Oil Updates – market sees losses on tight supply but cloudy demand caps gains

Oil Updates – market sees losses on tight supply but cloudy demand caps gains
Brent futures rose 17 cents, or 0.24 percent, to $72.06 a barrel by 7:20 a.m. Saudi time. Shutterstock
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Updated 13 November 2024

Oil Updates – market sees losses on tight supply but cloudy demand caps gains

Oil Updates – market sees losses on tight supply but cloudy demand caps gains

SINGAPORE: Oil prices edged up on Wednesday on signs of near-term supply tightness but remained near their lowest in two weeks, a day after OPEC downgraded its forecast for global oil demand growth in 2024 and 2025.

Brent futures rose 17 cents, or 0.24 percent, to $72.06 a barrel by 7:20 a.m. Saudi time, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures gained 14 cents, or 0.21 percent, at $68.26.

“Crude oil prices edged higher as tightness in the physical market offset bearish sentiment on demand. Buyers in the physical market have been particularly active, with any available cargoes being snapped up quickly,” ANZ analysts said in a note.

But falling demand projections and weakness in major consumer China continued to weigh on market sentiment.

“We may expect prices to consolidate around current levels for longer,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG, adding the recent attempt for a bounce was quickly sold into.

“The absence of a more direct fiscal stimulus out of China has been casting a shadow on oil demand outlook, coupled with the prospects of higher US oil production with a Trump presidency and looming OPEC+’s plans for an output raise,” Yeap added.

In its monthly report on Tuesday, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries said world oil demand would rise by 1.82 million barrels per day in 2024, down from growth of 1.93 million bpd forecast last month, mostly due to weakness in China, the world’s biggest oil importer.

Oil prices settled up 0.1 percent on Tuesday following the news, after falling by about 5 percent during the two previous sessions.

OPEC also cut its 2025 global demand growth estimate to 1.54 million bpd from 1.64 million bpd.

The International Energy Agency, which has a far lower view, is set to publish its updated forecast on Thursday.

“The re-election of former President Trump is unlikely to materially affect oil market fundamentals over the near term, in our view,” Barclays analysts wrote.

“Drill, baby, drill: this is likely to underwhelm as a strategy to drive oil prices materially lower over the near term” given that the stock of approved permits actually rose under the Biden administration, the analysts said.

However, markets would still feel the effects of a supply disruption from Iran or a further escalation between Iran and Israel, according to Barclays.

Donald Trump’s expected secretary of state pick, US Senator Marco Rubio, is known for his hard-line stance on Iran, China and Cuba. Tighter enforcement of sanctions on Iran could disrupt global oil supply, while a tougher approach to China could further weaken oil demand in the world’s largest consumer.

Two US central bankers said on Tuesday that interest rates are acting as a brake on inflation that is still above the 2 percent mark, suggesting that the Federal Reserve would be open to further interest rate cuts.

The Fed cut its policy rate last week by a quarter of a percentage point to the 4.50 percent-4.75 percent range. Interest rate cuts typically boost economic activity and energy demand.

US weekly inventory reports have been delayed by a day following Monday’s Veterans Day holiday. The American Petroleum Institute industry group data is due at 00:30 a.m. Saudi time on Thursday.

Analysts polled by Reuters estimated on average that crude inventories rose by about 100,000 barrels in the week to Nov. 8. 


MENA mergers and acquisitions deals rise 149% to record $115.5bn in H1: LSEG

MENA mergers and acquisitions deals rise 149% to record $115.5bn in H1: LSEG
Updated 36 sec ago

MENA mergers and acquisitions deals rise 149% to record $115.5bn in H1: LSEG

MENA mergers and acquisitions deals rise 149% to record $115.5bn in H1: LSEG
  • Deal volumes climbed 16% year on year, reaching highest level in three years
  • UAE drew $39.8 billion in M&A inflows, followed by at $3.5 billion

RIYADH: Mergers and acquisitions in the Middle East and North Africa region reached $115.5 billion in the first half of 2025, marking a 149 percent increase over the same period last year. 

The London Stock Exchange Group said in its latest report that this marks the highest first-half total since it began tracking the data in 1980, highlighting the region’s resilience amid global economic headwinds. 

Deal volumes in the region also climbed 16 percent year on year, reaching the highest level in three years, the report noted.  

The sharp uptick signals robust investor appetite despite macroeconomic uncertainty and builds on a solid 2024 performance, when MENA M&A deals rose 7 percent to $92.3 billion. 

In February, US-based investment bank Morgan Stanley described the momentum as a “structural upswing” in deal volume and value, driven by regulatory reforms and strategic policy shifts across the region. 

“Deals involving a MENA target reached $48.0 billion, 18 percent more than the value recorded last year at this time and a level only exceeded once before, in 2019 when Saudi Aramco acquired a majority stake in SABIC,” LSEG said.   

The analysis revealed that outbound M&A reached $64.5 billion, an all-time first-half record, while the number of outbound deals rose 8 percent. 

The largest deal announced so far this year is Borealis AG’s $30.85 billion acquisition of Borouge PLC in the UAE, which is currently pending completion. 

UAE and Saudi lead activity 

The UAE was the top target country, drawing $39.8 billion in M&A inflows, followed by at $3.5 billion.  

Earlier this year, global consulting firm EY said the two countries accounted for 318 M&A deals in 2024, worth $29.6 billion combined, citing improved capital markets, international investor interest, and regulatory liberalization as primary drivers. 

In a sign of continued M&A momentum in , the General Authority for Competition approved a record 202 economic concentration requests in January, reflecting the Kingdom’s efforts to strengthen its competitive business environment. 

Economic concentration approvals are required for mergers and acquisitions to ensure they do not create monopolies or disrupt market competition. 

Sectoral breakdown 

The materials sector dominated MENA-targeted M&A activity by value in the first half of the year, accounting for 67 percent of total deal value at $32.1 billion, largely driven by the UAE's ADNOC-OMV merger involving Borouge and Borealis, according to the latest LSEG report. 

The financial sector followed with deals worth $3.3 billion, while the consumer products and services sector recorded $2.9 billion in transactions. The high technology and industrials sectors saw activity totaling $2.6 billion and $2.3 billion, respectively. 

M&A in the energy and power sector reached $2.2 billion during the same period. 

London-based financial services group Rothschild led the MENA financial adviser league table for announced M&A deals in the first half, advising on transactions worth a combined $76.1 billion. 

Equity capital markets  

Equity and equity-related issuance in the MENA region totaled $7.6 billion in the first six months of the year, representing a 57 percent decline in value compared to the same period in the previous year.  

Initial public offerings accounted for 59 percent of the total, while follow-on issuances made up the remaining 41 percent. 

A total of 25 IPOs were recorded — two more than during the same period in 2024 — marking the highest such tally since 2008. 
Collectively, these IPOs raised $4.5 billion, representing a 25 percent rise compared to the previous year.  

“Low-cost airline flynas raised $1.1 billion in its stock market debut on ’s main Tadawul exchange in May, the largest IPO in the region so far this year,” said LSEG.  

A June report by Forbes Middle East said that ’s equity capital market maintained strong momentum in the first half, with six companies raising a combined $2.8 billion through initial public offerings on Tadawul. 

The rise in the Kingdom’s IPO pipeline aligns with broader financial reforms, as the Capital Market Authority has introduced new frameworks, including regulations for special purpose acquisition companies, to expand funding avenues and enhance private sector participation. 

The LSEG report said proceeds raised from follow-on offerings reached $3.1 billion during the first quarter, largely boosted by Abu Dhabi's ADNOC Gas’s $2.8 billion share sale in February. 

The energy and power sector led activity, with issuers raising a combined $2.8 billion, accounting for 38 percent of total equity capital raised in the region, followed by the real estate sector at 20 percent. 

HSBC topped the MENA equity capital markets underwriting league table for the first half, with a 15 percent market share, followed by EFG Hermes at 11 percent. 

Debt capital markets  

MENA bond issuance totaled $86.8 billion in the first half, representing a 17 percent increase over the same period last year and marking the highest first-half total since 1980. 

The number of bond issues also rose 17 percent year on year, surpassing all previous first-half records. 

was the most active issuer, accounting for 52 percent of total bond proceeds, followed by the UAE at 25 percent, and Qatar at 8 percent.

Earlier this month, a report by S&P Global said ’s domestic corporate bond and sukuk markets are poised for further growth, driven by Vision 2030 investments and ongoing regulatory reforms. 

In April, Fitch Ratings reported that ’s debt capital market reached $465.8 billion by the end of March, a 16 percent year-on-year increase, with sukuk making up 60.4 percent of the total. 

The Kingdom’s debt market is expected to surpass $500 billion in outstanding value by the end of 2025, supported by strong economic fundamentals, diversified funding strategies, and continued progress under Vision 2030. 

LSEG also said Islamic bonds in the region raised $32.2 billion in the first half — an all-time record for the period — representing a 14 percent increase over last year. 

Sukuk accounted for 37 percent of total bond proceeds raised in the region, slightly down from 38 percent during the same period in 2024. 

HSBC led the MENA bond bookrunner rankings, handling $8.9 billion in proceeds, or a 10 percent market share in the first half. 

Investment banking fees 

LSEG estimated that $773.7 million in investment banking fees were generated in the MENA region, a 2 percent decline from the same period in 2024, but still the third-highest first-half total since 2000. 

Debt capital markets underwriting fees rose 20 percent year on year to $278.9 million in the first six months. 

However, equity market underwriting fees dropped to a two-year low of $169.9 million, reflecting an 18 percent year-on-year decline. 

“Advisory fees earned from completed M&A transactions totalled $191 million, 52 percent more than the value registered last year at this time and the highest first-half total since 2022,” said LSEG.

According to the report, accounted for 41 percent of all MENA investment banking fees, followed by the UAE at 35 percent, and Qatar at 7 percent. 

HSBC earned the most investment banking fees in the region, collecting $64 million, or an 8 percent share of the total fee pool. 


Saudi POS spending up 5% in early July driven by hotel sector

Saudi POS spending up 5% in early July driven by hotel sector
Updated 27 min 54 sec ago

Saudi POS spending up 5% in early July driven by hotel sector

Saudi POS spending up 5% in early July driven by hotel sector

RIYADH: ’s point-of-sale transactions climbed 5 percent to SR14.3 billion ($3.81 billion) in the week ending July 5, driven by increased spending across multiple sectors.

The latest data from the Kingdom’s central bank, also known as SAMA, showed that hotels led the growth, registering the largest jump in transaction value, up 22.7 percent to SR260.74 million. 

The sector also saw an 18 percent rise in the number of transactions, reaching 802 million.

According to SAMA’s bulletin, the telecommunication division followed, recording a 9.8 percent increase in transaction value to SR136.09 million.

Public utilities spending ranked next, rising 8.8 percent to SR56.92 million, with transactions up 7.2 percent to 740 million.

Food and beverages — responsible for the largest share of total POS value among the defined categories — recorded a 6.9 percent increase to SR2.13 billion.

Transportation spending rose 4.1 percent to SR776.28 million, while restaurants and cafes saw a 3.5 percent increase, totaling SR1.95 billion and claiming the second-biggest share of this week’s POS.

Miscellaneous goods and services claimed the third-largest share of the total transaction value, with an uptick of 8.6 percent to SR1.79 billion.

The smallest spending gains were in gas stations, rising by 1.1 percent to SR974.03 million, and electronics, which increased by 3 percent to SR187.56 million.

The health and furniture sectors also saw upward changes, increasing by 3.7 percent and 8 percent to reach SR871.34 million and SR289.99 million, respectively. 

On the downside, spending on education dipped by 33.5 percent to SR141.12 million, followed by a 6 percent decrease in spending on jewelry.

Recreation and culture followed the trend, falling 2.3 percent to SR287.79 million.

Geographically, Riyadh dominated POS transactions, with expenses in the capital reaching SR4.87 billion, a 3.9 percent increase from the previous week. 

Jeddah followed with a 6.8 percent rise to SR2.06 billion, while Dammam ranked third, up 1 percent to SR680.17 million.

Tabuk saw the smallest increase, inching up 0.1 percent to SR278.76 million, followed by Khobar with a 0.5 percent uptick to SR387.48 million.

Hail recorded 4.21 million deals in transaction volume, up 6.4 percent, while Makkah reached 8.9 million transactions, rising 8.8 percent.


’s FII conference organizer plans IPO: report

’s FII conference organizer plans IPO: report
Updated 37 min 21 sec ago

’s FII conference organizer plans IPO: report

’s FII conference organizer plans IPO: report
  • RA&A working with banks to prepare for possible listing by next year
  • Richard Attias would remain shareholder after any potential transaction and stay on as chairman

RIYADH: Richard Attias and Associates, the organizer of ’s Future Investment Initiative summit, is planning for a potential initial public offering, according to a report. 

Founder and Chairman of RA&A Richard Attias told Bloomberg in an emailed response that the events and advisory firm is currently working with banks, including Evercore Inc., to prepare for a possible listing as soon as next year. 

FII is widely considered as one of the flagship investment events in the Kingdom, where world leaders and industry experts gather to discuss opportunities and challenges across the global financial landscape.

Attias has been a prominent speaker at FII events, where showcases its Vision 2030 ambitions to position itself as an international business destination by the end of the decade. 

Citing Attias, Bloomberg reported that “he would still remain a shareholder after any potential transaction and stay on as chairman of the board. No final decisions have been made.”

Participants attend the annual Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh on Oct. 29, 2024. AFP

Sanabil, the investment arm of the Kingdom’s Public Investment Fund, currently owns about 75 percent of RA&A, while Attias possesses the remaining stake. 

He is currently the chairman of the executive committee at the FII institute, a non-profit run by ’s sovereign wealth fund. 

In February, the FII Institute hosted its Priority Summit in Miami, which featured an address from US President Donald Trump. 

Trump’s keynote speech underscored the need for strategic investments that generate both financial returns and long-term social impact. 

“Today, it is a tremendous honor to become the first American president to address the Future Investment Initiative Institute,” said Trump at the event. 

US President Donald Trump speaks at FII PRIORITY Miami 2025 Summit at the Faena Hotel and Forum in Miami Beach, Florida, Feb. 19, 2025. AFP

He added: “I come today with a simple message for business leaders from all across the nation and all around the world. If you want to build the future, push boundaries, unleash breakthroughs, transform industries, and make a fortune.” 

The eighth edition of FII, held in Riyadh last year, featured over 500 speakers and facilitated more than 200 sessions, including plenary discussions, breakouts, and conclaves, addressing economic stability, geopolitical tensions, and equitable development.

Since its launch in 2017, the FII Institute has been organizing annual events in Riyadh. Over the years, the program has emerged as one of the flagship conferences in the financial sector.

Founded in 2008, RA&A currently employs over 100 people worldwide, providing ideas, connections, and platforms to guide its clients, which include corporations, governments, NGOs, and nonprofits, according to its LinkedIn profile. 


Iraq nears completion of Grand Faw Port, launches $600m Baghdad airport tender

Iraq nears completion of Grand Faw Port, launches $600m Baghdad airport tender
Updated 09 July 2025

Iraq nears completion of Grand Faw Port, launches $600m Baghdad airport tender

Iraq nears completion of Grand Faw Port, launches $600m Baghdad airport tender
  • Work on the flagship port project has reached key milestones
  • The $400–600 million airport investment will be fully privately financed

RIYADH: Iraq’s transport landscape is set for a major upgrade as it nears completion of its Grand Faw Port and launches a $600 million tender to redevelop Baghdad Airport through private investment. 

The Ministry of Transport said in a statement that work on the flagship port project has reached key milestones, despite ongoing challenges. 

The progress on these infrastructure projects aligns with Iraq Vision 2030, which aims to diversify the economy, reduce oil dependency, and boost non-oil sectors like logistics and tourism for long-term growth. 

Farhan Al-Fartousi, director general of the General Co. for Ports of Iraq, said that dredging work on the port’s navigation channel is 92 percent complete, while the container yard has reached 94 percent completion. The 63-km access road connecting the port to the national highway network is also finished. 

“The submerged tunnel project is going according to what is planned, as the third piece has been successfully completed, and the engineering teams are preparing to start the process of bringing the fourth piece in the coming days, after completing all the necessary technical and logistical recalls,” the release said, citing Al-Fartousi.

The tunnel comprises 10 segments, stretching 2,444 meters in total, with 1,226 meters submerged underwater. 

Iraq’s Vision 2030 prioritizes modernizing transport networks, enhancing regional connectivity, and leveraging public-private partnerships. File/AFP

The ministry is finalizing operational procedures for the port, which will soon be submitted to the Cabinet for approval. Once approved, 11 leading global port operators will compete for the management contract. 

The ministry said that Container Terminal No. 1 will meet high technical specifications and be operated by a world-class firm, ensuring the port’s success as a strategic regional hub. 

The transport ministry also unveiled plans for a public-private partnership to modernize Baghdad International Airport, in collaboration with the International Finance Corp., a World Bank affiliate. 

The government has opted for a public-private partnership model to overcome budget constraints and alleviate fiscal pressures, according to a separate ministry statement. 

The approach also aims to leverage private-sector expertise to accelerate infrastructure development, improve service quality, and create jobs while driving economic growth. 

“This initiative aligns with a broader development strategy and does not entail relinquishing the state’s sovereign role. Rather, it aims to enhance operational efficiency and ensure the delivery of safe, high-quality services to travelers,” the statement said. 

The IFC, serving as a non-profit adviser, is supporting Iraq in conducting feasibility studies and organizing a transparent international tender for the project. 

Under the agreement, the government will retain control over sovereign functions such as immigration, customs, air traffic control, and fuel storage. The private operator will be responsible for terminal operations, security screening, infrastructure upgrades, logistics systems, ground handling, and air cargo services. 

The $400–600 million investment will be fully privately financed, with the airport initially accommodating 9 million passengers annually before expanding to 15 million. Bidding closes in September, and the selected operator will share annual gross revenue with the government. The project is expected to generate at least 12,000 new direct jobs, the statement said. 

The progress on Iraq’s Grand Faw Port and Baghdad Airport redevelopment aligns with the broader goals outlined in the country’s Vision 2030, which emphasizes infrastructure development as a pillar of economic diversification and private-sector growth. 

The vision, spearheaded by the Ministry of Planning, prioritizes modernizing transport networks, enhancing regional connectivity, and leveraging public-private partnerships to overcome fiscal constraints, mirroring the airport project’s model. 

The vision’s “Diversified Economy” pillar calls for advanced infrastructure to stimulate trade and job creation, while its governance reforms stress transparency in tenders, as seen in the IFC-backed airport bid. 


Saudi chemicals group SABIC studying IPO of its gas unit

Saudi chemicals group SABIC studying IPO of its gas unit
Updated 09 July 2025

Saudi chemicals group SABIC studying IPO of its gas unit

Saudi chemicals group SABIC studying IPO of its gas unit
  • SABIC said move in line with its portfolio optimization and core business focus strategy
  • Study remains ongoing, with each option subject to necessary assessments

DUBAI: Saudi chemicals group SABIC said on Wednesday it was studying strategic options for its National Industrial Gases Company, including an initial public offering, amid a broad review of its business.

SABIC said in a statement that the move was in line with its portfolio optimization and core business focus strategy, adding that an IPO of GAS would be aimed at improving the group’s “financial position and the value added for shareholders.”

The chemicals industry has been grappling with weak demand and high input costs, leading to lower prices and squeezed margins.

SABIC, one of the world’s largest petrochemical companies and 70 percent-owned by oil major Saudi Aramco, reported in May a first-quarter net loss of $323 million, citing a rise in operating costs and high feedstock costs.

Earlier this year, it also said it planned to cut costs and find new investment opportunities, while restructuring some core assets and offloading non-core businesses.

It has already divested its stakes in Aluminium Bahrain, or Alba, and steel business Hadeed, selling both to other state-backed Saudi entities.

SABIC said on Wednesday that “the study remains ongoing, with each option subject to the necessary financial, technical, regulatory and economic assessments.”

Its shares have fallen 16.3 percent since the beginning of the year, according to LSEG data.