Oil Updates — crude jumps as new US sanctions to curb Russian supply to China, India

Oil Updates — crude jumps as new US sanctions to curb Russian supply to China, India
Brent crude futures climbed $1.14, or 1.43 percent, to $80.90 a barrel by 10:41 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 13 January 2025

Oil Updates — crude jumps as new US sanctions to curb Russian supply to China, India

Oil Updates — crude jumps as new US sanctions to curb Russian supply to China, India

SINGAPORE: Oil prices extended gains for a third session on Monday, with Brent rising above $80 a barrel to its highest in more than four months, as wider US sanctions are expected to affect Russian crude exports to top buyers China and India.

Brent crude futures climbed $1.14, or 1.43 percent, to $80.90 a barrel by 10:41 a.m. Saudi timeafter hitting an intraday high of $81.49, the highest since Aug. 27.

US West Texas Intermediate crude rose $1.20, or 1.57 percent to $77.77 a barrel after touching a high of $78.39, the most since Oct. 8.

Brent and WTI have risen by more than 6 percent since Jan. 8, and both contracts surged after the US Treasury imposed wider sanctions on Russian oil on Friday.

The new sanctions included producers Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, as well as 183 vessels that have shipped Russian oil, targeting the revenue Moscow has used to fund its war with Ukraine.

Russian oil exports will be hurt severely by the new sanctions, pushing China and India, the world’s top and third-largest oil importers respectively, to source more crude from the Middle East, Africa and the Americas, which will boost prices and shipping costs, traders and analysts said.

“Friday’s announcement strengthens our view that the risks to our $70-85 Brent range forecast are skewed to the upside in the short term,” Goldman Sachs analysts said in a note.

“We estimate that the vessels targeted by the new sanctions transported 1.7mb/d of oil in 2024 or 25 percent of Russia’s exports, with the vast majority being crude oil.”

Expectations of tighter supplies have also pushed Brentand WTI monthly spreadsto their widest backwardation since the third quarter of 2024. Prompt prices are higher than those in future months in backwardation, indicating tight supply.

RBC Capital Markets analysts said the doubling of tankers sanctioned for moving Russian barrels could serve as a major logistical headwind to crude flows.

Many of the tankers named in the latest sanctions have been used to ship oil to India and China as previous Western sanctions and a price cap imposed by the Group of Seven countries in 2022 shifted trade in Russian oil from Europe to Asia. Some of the ships have also moved oil from Iran, which is also under sanctions.

“The last round of OFAC (US Office of Foreign Assets Control) sanctions targeting Russian oil companies and a very large number of tankers will be consequential in particular for India,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of research at Onyx Capital Group.

JPMorgan analysts said Russia had some room to maneuver despite the new sanctions, but it would ultimately need to acquire non-sanctioned tankers or offer crude at or below $60 a barrel to use Western insurance as per the West’s price cap.


Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 11,494

Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 11,494
Updated 12 October 2025

Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 11,494

Closing Bell: Saudi main index ends lower at 11,494

RIYADH: ’s Tadawul All Share Index dipped on Sunday, losing 88.86 points, or 0.77 percent, to close at 11,494.45. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.65 billion ($1.24 billion), with 42 stocks advancing and 211 retreating.  

The MSCI Tadawul Index also fell, dropping 13.01 points, or 0.86 percent, to close at 1,496.74. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu gained 57.44 points, or 0.22 percent, to end at 25,862.86, as 45 listed stocks advanced while 47 retreated.  

The best-performing stock of the session was Maharah Human Resources Co., whose share price surged 9.90 percent to SR5.33. 

Other top performers included Saudi Automotive Services Co., up 7.44 percent to SR70, and National Shipping Co. of , rising 7.24 percent to SR29.64. Savola Group and Al-Omran Industrial Trading Co. followed, climbing 4.80 percent and 3.01 percent to SR26 and SR32.20, respectively. 

On the downside, Naseej International Trading Co. fell to SR80.40, down 9.97 percent.  

Gas Arabian Services Co. slipped to SR15.57, down 4.13 percent, and National Medical Care Co. to SR175.40, down 3.47 percent. Methanol Chemicals Co. dropped to SR10.05, down 3.27 percent, while Tamkeen Human Resource Co. declined to SR58.15, down 2.76 percent. 

On the corporate announcements front, Arabian Centres Co., operating as Cenomi Centers, announced a public offering of Saudi Riyal-denominated Sukuk to refinance existing debt and meet general corporate needs.  

According to a Tadawul statement, the offering follows Capital Market Authority approval on Sept. 16, under the company’s established SR4.5 billion sukuk issuance program. The final issuance amount will depend on market conditions, with Al Rajhi Capital appointed as financial advisor, sole arranger, and dealer for the offering. 

Cenomi Centers’ shares traded 1.64 percent lower, closing at SR22.23. 


SARCO, UAE’s Go Energy partner on ’s green hydrogen push

SARCO, UAE’s Go Energy partner on ’s green hydrogen push
Updated 12 October 2025

SARCO, UAE’s Go Energy partner on ’s green hydrogen push

SARCO, UAE’s Go Energy partner on ’s green hydrogen push

RIYADH: A green hydrogen and ammonia project is set to take shape in the Kingdom after Refineries Co. signed a non-binding memorandum of understanding with UAE-based Go Energy. 

The deal will see the two companies conduct a joint study on the project and design a legal framework to support their collaboration, SARCO said in a statement to Tadawul.  

The MoU is valid for one year unless extended by mutual agreement, the statement added. 

The deal aligns with ’s wider strategy to generate 50 percent of its electricity from renewable sources by 2030 and to become the world’s largest exporter of green hydrogen, targeting annual production of 1.2 million tonnes by the end of the decade. 

This commitment is part of the broader National Renewable Energy Program strategy, aimed at diversifying ’s energy portfolio and reducing reliance on fossil fuels. 

“SARCO is pleased to announce the signing of a non-binding MoU with the UAE-based GO Energy Company to collaborate on developing the green hydrogen (ammonia) project in ,” the Tadawul-listed firm said.  

SARCO added that the agreement has no immediate financial implications and involves no related parties. The move also reflects the company’s strategy to expand services through specialized energy partnerships. 

Green hydrogen, created through electrolysis powered by renewable energy, is seen as a critical component in reducing global carbon emissions because it produces no greenhouse gases during production. 

With a net-zero emissions target by 2060, is investing heavily in both green and blue hydrogen, with companies like Saudi Aramco and ACWA Power spearheading the energy transition in the Kingdom. 

The Kingdom is also building the world’s largest green hydrogen plant in the futuristic city of NEOM, expected to be operational by December 2026, as confirmed by NEOM Green Hydrogen Co. CEO Wesam Al-Ghamdi in November 2024. 

In July, ACWA Power also signed multiple agreements to export renewable electricity and green hydrogen to Europe, reinforcing the Kingdom’s drive to become a global clean energy hub. 


tops GCC projects market in Q3: report

 tops GCC projects market in Q3: report
Updated 12 October 2025

tops GCC projects market in Q3: report

 tops GCC projects market in Q3: report

RIYADH: led the Gulf Cooperation Council’s projects market in the third quarter of 2025 with $28.1 billion in contract awards, a new report showed.    

According to Kamco Invest, this represented 51.3 percent of total GCC awards — just over half of regional activity.  

Across the region, total GCC contract awards fell 27 percent year on year to $54.8 billion in the third quarter, with nine-month awards down 30.5 percent to $154.4 billion.  

In its report, Kamco stated: “Contract awards are expected to gain momentum in the fourth quarter of the year, driven primarily by recoveries in and the UAE.”   

It added: “However, despite a strong project pipeline, overall project awards in 2025 in the GCC are expected to decline and fall short of the 2024 record contract awards.”   

Sectorally, six of the GCC’s eight industries recorded year-on-year declines in the third quarter. Construction dropped 62.4 percent to $11.1 billion and power decreased 13.3 percent to $17.1 billion, while gas and oil were the only sectors to post growth.    

Within , power led with $9.8 billion in awards, compared with $17.1 billion a year earlier, while construction totaled $5.2 billion; there were no chemical sector awards and oil stood at $3.9 billion.     

Notable awards included an $853 million road package for Almabani General Contractors and a $167 million contract for a Pirelli tyre plant in King Abdullah Economic City. Over the first nine months, awards nearly halved to $61.5 billion from $116.6 billion.    

’s lead comes as contracts awarded under its giga-projects surged 20 percent in 2025 to $196 billion, according to Knight Frank.     

The report said the increase reflects a clear shift from planning to execution across major developments, particularly in real estate, tourism, and infrastructure, signaling steady progress in the Kingdom’s Vision 2030 diversification drive.    

Kamco’s report stated: “Overall project activity in has been sluggish throughout 2025. However, the Kingdom’s broader economic performance has been better than previously expected.” 

In the UAE, third-quarter awards fell 65.8 percent year on year to $6.7 billion, moving the country from the GCC’s largest projects market in the second quarter to third place in the third quarter.   

Over the first nine months, awards declined 18.0 percent to $59.7 billion. Construction led with $5.4 billion despite a 56.2 percent slide, and there were no oil and gas awards in the quarter.    

Major announcements included a $593 million contract for Sharjah’s Madar Mall and a $300 million award for the Erisha Smart Manufacturing Hub in Ras Al-Khaimah.   

Qatar was a bright spot, with contract awards jumping 115.9 percent year on year to $13.6 billion in the third quarter and rising 27.6 percent to $20.5 billion over the first nine months, supported by preparations for the 2030 Asian Games.   

Oil and gas led sector allocations, and China Offshore Oil Engineering won roughly $4 billion of contracts for the Bul Hanine offshore field.   

Kuwait’s market improved, with third-quarter awards up 33.8 percent year on year to $4.3 billion and first-nine-months awards up 25.3 percent to $7 billion.   

The quarter was dominated by the $4 billion Al Zour North IWPP phases two and three, alongside an $84 million upstream oil contract and a $65 million public-buildings package in Al Mutlaa Residential City.   

Looking ahead, Kamco expects awards to gain momentum in the fourth quarter on recoveries in and the UAE, although full-year 2025 awards are still seen finishing below 2024’s record.   

The GCC’s pre-execution pipeline totals about $1.78 trillion, led by construction with $624.2 billion, transport with $300 billion and power with $294.2 billion.   

accounts for roughly $887 billion of upcoming projects and the UAE $434.0 billion; Saudi Aramco plans 99 projects over the next three years and currently has about $50 billion of engineering, procurement, and construction contracts under execution. 


Oman’s banking sector credit surpasses$88.69bnby end of August

Oman’s banking sector credit surpasses$88.69bnby end of August
Updated 12 October 2025

Oman’s banking sector credit surpasses$88.69bnby end of August

Oman’s banking sector credit surpasses$88.69bnby end of August

JEDDAH: Oman’s banking sector continued its steady growth in August 2025, with total credit rising 8.6 percent year on year to 34.1 billion Omani rials ($88.69 billion), while private sector lending increased 6.5 percent, official data showed. 

Sectoral distribution data indicated that non-financial corporates accounted for the largest share at 46.7 percent, followed by households at 44.7 percent, according to a statement from the Central Bank of Oman.  

The remaining portion was allocated to financial corporations at 5.7 percent and other sectors at 2.9 percent. 

Oman’s robust banking sector, coupled with strong performance from listed companies, reflects the nation’s steady progress toward Vision 2040, which emphasizes economic diversification, private sector growth, and financial resilience. 

Rising credit flows, particularly to non-financial corporates and households, are fueling the development of small and medium-sized enterprises and domestic investment, supporting efforts to reduce reliance on hydrocarbons and build a more diversified economy. 

“Total deposits held with ODCs registered a Y-o-Y significant growth of 7 percent to reach 33.3 billion rials at the end of August 2025. Total private sector deposits increased by 7.5 percent to OMR 22.4 billion,” CBO said in a release. 

In terms of sectoral composition, households held the largest share of private sector deposits at 50 percent, followed by non-financial corporates at 30.6 percent, financial corporations at 17.2 percent, and other sectors at 2.2 percent. 

The combined balance sheet of conventional banks showed a 7.3 percent year-on-year growth in total outstanding credit by the end of August. Credit to the private sector rose 4.5 percent to 21.4 billion rials, while overall investments in securities increased 3.2 percent to 6.1 billion rials. 

Investments in government development bonds grew 12 percent to 2.2 billion rials, whereas foreign securities declined 7 percent to 2.3 billion rials, according to the CBO report. 

On the liabilities side, aggregate deposits with conventional banks rose 5.5 percent year on year to 26.1 billion rials at the end of August. Government deposits increased 9.6 percent to 5.9 billion rials, while public enterprise deposits fell 7.8 percent to 1.7 billion rials. Private sector deposits, representing 67 percent of total deposits, grew 6.1 percent to 17.5 billion rials. 

The CBO also noted that the total assets of Islamic banks and windows grew 15.1 percent year on year to 9.1 billion rials, representing about 19.7 percent of the banking system’s total assets at the end of August. 

“Islamic banking entities provided financing of OMR 7.3 billion at the end of August 2025, recording a growth of 13.5 percent over that a year ago. Total deposits held with Islamic banks and windows increased by 12.9 percent to OMR 7.2 billion,” it added. 


Egypt’s credit rating upgraded by S&P to ‘B’; Fitch affirms stable outlook

Egypt’s credit rating upgraded by S&P to ‘B’; Fitch affirms stable outlook
Updated 12 October 2025

Egypt’s credit rating upgraded by S&P to ‘B’; Fitch affirms stable outlook

Egypt’s credit rating upgraded by S&P to ‘B’; Fitch affirms stable outlook

RIYADH: Egypt’s credit rating was raised by S&P Global to ‘B’ from ‘B-’, while Fitch reaffirmed its ‘B’ rating, citing reform progress and macroeconomic stability. 

S&P said the upgrade reflects reforms implemented over the past 18 months, including the liberalization of the foreign exchange regime, which boosted competitiveness and fueled a rebound in growth.  

In September, Egypt’s Ministry of Planning, Economic Development and International Cooperation reported that the economy expanded 4.4 percent in fiscal year 2024/25, driven by a strong fourth quarter when gross domestic product growth hit a three-year high of 5 percent. 

Welcoming the move, Egypt’s Prime Minister Mostafa Madbouly said: “Both S&P and Fitch have confidence, despite all challenges, that the Egyptian government will continue implementing its economic reform program, and that the returns from this program will grow further in the coming period.”  

According to S&P, economic reforms in the country have also boosted tourism and inward remittances and improved external and fiscal metrics.   
Since March 2024, the Egyptian pound has traded under a more flexible regime, helping stabilize the balance of payments and restore investor confidence. 

“The stable outlook balances our view of Egypt’s improving growth prospects and improving balance of payments trends against continued high government deficits and debt, including external commercial obligations,” said S&P Global. 

The agency said Egypt’s economy has benefited from the $8 billion loan program provided by the International Monetary Fund in March 2024, which helped stabilize the currency and support policy reforms. It also noted more than $10 billion in additional funding from other multilateral donors. 

“The government’s reform efforts, supported by the IMF, have attempted to reduce key structural constraints to growth. These include the large informal sector; relatively weak, albeit improving, governance and transparency of state-owned enterprises; and barriers to competition that prioritized public and military-owned companies and restricted private-sector activity,” said the report.  

In March 2024, the EU announced a €7.4 billion ($8.1 billion) financial and investment package for Egypt over four years, comprising about €5 billion in concessional loans, €1.8 billion in investments, and €600 million for bilateral projects. 

S&P Global said it could consider raising Egypt’s credit rating if the country’s net government and external debt positions improve significantly faster than currently expected. 

The ratings could also be upgraded further if economic diversification progresses steadily and the government opens key sectors to foreign investment, thereby benefiting the broader economy. 

On the downside, S&P Global warned that it could revise Egypt’s outlook to negative if the government’s commitment to macroeconomic reforms — including exchange rate flexibility — weakens, or if economic imbalances such as foreign currency shortages reemerge. 

In a separate report, Fitch Ratings affirmed Egypt’s Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating at ‘B’ with a stable outlook, citing the country’s large economy, relatively high potential GDP growth, and strong support from bilateral and multilateral partners. 

However, Fitch noted that these strengths are offset by weak public finances, including exceptionally high debt interest-to-revenue ratios, sizable external financing needs, a record of volatile commercial financing flows, elevated inflation, and geopolitical risks. 

According to Fitch, Egypt’s gross international reserves rose by $2.1 billion in the first nine months of 2025 to reach $47 billion. 

The Central Bank of Egypt’s net foreign asset position stood at $10.7 billion in August, remaining broadly stable this year, while the banking sector’s net foreign asset position improved by $13.7 billion during the first eight months of 2025. 

“Our projection for broad stability in external finances partly reflects a steady narrowing of the current account deficit to 2.8 percent of GDP in FY27, following the 1.2 percentage points improvement in FY25 to 4.2 percent of GDP. This is driven by robust expansion of remittances which surged 66 percent in FY25 and tourism, offsetting a widening trade deficit,” said Fitch.  

The report further noted that Egypt’s foreign direct investment is expected to rise to an average of $15.5 billion in FY2026–2027, up from $13.2 billion in FY2025. 

According to Fitch, the country’s rating could be upgraded if Egypt strengthens its international reserves, narrows its current account deficit, and implements structural reforms that reduce the risk of renewed imbalances while improving access to international markets. 

Conversely, the rating could be downgraded if a further escalation of regional conflict heightens instability and security risks in Egypt, resulting in larger negative spillovers for tourism, Suez Canal revenues, or investor sentiment.