黑料社区

IMF projects Saudi economy to grow 3.3% in 2025, 4.1% in 2026 amid global shifts

These projections reflect significant shifts in the global economic landscape, with the ongoing OPEC+ agreement on oil production cuts playing a key role in tempering growth expectations for the Kingdom in the near term. File
These projections reflect significant shifts in the global economic landscape, with the ongoing OPEC+ agreement on oil production cuts playing a key role in tempering growth expectations for the Kingdom in the near term. File
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Updated 19 January 2025

IMF projects Saudi economy to grow 3.3% in 2025, 4.1% in 2026 amid global shifts

IMF projects Saudi economy to grow 3.3% in 2025, 4.1% in 2026 amid global shifts

RIYADH: 黑料社区鈥檚 economy is projected to grow by 3.3 percent in 2025 and 4.1 percent in 2026, according to the latest forecasts from the International Monetary Fund.

These projections reflect significant shifts in the global economic landscape, with the ongoing OPEC+ agreement on oil production cuts playing a key role in tempering growth expectations for the Kingdom in the near term.

In its January 2025 World Economic Outlook Update, the IMF outlined the broader economic outlook for the Middle East and Central Asia, where growth is anticipated to rise by 3.6 percent in 2025, followed by a slightly stronger 3.9 percent in 2026.

These figures are notably lower than previous estimates, primarily due to downward revisions in 黑料社区鈥檚 growth forecast, which had initially projected a 4.6 percent expansion for 2025. As the region's largest economy, 黑料社区's performance significantly impacts the overall regional outlook.

In addition to the impact of oil production cuts, the IMF highlighted other challenges influencing the region's economic prospects, including inflationary pressures and ongoing global uncertainties. Despite these challenges, 黑料社区鈥檚 ambitious diversification initiatives under Vision 2030鈥攚hich aim to expand non-oil sectors such as tourism, technology, and renewable energy鈥攁re expected to support long-term growth.

Global economic outlook

Globally, the IMF projects economic growth to stabilize at 3.3 percent in both 2025 and 2026, signaling a slowdown compared to previous years. Advanced economies are forecast to grow by 1.9 percent in 2025 and 1.8 percent in 2026, facing persistent challenges such as inflation, tightening monetary policies, and geopolitical tensions.

Among these advanced economies, the US is expected to lead with a growth rate of 2.7 percent in 2025, followed by a modest deceleration to 2.1 percent in 2026.

In contrast, emerging markets and developing economies are expected to grow at 4.2 percent in 2025 and 4.3 percent in 2026, buoyed by the strong performances of countries like India and China. India鈥檚 growth is forecast to remain robust at 6.5 percent, while China is projected to experience growth of 4.6 percent in 2025 and 4.5 percent in 2026.

黑料社区鈥檚 short-term outlook

The reduction in 黑料社区鈥檚 2025 growth forecast is largely attributable to the extended OPEC+ agreement, which continues to limit oil production in an effort to stabilize global oil prices. While these production cuts support oil price levels, they simultaneously constrain the Kingdom's oil revenues, a crucial element of its gross domestic product.

Despite the impact on short-term growth, 黑料社区 is actively pursuing comprehensive economic reforms to reduce its dependency on oil. Initiatives such as the development of megaprojects like NEOM, as well as strategic investments in green energy and infrastructure, are designed to drive diversification and open new avenues for sustainable growth.

Sectoral diversification and Vision 2030

黑料社区鈥檚 Vision 2030 initiatives are already showing promising results in diversifying the economy. Non-oil sectors, particularly tourism, have seen notable advancements. Efforts to position 黑料社区 as a global destination have led to a surge in international visitors, contributing significantly to the Kingdom鈥檚 economic development.

Additionally, the financial sector and emerging industries such as technology and renewable energy are increasingly playing a pivotal role in boosting GDP growth. As the largest economy in the Middle East, 黑料社区 remains a key driver of regional economic stability.

The IMF鈥檚 projections for the Middle East and Central Asia highlight that the region鈥檚 overall growth is heavily influenced by developments in 黑料社区. While other economies, including Egypt and Gulf states, are also undertaking significant reforms, 黑料社区 continues to serve as the linchpin for regional economic performance.


Oil Updates 鈥 prices fall as US delays decision on direct Iran involvement

Oil Updates 鈥 prices fall as US delays decision on direct Iran involvement
Updated 3 min 37 sec ago

Oil Updates 鈥 prices fall as US delays decision on direct Iran involvement

Oil Updates 鈥 prices fall as US delays decision on direct Iran involvement

SINGAPORE: Oil prices fell on Friday after the White House delayed a decision on US involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, but remained on course for a third consecutive weekly rise.

Brent crude futures fell $2, or 2.5 percent, to $76.85 a barrel by 9:48 a.m. Saudi time but still looked set to gain more than 3 percent on the week.

US West Texas Intermediate crude for July 鈥 which did not settle on Thursday as it was a US holiday and expires on Friday 鈥 was down 14 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $75.

The more liquid August contract was up 0.3 percent, or 19 cents, to $73.69.

On Thursday prices jumped almost 3 percent after Israel bombed nuclear targets in Iran and Iran fired missiles and drones at Israel. The week-old war between Israel and Iran showed no signs of either side backing down. Iran is OPEC鈥檚 third-largest producer.

Brent futures trimmed previous session gains following the White House鈥檚 comments that President Donald Trump would decide whether the US will get involved in the Israel-Iran conflict in the next two weeks.

鈥淥il prices surged amid fears of increased US involvement in Israel鈥檚 conflict with Iran. However, the White House press secretary later suggested there was still time for de-escalation,鈥 said Phil Flynn, analyst at the Price Futures Group.

鈥淭he 鈥榯wo-week deadline鈥 is a tactic Trump has used in other key decisions. Often these deadlines expire without concrete action, ... which would see the crude oil price remain elevated and potentially build on recent gains,鈥 said Tony Sycamore, analyst at IG. 

Emril Jamil, oil research analyst at LSEG, said the 鈥渦nwavering determination鈥 of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies to increase output 鈥渕ay have added jitters to the market.鈥


OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets鈥 central bank, says Saudi energy minister

OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets鈥 central bank, says Saudi energy minister
Updated 19 June 2025

OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets鈥 central bank, says Saudi energy minister

OPEC+ has proven to be oil markets鈥 central bank, says Saudi energy minister

RIYADH: OPEC+ has proven to be the 鈥渃entral bank鈥 and regulator of the global oil market, providing much-needed stability, 黑料社区鈥檚 energy minister said.

Speaking at the annual St. Petersburg International Economic Forum in Russia, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman praised the alliance鈥檚 role in balancing oil markets amid global economic uncertainties.

鈥淚 would have to say that OPEC+ had proven to be an instrument that if it wasn鈥檛 invented by us and Russia and our colleagues, it should have been invented a long time ago because this is what OPEC+ had achieved in terms of bringing stability to the market and had proven that it is the central bank and the regulator of oil markets,鈥 the energy minister said.

Prince Abdulaziz also highlighted the ongoing partnership between 黑料社区 and Russia through the Saudi-Russian Joint Committee, noting plans for Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak to visit the Kingdom later this year with a high-level business delegation.

鈥淚鈥檓 looking forward to host Alexander 鈥 the co-chair of our joint committee 鈥 to 黑料社区 this year, with the biggest, most sizable business community participation,鈥 he said.

Prince Abdulaziz emphasized that the collaboration seeks to deepen bilateral economic ties and foster diversified investment opportunities.

鈥淲e have a lot to showcase that bonding together. It will allow us to have a much more diversified relationship, and we are, as a government, working together to provide the right environment for those who want to invest in 黑料社区 or in Russia or in any type or form of joint venturing that we should facilitate that and ensure that the investment environment is congenial for it to happen,鈥 he added.

The minister described the energy alliance as a flexible mechanism responsive to changing global conditions, reaffirming 黑料社区鈥檚 commitment to cooperation with partners to maintain market stability.

Acknowledging the challenges facing Russia, Prince Abdulaziz noted the Kingdom鈥檚 support amid external restrictions.

鈥淚t鈥檚 been a challenging time what Russia is going through, but we have shown a great deal of understanding of the situation, and we鈥檙e trying to maneuver with the restrictions that are existing today,鈥 he said.

鈥淭hat has been the discharge of our leadership willingness to accommodate with this current situation and hopefully helping to support Russia in mitigating these exterior most daunting issues.鈥

On whether 黑料社区 and Russia would compensate for any loss of Iranian crude supplies, the minister stressed that such scenarios are hypothetical and that OPEC+ decisions are collective.

鈥淵ou give me a question that is not evidently seen happening, I don鈥檛 have an answer for you. Again, we only react to realities. But if anybody gives a question that is not relating to the reality today, I fail to see where we could predict things and how we would relate to it,鈥 he said.

The minister clarified that OPEC+ consists of 22 member states and is not dominated by 黑料社区 and Russia alone. A core group of eight countries is tasked with engaging the full membership to ensure coordinated responses to market changes.

鈥淭o respond to a hypothetical question by giving a hypothetical answer, which none of us two here have the right to speak on behalf of everybody without knowing their opinion, is too much of an ask,鈥 he added.

He concluded by highlighting OPEC+鈥檚 reputation as a reliable and adaptive organization.

鈥淲hat we know and what Alexander was saying just a while ago is that we have, as OPEC even before, an OPEC+ attending to so many circumstances since its first, it was in sequence, even inception, that we have been a reliable organization, a serious organization, an effective organization, and attentive to circumstances when they prevail,鈥 he said.


Closing聽Bell: Saudi main index聽rises聽to close at 10,610聽

Closing聽Bell: Saudi main index聽rises聽to close at 10,610聽
Updated 19 June 2025

Closing聽Bell: Saudi main index聽rises聽to close at 10,610聽

Closing聽Bell: Saudi main index聽rises聽to close at 10,610聽

RIYADH: 黑料社区鈥檚 Tadawul All Share Index rose on Thursday, gaining 19.58 points, or 0.18 percent, to close at 10,610.71.   

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR6.4 billion ($1.7 billion), as 116 of the stocks advanced and 115 retreated.    

The Kingdom鈥檚 parallel market Nomu lost 28.01 points, or 0.11 percent, to close at 26,175.83. This came as 35 of the listed stocks advanced while 41 retreated.    

The MSCI Tadawul Index lost 0.54 points, or 0.04 percent, to close at 1,367.14.     

The best-performing stock of the day was Alistithmar AREIC Diversified REIT Fund, whose share price surged 9.97 percent to SR7.50. 

Seera Group Holding also recorded strong gains, with its share price rising 7.99 percent to SR23.80, while Banan Real Estate Co. climbed 7.14 percent to close at SR4.50. 

Southern Province Cement Co. recorded the most significant drop, falling 5.19 percent to SR27.40. Ataa Educational Co. also saw its stock prices fall 3.43 percent to SR59.10. 

Leejam Sports Co. also saw its stock prices decline 3.01 percent to SR116.

On the announcements front, Advance International Communications and Technology said it has completed the conversion of one of its branches into an independent limited liability company under the name Innovation Passage Technology Co.

According to a statement on Tadawul, the move is part of the company鈥檚 strategy to restructure its operations by separating the wholesale business sector. The new entity will take over all wholesale functions and operations. The company stated that the transformation is not expected to have a significant financial impact and that any further updates will be announced as they arise. 

Alujain Corp. announced that its board of directors has approved the distribution of SR51.9 million in cash dividends for the second quarter of 2025.

A bourse filing revealed that the number of shares eligible for dividends is 69.2 million, with the dividend per share set at SR0.75. The dividend represents 7.5 percent of the share鈥檚 par value. 

Alujain shares closed the session up 2.74 percent at SR35.

United Cooperative Assurance Co. announced the signing of a memorandum of understanding with Arabia Insurance Cooperative Co. to evaluate a potential merger.

According to a Tadawul filing, both parties will conduct technical, financial, tax, legal, and actuarial due diligence, and will enter into non-binding discussions regarding the terms and conditions of the proposed transaction.  

United Cooperative Assurance shares closed at SR6.70, up 0.75 percent. 


黑料社区鈥檚 PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030

黑料社区鈥檚 PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030
Updated 19 June 2025

黑料社区鈥檚 PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030

黑料社区鈥檚 PIF launches company to build and run Expo 2030
  • New firm to turn site into multicultural hub post-event

RIYADH: 黑料社区鈥檚 Public Investment Fund has launched Expo 2030 Riyadh Co., a wholly owned entity tasked with developing, managing, and operating the infrastructure and programming for the Kingdom鈥檚 first World Expo.

During its development phases, the project is projected to contribute $64 billion to 黑料社区鈥檚 gross domestic product and generate around 171,000 direct and indirect jobs. Once operational, it is expected to add $5.6 billion to the national economy.

According to an official release on Thursday, the newly established company will play a pivotal role not only in executing the large-scale event but also in preserving its long-term legacy.

Known as ERC, the company will fast-track operations to meet its ambitious mandate. It plans to collaborate with both local and international private sector partners to deliver on construction, cultural programming, and event management goals.

鈥淓RC benefits from PIF鈥檚 diverse local and global ecosystem and the establishment of the company aligns with PIF鈥檚 local real estate strategy, which drives economic transformation and diversification, advancing urban innovation and enhancing quality of life, driven by the ambitious goals of Saudi Vision 2030,鈥 said Saad Al-proud, head of PIF鈥檚 Local Real Estate Investment Division.

Covering an expansive 6 million sq. m, the Expo 2030 site will be one of the largest World Expo venues ever built. Strategically located north of Riyadh near the upcoming King Salman International Airport, it will offer direct access to major city landmarks.

Set to run from Oct. 1, 2030 to March 31, 2031, Expo 2030 Riyadh is expected to draw over 40 million visits. Following the event, ERC aims to repurpose the gated expo area into a 鈥済lobal village鈥 鈥 a multicultural destination featuring retail, food  and beverages, and premium residential offerings, all aligned with the Kingdom鈥檚 push toward sustainable tourism and innovation.

Participating nations will have the opportunity to construct permanent pavilions, enabling a lasting impact beyond the event itself and encouraging long-term investment and business ties.

PIF emphasized that the initiative reflects its broader strategy to drive economic diversification while securing sustainable financial returns.

The fund remains at the forefront of delivering 黑料社区鈥檚 transformative giga-projects and real estate ventures, reshaping the national landscape and bolstering the Kingdom鈥檚 global positioning.

Riyadh secured the rights to host Expo 2030 in November 2024, winning the international vote in the first round 鈥 further solidifying its reputation as a fast-evolving capital that blends connectivity, sustainability, and high quality of life at scale.


Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war

Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war
Updated 19 June 2025

Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war

Syria completes first global SWIFT transfer since war

DAMASCUS: Syrian Arab Republic has carried out its first international bank transaction via the SWIFT system since the outbreak of its 14-year civil war, its central bank governor said on Thursday, a milestone in the country鈥檚 push to reintegrate into the global financial system.

Abdelkader Husriyeh told Reuters in Damascus that a direct commercial transaction had been carried out from a Syrian to an Italian bank on Sunday, and that transactions with US banks could begin within weeks.

鈥淭he door is now open to more such transactions,鈥 he said.

Syrian banks were largely cut off from the world during the civil war after a crackdown by Bashar Assad on anti-government protests in 2011 led Western states to impose sanctions, including on Syria鈥檚 central bank.

Assad was ousted as president in a lightning offensive by rebels last year and Syria has since taken steps to re-establish international ties, culminating in a May meeting between interim President Ahmed Al-Sharaa and US President Donald Trump in Riyadh.

The US then significantly eased its sanctions and some in Congress are pushing for them to be totally repealed. Europe has announced the end of its economic sanctions regime.

Syria needs to make transfers with Western financial institutions in order to bring in huge sums for reconstruction and to kickstart a war-ravaged economy that has left nine out of 10 people poor, according to the UN.

Husriyeh chaired a high-level virtual meeting on Wednesday bringing together Syrian banks, several US banks and US officials, including Washington's Syria envoy Thomas Barrack.

The aim of the meeting was to accelerate the reconnection of Syria鈥檚 banking system to the global financial system and Husriyeh extended a formal invitation to US banks to re-establish correspondent banking ties.

鈥淲e have two clear targets: have US banks set up representative offices in Syria and have transactions resume between Syrian and American banks. I think the latter can happen in a matter of weeks,鈥 Husriyeh told Reuters.

Among the banks invited to Wednesday鈥檚 conference were JP Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Citibank, though it was not immediately clear who attended.