ISLAMABAD: Pakistani foreign affairs experts on Sunday urged Islamabad and Dhaka to institutionalize their relations through increased trade and investment, terming the rapprochement between the former rivals as a 鈥渒ey paradigm shift鈥 in their ties.
Pakistan鈥檚 Deputy Prime Minister Ishaq Dar on Sunday concluded a two-day visit to Bangladesh, where he met senior officials of the country, including Chief Adviser Muhammad Yunus. The two nations signed agreements to abolish visas for diplomatic and official passport holders, promote trade, investment and economic cooperation.
Pakistan and Bangladesh were once one nation, but they split in 1971 as a result of a bloody civil war, which saw the part previously referred to as East Pakistan seceding to form the independent nation of Bangladesh. Ties between Pakistan and Bangladesh have warmed up since ex-PM Sheikh Hasina鈥檚 ouster as a result of a student-led uprising in August 2024.
Islamabad has attempted to forge closer ties with Bangladesh in recent months as relations remain frosty between Dhaka and New Delhi over India鈥檚 decision to grant asylum to Hasina after she fled the country. Both Pakistan and Bangladesh began sea trade last year and began expanding government-to-government commerce in February.
鈥淚t [rapprochement] has a very huge strategic value as this is one of the key paradigm shifts in Pakistan and Bangladesh relations that we are witnessing now,鈥 Dr. Sajid Amin, deputy executive director at Islamabad-based Sustainable Development Policy Institute (SDPI) think tank, told Arab News.
鈥淧akistan and Bangladesh must prioritize institutionalizing relations through a free trade agreement and conducive investment policies, so ties remain stable and long-term, beyond changes in government,鈥 he explained.
Amin noted that new governments often reverse policies of their predecessors, saying the positive shift should not be person- or government-specific.
鈥淚t needs a proper mechanism through agreements and MoUs to ensure that with a change of government, it does not go back to square one,鈥 he said, adding that increased trade between the two countries can positively impact the inter-regional South Asian trade patterns, given Bangladesh鈥檚 economic potential in the region.
On Sunday, the Pakistani and Bangladeshi commerce ministries signed a memorandum of understanding to establish a Joint Working Group on Trade, aiming to raise their bilateral trade volume to $1 billion in the financial year that began in July.
In 2023-24 Pakistan exported goods worth $661 million to Bangladesh, while its imports were only $57 million, according to the Trade Development Authority of Pakistan.
鈥淏angladesh is one of the most active economies as it is expected to surpass India in GDP per capita in the next 5-10 years,鈥 Amin said, adding that Islamabad has much to learn from Dhaka, particularly in developing a vibrant small and medium enterprises sector, promoting women鈥檚 economic inclusion, and diversifying beyond textiles and other traditional areas.
Shuja Alam, former Pakistan high commissioner to Bangladesh, agreed with Amin. He said that while Islamabad and Dhaka are 鈥渘atural allies,鈥 both must work hard to cement rapprochement in ties.
Alam said Pakistan鈥檚 longtime ally China could help ensure longevity to Islamabad鈥檚 ties with Dhaka.
鈥淧akistan and China are close allies and since China maintains good ties with Bangladesh, it would welcome stronger and long-term Islamabad鈥揇haka relations to strengthen its regional influence and curb India鈥檚 sway,鈥 he said.
The former diplomat said to turn this opportunity into a 鈥渓ong-term partnership,鈥 Pakistan and Bangladesh must enhance engagement at the ministerial level to translate it into economic benefits.
鈥淢any Pakistanis initially invested in Bangladesh鈥檚 textile and other sectors, but hostile policies of the Awami League hindered success,鈥 Alam noted.
Amin believed there is ample opportunity for Islamabad to increase trade with Dhaka.
鈥淲e have a good market there, for example motorcycles, bikes and others, which were dominated by Indians earlier,鈥 he said. 鈥淣ow, Pakistan has an opportunity to fill that vacuum.鈥
PROCEEDING CAUTIOUSLY
But Shahid Kiani, a former Pakistani ambassador who served in the country鈥檚 mission in Dhaka, urged Islamabad to proceed cautiously, warning that Hasina鈥檚 Awami League party still holds influence in Bangladesh which shares a border with India on three sides.
鈥淓motions alone cannot dictate foreign policy, improved people-to-people contacts through business, student, and youth exchanges, can strengthen Pakistan鈥揃angladesh relations,鈥 Kiani said.
Reconciliation has its obstacles, as calls for Pakistan to apologize for the alleged 1971 killings of Bangladeshi civilians remain popular in Bangladesh. Pakistan鈥檚 military denies it carried out any such killings.
On Sunday, Bangladesh鈥檚 Foreign Adviser Touhid Hossain told reporters a after meeting his Pakistani counterpart Dar that all three unresolved issues had been raised, and Pakistan had presented its position. The three issues for Dhaka concern an official apology for the killings in the 1971 war of Bangladesh鈥檚 independence, the return of due assets, and the repatriation of stranded Pakistanis.
鈥淧akistan is an important neighbor of ours in South Asia. Our relationship with Pakistan is historical and diverse,鈥 Hossain said. 鈥淚n this context, at today鈥檚 meeting, we expressed a firm determination to advance our existing ties.鈥
During Dar鈥檚 visit, Bangladeshi media reported that enhanced ties with Pakistan need not be seen as antagonistic to India, rather they can serve as a 鈥減ragmatic鈥 regional balancing tool.
Kiani said the previous Bangladeshi government of Hasina had suspended ties with Pakistan for too long and Pakistan has received this opportunity not because of India, but due to the historical connections and potential between both countries 鈥渄espite unfortunate happenings of 1971.鈥
鈥淧akistan should capitalize on this chance by enhancing people-to-people, business-to-business, and government-to-government contacts to ensure the engagement is deep and lasting, not a one-time event,鈥 he added.
But whether there will be significant cooperation between the former foes is not likely to be decided by the current government, Shomsher Mobin Chowdhury, Bangladesh鈥檚 former foreign secretary, told Arab News, as Yunus鈥檚 administration is expected to hold general elections in February 2026 and remains cautious in its steps.
鈥淲e know that interim government tenures are always short lived. How long will this one last 鈥 we do not know. So, Pakistan is showing its eagerness to establish its relations with Bangladesh ... The signal is coming from Pakistan, and we are being typically receptive,鈥 Chowdhury said.
鈥淧akistan is trying to send a political message ... It is up to us to decide how we react to it in the midterm and long term. And it is for the next political government to decide what to do with it.鈥
Burhanul Islam, another former Pakistani diplomat, urged Islamabad to win Dhaka鈥檚 trust by respecting its people, culture and aspirations, noting that India鈥檚 ties with Bangladesh may not improve 鈥渟oon.鈥
鈥淚 hope Islamabad and Dhaka will be able to resolve the issues of the past if they sit with an open mind, and with a positive approach to have long-term, sustainable friendly relations,鈥 Islam said, adding that once a common text of apology is agreed upon, the question of compensation would become irrelevant.
鈥淏oth countries have to solve these issues of the past. Without it, moving ahead will face a lot of issues and hurdles.鈥