Biden’s Israel policy has eroded support for Democrats among Arab Americans: Survey

Palestinians flee to the southern Gaza Strip on Salah al-Din Street in Bureij, Gaza Strip, Friday, Nov. 10, 2023. (AP/File Photo)
Palestinians flee to the southern Gaza Strip on Salah al-Din Street in Bureij, Gaza Strip, Friday, Nov. 10, 2023. (AP/File Photo)
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Updated 22 October 2024

Biden’s Israel policy has eroded support for Democrats among Arab Americans: Survey

Biden’s Israel policy has eroded support for Democrats among Arab Americans: Survey
  • Poll illustrates how attitudes have switched from the Democrats to the Republicans
  • Perception is that the Biden administration has failed to rein in Israel or hold it to account

LONDON: When Arab Americans go to the polls on Nov. 5 to cast their vote for the next US president, more of them intend to vote for Republican candidate Donald Trump than his Democratic rival Kamala Harris.

The finding is one of several surprising results from a poll conducted for Arab News by YouGov. 

The Arab-American vote is virtually polarized. Asked which candidate they are most likely to vote for, 45 percent said Trump while 43 percent opted for Harris, although this gap could easily be narrowed — or made slightly wider — by the survey’s 5.93 percent margin of error.

“The fact that they’re so evenly split is surprising, particularly given what’s been happening in Gaza and now Lebanon,” Firas Maksad, a senior fellow at the Middle East Institute in Washington, told the Arab News podcast “Frankly Speaking.”

He added: “You’d think that that would have an impact and would dampen the vote for somebody who is so staunchly pro-Israel like Donald Trump, but clearly that’s not the case.”

Instead, “the Arab-American public generally reflects the same trend here as the (general) American public. Many aren’t newly naturalized, they’re second, third and fourth-generation Arab Americans — some (families) came here in the mid-1800s, and so they very much reflect the general sentiment in the American population.”

What is highly significant, however, is what the finding reveals about how support for the Democrats has ebbed away over the course of the year-long war in Gaza, and the perception among Arab Americans that the Biden administration has failed to rein in Israel or hold it to account.

The slightly greater support for Trump than for Harris comes despite the fact that 40 percent of those polled describe themselves as Democrats, 28 percent as Republicans and 23 percent as independents.

This contradiction is amplified by the fact that 35 percent of respondents describe themselves as politically moderate, and 27 percent as liberal or very liberal. Only a third say they are conservative or very conservative.

The poll illustrates how many Arab Americans have switched their allegiance from the Democrats to the Republicans.

Read our full coverage here: US Elections 2024: What Arab Americans want

Thirty-seven percent of those polled voted for Trump in 2016, with 27 percent having backed Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton.

By 2020, however, Arab-American support for Trump had drained away after a presidency that saw his administration formally recognize Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, moving the US Embassy there from Tel Aviv, and preside over the Abraham Accords, which were widely seen as favoring Israel and marginalizing the Palestinians.

Joe Biden, credited in various exit polls as having won the Muslim vote, was the clear beneficiary in 2020. 

This is reflected in the current YouGov poll, which found that in 2020, 43 percent of respondents backed Biden, with Trump’s share of the Arab-American vote down to 34 percent. 




Support for the Democrats has ebbed away over the course of the year-long war in Gaza, and the perception among Arab Americans that the Biden administration has failed to rein in Israel or hold it to account. (AP)

Now, it seems, the tide has turned back in favor of the Republican ticket, a vote perhaps not so much for Trump — who has announced an intention to expand his notorious 2017 ban on Muslim travelers and said if elected he would bar Palestinian refugees from the US — but against Biden’s record in the Middle East over the past year of conflict.

In September, the Muslim mayor of Hamtramck, in the battleground state of Michigan and known as the only Muslim-majority city in the US, reportedly surprised many in the Arab-American community when he publicly endorsed Trump for president — a decision that the current YouGov poll shows to be no real surprise at all.

“President Trump and I may not agree on everything, but I know he is a man of principles,” Amer Ghalib wrote on Facebook.

Ghalib had met Trump at a town hall meeting in Flint, Michigan, at which the two discussed issues of concern to Arab Americans. 

Michigan, with a large proportion of Arab-American voters, is one of several swing states that could decide the outcome on Nov. 5.

“The question is whether some of this is a protest vote against the Biden-Harris team for their inability, or lack of a political will, to rein in Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,” said Maksad.

“But what’s puzzling about this is that if this is a protest vote, you wouldn’t necessarily vote for Trump because he was even more pro-Israeli, so you’d go to a third-party candidate such as the Greens (Jill Stein).

“So I don’t know how much (of the support for Trump) can be ascribed to what has unfolded in the Middle East. One also has to think of all the other factors (such as) immigration and the economy.”

Overall, 47 percent of those polled believe a Trump presidency would be better for the US economy, against 41 percent for Harris.

Surprisingly, the YouGov survey found little support for Stein, a vocal critic of Israel’s military offensives in Gaza and Lebanon whose running mate is Butch Ware, a history professor at the University of California and a leading academic authority on Islam. 

Despite the fact that Stein has spoken out frequently against Israel’s actions, a surprising 44 percent of Arab Americans said they do not know what her stance is toward the current Israeli government. 

Only 9 percent say they are unaware of the two main candidates’ attitudes to the Israeli government.

“Traditionally, some Arab Americans would like a third-party candidate,” Joseph Haboush, a former non-resident scholar at the Middle East Institute and Washington correspondent for Al Arabiya English, said on the Arab News-sponsored “Ray Hanania Radio Show.”

Haboush added: “But I think the chatter you hear about a third party is out of frustration. There were a lot of Arab Americans who thought a Democratic administration would be better, particularly those who care more about the Palestinian issue, and I think they’ve had a rude awakening.”

Only 4 percent said they will vote for Stein, although the survey reveals greater support for her among Arab-American voters in the Midwest (13 percent), reinforcing previous findings that her popularity among Muslims in key battleground states could significantly impact the two main candidates.

A survey carried out in late August by the Council on American-Islamic Relations found that in Michigan, a battleground Midwest state that is home to a large Arab-American community, 40 percent of Muslim voters back Stein, leaving Trump with 18 percent and Harris with 12 percent.

The CAIR survey also found significant support for Stein among Muslims in other key states, including Wisconsin (44 percent), Arizona (35 percent) and Pennsylvania (25 percent).

In the YouGov survey, Stein’s 13 percent Arab-American support in the Midwest comes chiefly at the expense of the two main candidates, costing Harris and Trump 7 percentage points apiece.

This could prove to be hugely significant. Stein stands no chance of winning the election, but in 2016, when she garnered only 1 percent of the vote, Democrats blamed her for taking crucial votes away from Clinton, costing her the presidency.


Leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan shake hands and sign deal at White House peace summit

Leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan shake hands and sign deal at White House peace summit
Updated 09 August 2025

Leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan shake hands and sign deal at White House peace summit

Leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan shake hands and sign deal at White House peace summit

WASHINGTON: The leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan shook hands Friday at a White House peace summit before signing an agreement aimed at ending decades of conflict.
President Donald Trump was in the middle as Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan flanked him on either side. As the two extended their arms in front of Trump to shake hands, the US leader reached up and clasped his hands around theirs.
The two countries in the South Caucasus signed agreements with each other and the US that will reopen key transportation routes while allowing the US to seize on Russia’s declining influence in the region. The deal includes an agreement that will create a major transit corridor to be named the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity, the White House said.
Trump said at the White House on Friday that naming the route after him was “a great honor for me” but “I didn’t ask for this.” A senior administration official, on a call before the event with reporters, said it was the Armenians who suggested the name.
Both leaders said the breakthrough was made possible by Trump and his team.
“We are laying a foundation to write a better story than the one we had in the past,” Pashinyan said, calling the agreement a “significant milestone.”
“President Trump in six months did a miracle,” Aliyev said.

 

Trump remarked on how long the conflict went on between the two countries. “Thirty-five years they fought, and now they’re friends and they’re going to be friends a long time,” he said.
That route will connect Azerbaijan and its autonomous Nakhchivan exclave, which are separated by a 32-kilometer-wide (20-mile-wide) patch of Armenian territory. The demand from Azerbaijan had held up peace talks in the past.
For Azerbaijan, a major producer of oil and gas, the route also provides a more direct link to Turkiye and onward to Europe.
Trump indicated he’d like to visit the route, saying, “We’re going to have to get over there.”
Asked how he feels about lasting peace between Armenia and Azerbaijan, Trump said “very confident.”
Friday’s signing adds to the handful of peace and economic agreements brokered this year by the US
The peace deal between the Democratic Republic of Congo and Rwanda helped end the decadeslong conflict in eastern Congo, and the US mediated a ceasefire between India and Pakistan, while Trump intervened in clashes between Cambodia and Thailand by threatening to withhold trade agreements with both countries if their fighting continued. Yet peace deals in Gaza and Ukraine have been elusive.
Trump has made no secret of his wish to be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for his role in helping ease long-running conflicts across the globe. Aliyev and Pashinyan on Friday joined a growing list of foreign leaders and other officials who have said the US leader should receive the award.
US takes advantage of Russia’s waning influence
The signing of a deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan, both former Soviet republics, also strikes a geopolitical blow to their former imperial master, Russia. Throughout the nearly four-decade conflict, Moscow played mediator to expand its clout in the strategic South Caucasus region, but its influence waned quickly after it launched the full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. The Trump-brokered deal would allow the US to deepen its reach in the region as Moscow retreats, senior US administration officials said.

 

The Trump administration began engaging with Armenia and Azerbaijan in earnest earlier this year, when Trump’s key diplomatic envoy, Steve Witkoff, met with Aliyev in Baku and started to discuss what a senior administration official called a “regional reset.”
Negotiations over who will develop the Trump Route — which will eventually include a rail line, oil and gas pipelines, and fiber optic lines — will likely begin next week, and at least nine developers have expressed interest already, according to the senior administration official, who briefed reporters on condition of anonymity.
Separate from the joint agreement, both Armenia and Azerbaijan signed deals with the United States meant to bolster cooperation in energy, technology and the economy, the White House said.
Trump previewed much of Friday’s plan in a social media post Thursday evening, in which he said the agreements would “fully unlock the potential” of the South Caucasus region.
“Many Leaders have tried to end the War, with no success, until now, thanks to ‘TRUMP,’” Trump said on his Truth Social site.
 

The Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict has lasted for decades
The two nations were locked in conflict for nearly four decades as they fought for control of the Karabakh region, known internationally as Nagorno-Karabakh.
The area was largely populated by Armenians during the Soviet era but is located within Azerbaijan. The two nations battled for control of the region through multiple violent clashes that left tens of thousands of people dead over the decades, all while international mediation efforts failed.
Most recently, Azerbaijan reclaimed all of Karabakh in 2023 and had been in talks with Armenia to normalize ties. Azerbaijan’s insistence on a land bridge to Nakhchivan had been a major sticking point, because while Azerbaijan did not trust Armenia to control the so-called Zangezur corridor, Armenia resisted control by a third party because it viewed it as a breach of sovereignty.
But the prospect of closer ties with the United States, as well as being able to move in and out of the landlocked nation more freely without having to access Georgia or Iran, helped entice Armenia on the broader agreement, according to US officials.
Meanwhile, Russia stood back when Azerbaijan reclaimed control of Karabakh in the September 2023 offensive, angering Armenia, which has moved to shed Russian influence and turn westward. Azerbaijan, emboldened by its victory in Karabakh, also has become increasingly defiant in its relations with Moscow.
 


ICC unseals Libya war crimes warrant for militia officer

A view of the exterior view of the International Criminal Court in The Hague, Netherlands, Wednesday, March 31, 2021. (AP file p
A view of the exterior view of the International Criminal Court in The Hague, Netherlands, Wednesday, March 31, 2021. (AP file p
Updated 09 August 2025

ICC unseals Libya war crimes warrant for militia officer

A view of the exterior view of the International Criminal Court in The Hague, Netherlands, Wednesday, March 31, 2021. (AP file p
  • The crimes were allegedly committed in Benghazi or surrounding areas, in Libya, on or before June 3, 2016 until on or about July 17, 2017

THE HAGUE: The International Criminal Court on Friday unsealed an arrest warrant for a Libyan militia member accused of war crimes including murder and torture between 2016 and 2017.
The court said there were “reasonable grounds to believe” that Saif Suleiman Sneidel was responsible for war crimes of murder, torture and “outrages upon personal dignity.”
The November 2020 warrant found “reasonable grounds to believe that Mr.Sneidel participated in three executions where a total of 23 people were murdered,” the ICC’s prosecutor’s office said in a statement.
The crimes were allegedly committed in Benghazi or surrounding areas, in Libya, on or before June 3, 2016 until on or about July 17, 2017.
The prosecutor’s office said Sneidel’s arrest warrant had been issued under seal to “maximize arrest opportunities” and to minimize risks to the criminal investigation.
“For this reason, no details of the application or warrant could be provided until this stage,” it said.
The decision to make it public followed a second application by the prosecutor’s office to “increase prospects for arrest.”
“We hope to create the momentum for Mr.Sneidel’s arrest and surrender,” said deputy prosecutor Nazhat Shameem Khan said.
“The Court can now discuss issues related to possible arrest with States, the UN Security Council, and the international community at large, fostering support and cooperation.”

Sneidel is believed to have been serving in Group 50, a sub-unit of the Al-Saiqa Brigade led by the the late Libyan commander, Mahmoud Mustafa Busayf Al-Werfalli.
Prior to his death, Al-Werfalli was the subject of two ICC arrest warrants for eight executions in Benghazi, three of which the prosecution alleges Sneidel took part in.
“The prosecution alleges that Mr.Sneidel was a close associate of Mr.Al-Werfalli, and had an important leadership role alongside him in the Al-Saiqa Brigade,” the statement said.
The ICC has been investigating atrocities in Libya since 2011, following a referral from the United Nations Security Council.
The ICC also confirmed that another Libyan suspect, Khaled Mohamed Ali El Hishri, had been arrested by German authorities on July 16, 2025 for war crimes and crimes against humanity.
He remains in custody in Germany pending legal proceedings.
Libya has faced years of instability, militia violence and fractured government since Qaddafi was overthrown and killed in 2011 near his hometown of Sirte during the Arab Spring uprising.
 

 


Fire contained, historic mosque-cathedral in southern Spain ‘saved’

Fire contained, historic mosque-cathedral in southern Spain ‘saved’
Updated 09 August 2025

Fire contained, historic mosque-cathedral in southern Spain ‘saved’

Fire contained, historic mosque-cathedral in southern Spain ‘saved’
  • Considered a jewel of Islamic architecture, the site was built as a mosque — on the site of an earlier church — between the 8th and 10th centuries by the southern city’s then Muslim ruler, Abd ar-Rahman, an emir of the Umayyad dynasty
  • After Christians reconquered Spain in the 13th century under King Ferdinand III of Castile, it was converted into a cathedral and architectural alterations were made over following centuries

MADRID: A fire broke out in the historic mosque-turned-cathedral in Cordoba on Friday but the monument was saved as firefighters quickly contained it, the Spanish city’s mayor said.
Widely shared videos had shown flames and smoke billowing from inside the major tourist attraction, visited by two million people per year.
“The monument is saved. There will be no spread, it will not be a catastrophe, let’s put it that way,” Mayor Jose Mara Bellido said on Cadena television.
Earlier, the fire brigade had said the fire was under control but not extinguished.
The spectacular blaze had broken out around 9:00 PM (1900 GMT), raising fears for the early medieval architectural gem and evoking memories of the 2019 fire that ravaged Notre Dame cathedral in Paris.
ABC and other newspapers reported that a mechanical sweeping machine had caught fire in the site.
Considered a jewel of Islamic architecture, the site was built as a mosque — on the site of an earlier church — between the 8th and 10th centuries by the southern city’s then Muslim ruler, Abd ar-Rahman, an emir of the Umayyad dynasty.
After Christians reconquered Spain in the 13th century under King Ferdinand III of Castile, it was converted into a cathedral and architectural alterations were made over following centuries.
 

 


Trump says he will meet Putin next Friday in Alaska to discuss ending the Ukraine war

Trump says he will meet Putin next Friday in Alaska to discuss ending the Ukraine war
Updated 09 August 2025

Trump says he will meet Putin next Friday in Alaska to discuss ending the Ukraine war

Trump says he will meet Putin next Friday in Alaska to discuss ending the Ukraine war
  • If it happens, the meeting would be the first US-Russia summit since 2021

WASHINGTON: President Donald Trump said Friday that he will meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin next Friday in Alaska to discuss ending the war in Ukraine, a potential major milestone after expressing weeks of frustration that more was not being done to quell the fighting.
Speaking to reporters at the White House after announcing a framework aimed at ending decades of conflict elsewhere in the world — between Armenia and Azerbaijan — Trump refused to say exactly when or where he would meet with Putin, but that he planned to announce a location soon. Later on social media, he announced what he called “the highly anticipated meeting” would happen Aug. 15 in Alaska. He said more details would follow. The Kremlin has not yet confirmed the details.
He suggested earlier Friday that his meeting with the Russian leader could come before any sit-down discussion involving Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
“We’re going to have a meeting with Russia, start off with Russia. And we’ll announce a location. I think the location will be a very popular one,” Trump said.
He added: “It would have been sooner, but I guess there’s security arrangements that unfortunately people have to make. Otherwise I’d do it much quicker. He would, too. He’d like to meet as soon as possible. I agree with it. But we’ll be announcing that very shortly.”
If it happens, the meeting would be the first US-Russia summit since 2021, when former President Joe Biden met Putin in Geneva. It could mean a breakthrough in Trump’s effort to end the war, although there’s no guarantee it would stop the fighting since Moscow and Kyiv remain far apart on their conditions for peace.
Still, Trump said, “President Putin, I believe, wants to see peace, and Zelensky wants to see peace.” He said that, “In all fairness to President Zelensky, he’s getting everything he needs to, assuming we get something done.”
Trump also said that a peace deal would likely mean “there will be some swapping of territories” between Ukraine and Russia but didn’t provide further details.
Trump said of territory generally “we’re looking to get some back and some swapping. It’s complicated.”
“Nothing easy,” the president said. “But we’re gonna get some back. We’re gonna get some switched. There’ll be some swapping of territories, to the betterment of both.”
Analysts, including some close to the Kremlin, have suggested that Russia could offer to give up territory it controls outside of the four regions it claims to have annexed.
Pressed on if this was the last chance to make a major peace deal, Trump said, “I don’t like using the term last chance,” and said that, “When those guns start going off, it’s awfully tough to get ‘em to stop.”
Exasperated that Putin did not heed his calls to stop bombing Ukrainian cities, Trump almost two weeks ago moved up his ultimatum to impose additional sanctions on Russia and introduce secondary tariffs targeting countries that buy Russian oil if the Kremlin did not move toward a settlement. The deadline was Friday.
Prior to his announcing the meeting with Putin, Trump’s efforts to pressure Russia into stopping the fighting have so far delivered no progress. The Kremlin’s bigger army is slowly advancing deeper into Ukraine at great cost in troops and armor while it relentlessly bombards Ukrainian cities. Russia and Ukraine are far apart on their terms for peace.
Ukrainian troops say they are ready to keep fighting
Ukrainian forces are locked in intense battles along the 1,000-kilometer (620-mile) front line that snakes from northeast to southeast Ukraine. The Pokrovsk area of the eastern Donetsk region is taking the brunt of punishment as Russia seeks to break out into the neighboring Dnipropetrovsk region. Ukraine has significant manpower shortages.
Intense fighting is also taking place in Ukraine’s northern Sumy border region, where Ukrainian forces are engaging Russian soldiers to prevent reinforcements being sent from there to Donetsk.
In the Pokrovsk area of Donetsk, a commander said he believes Moscow isn’t interested in peace.
“It is impossible to negotiate with them. The only option is to defeat them,” Buda, a commander of a drone unit in the Spartan Brigade, told The Associated Press. He used only his call sign, in keeping with the rules of the Ukrainian military.
“I would like them to agree and for all this to stop, but Russia will not agree to that. It does not want to negotiate. So the only option is to defeat them,” he said.
In the southern Zaporizhzhia region, a howitzer commander using the call sign Warsaw, said troops are determined to thwart Russia’s invasion.
“We are on our land, we have no way out,” he said. “So we stand our ground, we have no choice.”
Putin makes a flurry of phone calls
The Kremlin said Friday that Putin had a phone call with Chinese leader Xi Jinping, during which the Russian leader informed Xi about the results of his meeting earlier this week with Trump envoy Steve Witkoff. Kremlin officials said Xi “expressed support for the settlement of the Ukrainian crisis on a long-term basis.”
Putin is due to visit China next month. China, along with North Korea and Iran, have provided military support for Russia’s war effort, the US says.
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi said on X that he also had a call with Putin to speak about the latest Ukraine developments. Trump signed an executive order Wednesday to place an additional 25 percent tariff on India for its purchases of Russian oil, which the American president says is helping to finance Russia’s war.
Putin’s calls followed his phone conversations with the leaders of South Africa, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan and Belarus, the Kremlin said.
The calls suggested to at least one analyst that Putin perhaps wanted to brief Russia’s most important allies about a potential settlement that could be reached at a summit with Trump.
“It means that some sort of real peace agreement has been reached for the first time,” said Sergei Markov, a pro-Kremlin Moscow-based analyst.
Analysts say Putin is aiming to outlast the West
Trump’s Friday comments came after he said he would meet with Putin even if the Russian leader will not meet with Zelensky. That stoked fears in Europe that Ukraine could be sidelined in efforts to stop the continent’s biggest conflict since World War II.
Putin said in a previous statement that he hoped to meet with Trump as early as next week, possibly in the United Arab Emirates.
The Institute for the Study of War, a Washington think tank, said in an assessment Thursday that “Putin remains uninterested in ending his war and is attempting to extract bilateral concessions from the United States without meaningfully engaging in a peace process.”
“Putin continues to believe that time is on Russia’s side and that Russia can outlast Ukraine and the West,” it said.

 


UN committee probes disappearance of Syrian man deported by Austria

Migrants pass by garbage bins as they walk towards the Austrian border from Hegyeshalom, Hungary , September 23, 2015. (Reuters
Migrants pass by garbage bins as they walk towards the Austrian border from Hegyeshalom, Hungary , September 23, 2015. (Reuters
Updated 08 August 2025

UN committee probes disappearance of Syrian man deported by Austria

Migrants pass by garbage bins as they walk towards the Austrian border from Hegyeshalom, Hungary , September 23, 2015. (Reuters
  • Millions of Syrians fled Assad’s bloody crackdown on opponents in the country’s 2011-24 civil war

PARIS: The UN Committee on Enforced Disappearances has launched an inquiry into the whereabouts and fate of a Syrian man who was deported by Austria in early July and has not been in contact with his legal team or family since.
Austria has been asked by the UN committee “to make formal diplomatic representations to the Syrian authorities to determine whether the (person) is alive, where he is being held, in what conditions, and (to) request diplomatic guarantees to ensure his safety and humane treatment,” according to a letter dated Aug. 6 from the UN Petitions Section. 
The 32-year-old man was the first Syrian national expelled from EU territory since the fall of President Bashar Assad. 
Millions of Syrians fled Assad’s bloody crackdown on opponents in the country’s 2011-24 civil war. 
EU countries took in many of the refugees, but some are now looking into repatriations, citing the changed political situation in the Syrian Arab Republic, though sectarian violence has continued in some areas.
Rights groups raised concerns at the time of the man’s deportation on July 3 that he risked inhumane treatment in his home country and that his case would set a dangerous precedent.
Now, the man’s legal team in Austria and his close family have not been able to make contact with him, said his Austrian legal adviser, Ruxandra Staicu.
“This shows what we said before: Nobody can say for sure what will happen after deportation to Syria, because the situation in Syria is not secure, not stable; it is still changing,” she said. 
The Austrian Federal Ministry for European and International Affairs confirmed that its office received the letter and “will now examine any further steps together with the ministries responsible.”

The man, who was granted asylum in Austria in 2014, lost his refugee status in 2019 after being convicted of an unspecified crime. 
He was deported while awaiting a decision on a new asylum application. That decision is still pending.