Belarus opposition leader vanishes after refusing deportation in a US-brokered prisoner release

Belarus opposition leader vanishes after refusing deportation in a US-brokered prisoner release
Veteran Belarusian opposition activist Mikalai Statkevich is seen at a protest in Minsk, Belarus. (AP)
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Belarus opposition leader vanishes after refusing deportation in a US-brokered prisoner release

Belarus opposition leader vanishes after refusing deportation in a US-brokered prisoner release
  • When the emaciated Statkevich bolted from the bus, he left behind his critically needed heart medication on the bus, which continued on to Lithuania
  • Statkevich was one of 52 political prisoners pardoned by President Alexander Lukashenko as part of a deal brokered by the United States

TALLINN: Scores of political prisoners pardoned by the authoritarian leader of Belarus sat on a bus waiting to cross the border with Lithuania last month, minutes from freedom. Suddenly, one of them stood up, forced the door open and got off, defiantly refusing to leave his homeland in what he called as a forced deportation.
Since that incident on Sept. 11, Mikalai Statkevich hasn’t been seen. Human rights activists are demanding that Belarusian authorities reveal what has happened to the 69-year-old opposition politician and former presidential candidate.
Statkevich was one of 52 political prisoners pardoned by President Alexander Lukashenko as part of a deal brokered by the United States.
Fellow political prisoner Maksim Viniarski, who was traveling with him on the bus, told The Associated Press that “Statkevich looked determined — ready to fight not only for himself, but for the freedom of all Belarusians.”
When the emaciated Statkevich bolted from the bus, he left behind his critically needed heart medication on the bus, which continued on to Lithuania.
“Statkevich disrupted Lukashenko’s script and proved that even sick ... you can still resist dictatorship and lawlessness,” Viniarski said. “He clearly understood the price of his choice. He told me: ‘I won’t allow myself to be sold or for someone to decide where I live — or where I die.’”
Security forces seen taking him away
For several hours, Statkevich remained in the no-man’s-land at the Kamenny Loh border crossing until surveillance cameras recorded six masked security forces escorting him back into Belarus.
Lukashenko later said Statkevich was back in Belarus — “He’s our citizen after all” — but wouldn’t elaborate.
Statkevich’s actions echoed those of Maria Kolesnikova, a leader of mass demonstrations after a disputed 2020 election that kept Lukashenko in power. She became a symbol of resistance by tearing up up her passport at the border and walking back into Belarus when authorities tried to deport her that year. In 2021, she was convicted of charges including “conspiracy to seize power” and sentenced to 11 years in prison.
After Statkevich’s disappearance, his wife Maryna Adamovich returned to Belarus from a trip abroad and visited the prison colony in Hlybokaye, where he previously had been held, but officials refused to confirm if he was there. She’s received no response from authorities about his condition and location.
“The abuse continues. Trying to deport Mikalai, given his character, was a pointless undertaking,” she said, adding that he had told her: “They’re deporting patriots. I won’t go. What will happen to the country?”
Adamovich fears for his health, noting Statkevich had a heart attack in prison, but “neither illness nor years of solitary confinement had broken his will.”
Protests over his attempted deportation
Pavel Sapelka of the Viasna human rights group said it’s unclear whether authorities have filed new charges against Statkevich to keep him in custody even though he was pardoned by Lukashenko.
United Nations experts protested what they described as Statkevich’s attempted deportation and demanded information about his whereabouts.
“There are solid reasons to believe that Statkevich is a victim of enforced disappearance and arbitrary detention,” the experts said, according to the UN human rights office. “We call on Belarus to provide information about his fate and whereabouts, as well as on his state of health.”
Lukashenko’s decision to pardon the 52 prisoners followed a phone call in August with US President Donald Trump that sparked speculation of a possible thaw in relations. The release was part of a US-brokered deal that eased sanctions on the national carrier Belavia, including the resumption of parts supplies and aircraft servicing.
Trading political prisoners ‘like commodities’
“Lukashenko is trading political prisoners like commodities, releasing some and imprisoning other activists in their place,” opposition leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya told AP. “I respect Statkevich’s principled decision and choice to remain in the country, but this highlights the problem — Belarusian political prisoners are not being released but forcibly deported to other countries against their will.”
Lukashenko, nicknamed “Europe’s last dictator,” has ruled Belarus for over three decades, maintaining his grip on power through elections dismissed by the West as neither free nor fair and violent crackdowns on dissent. Following the 2020 protests that saw hundreds of thousands take to the streets, more than 65,000 people were arrested, thousands were beaten, and hundreds of independent media outlets and nongovernmental organizations were closed and outlawed.
According to Viasna, about 1,200 political prisoners, including its founder, Nobel Peace Prize laureate Ales Bialiatski, remain in custody. Activists say they are kept in harsh conditions and often denied medical care, legal representation and family contact.
Belarus has been repeatedly sanctioned by Western countries for human rights violations and for allowing Russia to use its territory to invade Ukraine in 2022.
Statkevich was arrested before the 2020 election, convicted on charges of organizing mass unrest, and sentenced to 14 years in prison. In 2022, authorities labeled him an “extremist” — a term used against government critics. Since Feb. 9, 2023, he’s been held in complete isolation with no contact with the outside world.
In his decades of political activism, Statkevich has been imprisoned three times and spent more than 12 years behind bars. Amnesty International has recognized him as a prisoner of conscience three times.
Statkevich is the country’s longest-serving opposition politician and the founder of the Belarusian Social Democratic People’s Hramada party, which is affiliated with the Socialist International.
Earlier in his life, Statkevich pursued a military career and was involved with forming the Belarusian army after the 1991 collapse of the Soviet Union. In 1999, he helped organize the mass “March of Freedom” opposing Belarus’s proposed union with Russia. For organizing another opposition rally protesting the outcome of the 2004 parliamentary elections and referendum allowing Lukashenko to seek another term Statkevich was sentenced to three years of restricted freedom.
In the 2010 presidential election, he ran against Lukashenko and spent nearly five years in prison afterward. He was among Belarusian opposition leaders awarded the European Parliament’s Sakharov Prize for Freedom of Thought.
“Statkevich exemplifies the resilience and courage of a politician forced to work under a dictatorship,” Viniarski said. “Statkevich has reiterated that our values are worth exactly what we are willing to pay for them.”


Defeat of Ukraine would embolden China toward Taiwan, Taiwanese officer says in Poland

Updated 20 sec ago

Defeat of Ukraine would embolden China toward Taiwan, Taiwanese officer says in Poland

Defeat of Ukraine would embolden China toward Taiwan, Taiwanese officer says in Poland
TAIPEI: If Russia defeats Ukraine it will embolden China’s moves toward Taiwan and Taipei hopes that Kyiv emerges victorious, a senior uniformed Taiwanese military officer said this week in a rare visit to Europe to attend a security forum.
Taiwan, which China views as its own territory, has found an increasingly sympathetic ear in parts of central and eastern Europe since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, even though almost all European countries only maintain formal diplomatic ties with Beijing and not Taipei.
Unlike the United States, Europe no longer sells big-ticket defense items to Taiwan, fearful of incurring Beijing’s wrath, and open visits to Europe by any Taiwanese military officers are highly unusual.
Addressing the Warsaw Security Forum on Tuesday, Hsieh Jih-Sheng, deputy chief of the general staff for intelligence at Taiwan’s defense ministry, said the war in Ukraine was being closely watched in Taipei.
“We wish for their victory,” he said, in footage streamed online from the event, where he attended in person wearing full military uniform and speaking in English.
“There are many things that we can learn from the Ukrainian theater that we can elevate for our overall readiness,” Hsieh added. “The defeat of Ukraine will signal that China can take more aggression toward Taiwan.”
China’s foreign ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment. On Monday, it condemned Taiwan Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung’s attendance at the same forum saying Taiwan was seeking to exaggerate the China threat.
Hsieh raised the alarm about China and Russia’s joint military drills.
“If China moves on Taiwan while Russia increases its offensive in Ukraine, the world could face a two-front geopolitical crisis,” he added.
“Europe today, you are fighting for your own security. If you help us, we can prevent the possibility of war in the Indo-Pacific.”
Taiwan has joined in Western sanctions against Russia and has also been studying how the much smaller Ukrainian military has been able to fight its huge neighbor, drawing lessons for how it could deal with any Chinese attack.
Taiwan has complained for the past five years of increased Chinese military pressure, both war games and also “grey zone” activities that stop short of open combat but are designed to exert pressure, including cyberattacks and undersea cable sabotage.
Hsieh said Taiwan and Europe could learn from each other.
“We have been dealing with China’s grey zone operations for years. There is a tremendous (amount of experience about) how we counter disinformation that we can share with Europe, and also how we can benefit us, but also benefit European nations,” he said.

US to provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range strikes in Russia, WSJ reports

US to provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range strikes in Russia, WSJ reports
Updated 02 October 2025

US to provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range strikes in Russia, WSJ reports

US to provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range strikes in Russia, WSJ reports
  • US asking NATO to provide similar support — report
  • Trump recently backed Kyiv retaking land in apparent about-face

The US will provide Ukraine with intelligence for long-range missile strikes on Russia’s energy infrastructure, the Wall Street Journal reported on Wednesday, as it weighs whether to send Kyiv weapons that could put more targets within range.
The United States has long been sharing intelligence with Kyiv but Wednesday’s report said the new development will make it easier for Ukraine to hit refineries, pipelines, power stations and other infrastructure with the aim of depriving the Kremlin of revenue and oil.
US officials are also asking NATO allies to provide similar support, according to the newspaper.
US President Donald Trump has been pressing European countries to stop purchases of Russian oil in exchange for his agreement to impose tough sanctions on Moscow to try to dry up funding for
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Neither the White House nor Ukraine nor Russia’s missions to the United Nations immediately responded to separate requests for comment from Reuters on Wednesday. According to US officials cited by the Wall Street Journal, approval on additional intelligence came shortly before Trump posted on social media last week suggesting that Ukraine could retake all its land occupied by Russia, in a striking rhetorical shift in Kyiv’s favor. “After seeing the Economic trouble  is causing Russia, I think Ukraine, with the support of the European Union, is in a position to fight and WIN all of Ukraine back in its original form,” Trump wrote on Truth Social last Tuesday, shortly after meeting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.
In terms of additional military assistance, the United States is considering a Ukrainian request to obtain Tomahawks, which have a range of 2,500 km  — easily enough to hit Moscow and most of European Russia if fired from Ukraine.
Ukraine has also developed its own long-range missile named the Flamingo. Quantities are unknown as the missile is in early production. Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, calling it a “special military operation” to halt Kyiv’s Westward geopolitical drift and what it considers to be a dangerous NATO expansion to the east.
Kyiv and European allies consider the invasion to be an imperial-style land grab.

This is the first time the United States will provide assistance with Ukrainian long-range strikes deep into Russian territory on energy targets, officials told the Wall Street Journal.
Energy revenue remains the Kremlin’s single most important source of cash to finance the war effort, making oil and gas exports a central target of Western sanctions.
Trump has taken steps to impose an additional tariff on imports from India to pressure New Delhi to halt its purchases of discounted Russian crude oil, and lobbied the likes of Turkiye to stop buying oil from Moscow too.
In response, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said last week: “It is a sovereign state that decides for itself in which areas to cooperate with us. And if certain types of trade in certain goods are deemed advantageous to the Turkish side, then the Turkish side will continue to do so.”
Earlier on Wednesday, the Group of Seven nations’ finance ministers said they will take joint steps to increase pressure on Russia by targeting those who are continuing to increase their purchases of Russian oil and those that are facilitating circumvention.


G7 ministers to target those increasing Russia oil purchases

G7 ministers to target those increasing Russia oil purchases
Updated 02 October 2025

G7 ministers to target those increasing Russia oil purchases

G7 ministers to target those increasing Russia oil purchases
  • The US leader has demanded that Europe end energy imports from Moscow before agreeing to move forward with sanctions against Russia

WASHINGTON: G7 finance ministers pledged Wednesday to take aim at those who are continuing to step up purchases of Russian oil, since Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine more than three years ago.
In a statement after a virtual meeting, officials from the Group of Seven advanced economies — Britain, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan and the United States — agreed that it is time to “maximize pressure on Russia’s oil exports.”
This would hit at revenue Moscow needs for the war.
“We will target those who are continuing to increase their purchase of Russian oil since the invasion of Ukraine and those that are facilitating circumvention,” the ministers said in a joint statement.
They added that they agreed on “the importance of trade measures, including tariffs” and import or export bans in efforts to cut off Russian revenues.
The countries are also giving “serious consideration to trade measures and other restrictions on countries and entities that are helping finance Russia’s war efforts, including on refined products sourced from Russian oil.”
The statement came after the United States indicated last month that it was ready to broaden tariffs targeting buyers of Russian oil if the European Union takes similar moves.
President Donald Trump, who dialed in to talks between the United States and EU officials, had raised the possibility of tariffs between 50 percent and 100 percent targeting oil buyers like China and India, according to an official.
In September, the European Commission also said that it was working on potentially imposing tariffs on imports of Russian oil into the bloc, in the face of pressure from Trump.
The US leader has demanded that Europe end energy imports from Moscow before agreeing to move forward with sanctions against Russia.
The G7 ministers plan to meet again on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Washington this month.


Macron says a tanker off France is linked to Russia’s shadow oil fleet

Macron says a tanker off France is linked to Russia’s shadow oil fleet
Updated 02 October 2025

Macron says a tanker off France is linked to Russia’s shadow oil fleet

Macron says a tanker off France is linked to Russia’s shadow oil fleet
  • French naval forces forcibly boarded the ship a few days ago at the request of prosecutors who suspected wrongdoing, a military official said Wednesday

PARIS: French President Emmanuel Macron said Wednesday that an oil tanker immobilized off the French Atlantic coast had committed “very serious wrongdoings” and linked it to Russia’s shadow fleet, which is avoiding Western sanctions over Moscow’s war in Ukraine.
The tanker was sailing last week off the coast of Denmark and was cited by European naval experts as possibly being involved in drone flights over the country.
French naval forces forcibly boarded the ship a few days ago at the request of prosecutors who suspected wrongdoing, a military official said Wednesday. The prosecutor’s office in the western French city of Brest said a judicial investigation has been opened into the crew’s “refusal to cooperate” and “failure to justify the nationality of the vessel.”
The ship was ordered to stay in place pending further investigation, the military official said. French naval forces boarded the ship again Wednesday to provide food and fuel to the crew aboard, according to the official, who was not authorized to be publicly named discussing an ongoing investigation.
The ship left the Russian oil terminal in Primorsk near Saint Petersburg on Sept. 20, sailed off the coast of Denmark and has stayed off the coast of the French western port of Saint-Nazaire since Sunday, according to the Marine Traffic monitoring website.
Macron suggested it was stopped by French authorities’ “intervention,” saying: “I think it’s a good thing that this work has been done and that we’ve been able to stop it.”
“There were some very serious wrongdoings made by this crew, which is why there are legal proceedings in the case,” Macron said on the sidelines of a summit of European Union leaders in Copenhagen, Denmark. He didn’t elaborate.
The Russian Embassy in Paris didn’t respond to a request for comment.
Asked whether the ship was connected to drone incidents in Denmark and about reports that two people aboard had been detained, Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen said she wouldn’t comment on specific investigations.
But she added, “I can say in more general terms that we are facing a lot of problems with the shadow fleet. And that has been the case, especially in the Baltic Sea for quite a long time. And we are working very closely together to battle this situation.”
Macron said the incident highlights “the existence and the reality of a phenomenon that we have been describing and denouncing for a long time” that is the “notorious shadow fleet” that represents tens of billions of euros for Russia’s budget and finances an estimated 40 percent of Russia’s war effort.
Macron said between 600 and 1,000 ships are transporting Russian oil and gas despite Western sanctions.
The tanker known as “Pushpa” or “Boracay,” whose name has changed several times, was sailing under the flag of Benin and appears on a list of ships targeted by EU sanctions against Russia.
The shadow fleet is made up of aging tankers bought used, often by nontransparent entities with addresses in non-sanctioning countries, and sailing under flags from non-sanctioning countries. Their role is to help Russia’s oil exporters elude the price cap imposed by Ukraine’s allies.


Democrats voted for a shutdown. Now they have to find a way out

Democrats voted for a shutdown. Now they have to find a way out
Updated 02 October 2025

Democrats voted for a shutdown. Now they have to find a way out

Democrats voted for a shutdown. Now they have to find a way out
  • As some Democrats are already looking for a way out, others say they need to dig in and fight
  • Past shutdowns show that it’s hard to win major concessions by closing the government

WASHINGTON: Senate Democrats kept their promise to reject any Republican spending bill that didn’t extend or restore health care benefits, choosing instead to force a government shutdown. Now they have to figure out how to get out of it.
Just hours after the shutdown began, Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer said that if the Republicans work with them, “the shutdown could go away very quickly.”
But that won’t be easy. Republican leaders — Senate Majority Leader John Thune, House Speaker Mike Johnson and President Donald Trump — have said that they won’t negotiate or be “held hostage ” by Democrats demanding concessions to reopen the government. The bill Democrats voted against was a simple extension of funding for 45 days, legislation they say should be noncontroversial.
While that uncompromising Republican position may not last long — there were some early, informal talks on the Senate floor Wednesday — reaching a deal would be difficult. It’s deeply uncertain, for now, if the two sides could find common ground on health care policy or sow enough trust for the Democrats to change their position.

 

At the same time, an extended shutdown could be increasingly painful for Democrats. The Trump administration has threatened to lay off thousands of workers and target Democratic-leaning states. On Wednesday, the White House announced it was putting a hold on subway and tunnel projects in Schumer’s home state of New York.
“This Democrat shutdown is actually delaying progress on the issues that Democrats claim to be interested in,” Thune, who represents South Dakota, said on the Senate floor Wednesday.
Some wavering Democrats emerge in shutdown saga
Republicans were encouraged Tuesday evening when three Democrats voted with them to keep the government open — Democratic Sens. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania and Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada and Independent Sen. Angus King of Maine.
Republicans, who hold the majority, need eight Democrats to win the 60 votes needed for passage in the 53-47 Senate. Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul was the only Republican to vote with Democrats against the measure.
Thune is holding repeated votes on the measure, which failed 55-45 on Tuesday night and again Wednesday morning. He said he hopes that five Democrats will eventually feel the pressure and support the bill “when they realize that this is playing a losing hand.”
Republicans are eyeing several moderate Democrats who appeared to be wavering before casting “no” votes on Tuesday night, including Sens. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire and Gary Peters of Michigan. Both voted to keep the government open in March, along with Schumer, while many of their colleagues voted for a shutdown.
But Shaheen and Peters each voted no on Tuesday after extensive negotiations with colleagues in both parties on the floor. Shaheen said afterward that “I have been in intensive conversations with colleagues from both sides of the aisle on how to find a path forward and I’m eager to work with my Republican colleagues to find common ground.”

 

Democrats at a crossroad: To dig in or dig out?
As some Democrats are already looking for a way out, others say they need to dig in and fight.
“As Donald Trump’s lawlessness grows during this shutdown, our spines should stiffen, not bend,” Sen. Chris Murphy of Connecticut said in a social media post on Wednesday. “Let’s stand for something. The American people don’t want us to fund the destruction of their health care and the destruction of our democracy.”
The divisions in the caucus pose a dilemma for Schumer, who was blasted by base voters and activists in March when he voted with Republicans to keep the government open. Many Democrats in the House and Senate have suggested that shutting down the government is their only leverage to fight Trump and push back on his policies, including health care and spending cuts.
“Standing up to (Trump) on this is sending a message to him on those other issues as well,” said Connecticut Sen. Richard Blumenthal, D-Connecticut.
The politics of health care
Democrats have demanded that Republicans immediately extend health care subsidies for people who purchase coverage through the Affordable Care Act marketplaces. The expanded subsidies first put in place in 2021 during the COVID-19 pandemic are set to expire at the end of the year, raising premium costs for millions of people.
Many Republicans have said they are open to an extension, but they want to see changes. Other Republicans — especially in the House — see it as an unacceptable expansion of President Barack Obama’s signature health care law, which Republicans have tried to eliminate or cut back since it was enacted 15 years ago.
Johnson has not committed to talks on the issue and said, “There has to be reform.”
Obamacare “is a flawed system,” Johnson said on CNBC.

Thune has repeatedly said that Republicans are willing to negotiate on the issue once the government reopens.
Even so, some Republicans began informal talks with Democrats on the Senate floor Wednesday about potentially extending the expanded subsidies for a year and then eventually phasing them out. The idea floated by Republican Sen. Mike Rounds of South Dakota would likely be rejected by many Republicans, but Democrats said they were encouraged that the two sides were talking at all.
“At least we’re on the same page talking about the same problem,” Sen. Peter Welch, D-Vermont, said after the floor huddle. “So I see that as progress, but it’s a long way from where we have to end up.”
Lessons from the past
Past shutdowns show that it’s hard to win major concessions by closing the government.
In 2018, the government shut down for three days as Democrats, led by Schumer, insisted that any budget measure come with protections for young immigrants known as “Dreamers” under the Obama-era Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program. They voted to reopen after then-Majority Leader Mitch McConnell promised only a vote on the issue.
Later that year, Trump forced a shutdown over funding for his border wall and retreated after 35 days as intensifying delays at the nation’s airports and missed paydays for hundreds of thousands of federal workers.
Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, and House Republicans triggered a shutdown in 2013 over Obama’s health care law. Bipartisan negotiations in the Senate finally ended the shutdown after 16 days, and Republicans did not win any major concessions on health care.
“I don’t think shutdowns benefit anybody, least of all the American people,” Thune said.