IMF projects 4% growth rebound in Middle East and North Africa next year

IMF projects 4% growth rebound in Middle East and North Africa next year
Non-oil growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council region has mostly outperformed overall growth, according to the IMF. Supplied
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Updated 31 October 2024

IMF projects 4% growth rebound in Middle East and North Africa next year

IMF projects 4% growth rebound in Middle East and North Africa next year

DUBAI: Growth in the Middle East and North Africa region is expected to rebound to 4 percent next year, but will hinge on a phase out of oil production cuts and headwinds subsiding, including from conflicts, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday.

Growth in the region will remain “sluggish” at 2.1 percent in 2024, according to the IMF’s latest Regional Economic Outlook, launched in Dubai, lower than earlier projections as geopolitical and macroeconomic factors weigh.

The IMF cautioned that risks to the outlook for the whole region, including the Caucasus and Central Asia, “remain tilted to the downside,” and called for an acceleration of structural reforms, including in governance and labor markets, to lift prospects for medium term growth.

For 2024, the MENA growth estimate has been revised downwards by 0.6 percent from April’s report, mainly due to the extension of the Israel-Hamas conflict and further extensions of OPEC+ voluntary oil production cuts, Jihad Azour, the IMF’s director for the Middle East and Central Asia department, said in an interview.

He added that the “good news” was that inflation was gradually being brought under control across the region, and expected to average the 3 percent target rate in 2024, with the exception of Egypt, Iran and Sudan.

However, the outlook varies considerably across the region, with oil exporting countries expected to cope better with potential risks, supported by “strong” non-oil sector growth, Azour said.

Amid lower oil prices and lower oil production this year, non-oil growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council region has mostly outperformed overall growth as government led investment programs help drive domestic demand. , Kuwait, the UAE Qatar, Bahrain and Oman are part of the GCC.

Middle East and North Africa oil importers remain more vulnerable to ongoing conflicts and high financing needs.

“Even as these issues gradually abate, uncertainty remains high and structural gaps will likely hold back productivity growth in many economies over the forecast horizon,” the IMF report said.

The IMF has approved $13.4 billion in new funding to Middle East and Central Asian countries since January 2024, including for programs in Egypt, Jordan and Pakistan. 


IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 

IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 
Updated 32 sec ago

IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 

IMF, Pakistan kick off discussions as lender reviews $8.4 billion loan programs 
  • IMF mission arrived in Pakistan last week to hold separate reviews of $7 billion and $1.4 billion loan programs 
  • Discussions take place as Pakistan eyes concessions in program targets from IMF following devastating floods 

KARACHI: A visiting International Monetary Fund (IMF) mission kicked off talks with Pakistani officials on Monday as it holds the second review of its $7 billion External Fund Facility (EFF) and first review of the $1.4 billion Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF) loan programs for the country, the lender confirmed. 

The IMF mission arrived in Pakistan on Sept. 25 to conduct the reviews. The global lender approved a $7 billion bailout package for Pakistan under its EFF program in September 2024 while in May, it approved a separate $1.4 billion loan for Pakistan as a climate resilience fund. The RSF will support Pakistan’s efforts in building economic resilience to climate vulnerabilities and natural disasters. 

“Federal Minister for Finance and Revenue, Senator Muhammad Aurangzeb, chairing the kick-off meeting with the visiting IMF Review Mission at the Finance Division today,” the IMF said in a statement, sharing pictures of the meeting between the two sides. 

The discussion takes place as Pakistan seeks concessions in its program targets following devastating floods that killed over 130 in its eastern Punjab province since late August, impacted over 4.5 million people and destroyed large swathes of crops. The devastation has spiked food prices in many parts of the country, with experts warning of food shortages due to supply chain disruptions. 

Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif met the fund’s Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva in New York last week on the sidelines of the ongoing United Nations’ General Assembly session. During the meeting, Sharif spoke about Pakistan’s progress in fulfilling the IMF program targets but also demanded that the impact of recent floods on Pakistan’s economy “must be factored into the IMF’s review,“

Islamabad has so far received more than $2 billion under the EFF and is expecting a third tranche of $1 billion after the second review concludes successfully.

IMF’s bailout packages have proven instrumental in keeping Pakistan’s fragile $350 billion economy afloat, as the country grapples with tough economic conditions that have triggered a balance of payments crisis and weakened its national currency. 

Pakistan has undertaken painful measures in the past, such as removing subsidies that have resulted in higher food and fuel prices, spiking inflation in the country. Pakistani financial experts told Arab News last week they expected the global lender to grant Islamabad concessions as far as its program targets were concerned, in light of the damages inflicted by the recent floods. 

 “We are expecting Pakistan to get a little breather due to the floods,” economist Sana Tawfik said last week, adding that Islamabad would comfortably meet the international lender’s targets. 

Shankar Talreja, head of research at brokerage firm Topline Securities Ltd., said the current review will focus on continuing the IMF’s reforms under revised parameters due to the floods. He said the government is expected to keep pushing for privatization of state-owned enterprises and clearing its old backlog of circular debt.
 
“The concessions are likely in form of some downward revisions in FBR (Federal Board of Revenue) tax revenue, upward revision in fiscal balance over relief spending and there might a downward adjustment in GDP growth target as well,” Talreja said. 


SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening

SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening
Updated 28 September 2025

SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening

SAMA approves ‘Visitor ID’ for bank account opening

RIYADH: The Saudi Central Bank has announced a significant update to its banking regulations, now permitting the use of the “Visitor ID” as a valid document for opening bank accounts within the Kingdom.

The “Visitor ID,” an official identification document issued by the Ministry of Interior for visitors, can be authenticated via authorized digital platforms. 

The move is a strategic step under ’s Vision 2030, aimed squarely at boosting the tourism sector and creating a seamless, digitally-enabled experience for the millions of tourists, business travelers, and pilgrims who visit the Kingdom annually.

“This decision will enable banks to open accounts for new consumer segments and enhance the visitor experience during their stay in the Kingdom,” SAMA said in a statement.

The statement clarified that this regulatory update stems from a periodic review process, ensuring that policies keep pace with market developments. 

The change is expected to streamline account opening procedures, advance financial inclusion, and further support the ongoing digital transformation of ’s banking services.

This decision effectively bridges a major gap for visitors. Now, with a bank account tied to their Visitor ID — which is issued through the government’s “Absher” platform — they can use local mobile wallets and make digital payments with ease, reducing their reliance on cash. 


Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 
Updated 28 September 2025

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 

Closing Bell: Saudi main index closes in red at 11,229 

RIYADH: ’s Tadawul All Share Index dropped on Sunday, losing 78.57 points, or 0.69 percent, to close at 11,229.54. 

The total trading turnover of the benchmark index was SR4.89 billion ($1.30 billion), as 125 of the listed stocks advanced, while only 118 retreated. 

The MSCI Tadawul Index also decreased, down 13.01 points or 0.88 percent, to close at 1,460.29. 

The Kingdom’s parallel market Nomu lost 5.60 points, or 0.02 percent, to close at 25,455.54. This comes as 42 of the listed stocks advanced, while 44 retreated. 

The best-performing stock during today’s session was CHUBB Arabia Cooperative Insurance Co., with its share price surging by 10 percent to SR38.72. 

Other top performers included Fawaz Abdulaziz Alhokair Co., which saw its share price rise by 9.97 percent to SR28.46, and Obeikan Glass Co., which saw a 9.88 percent increase to SR32.46. 

Arabian Contracting Services Co. rose 6 percent to SR99.85, while East Pipes Integrated Co. for Industry gained 5.38 percent to SR123.40. 

On the downside, the worst performer of the day was Sustained Infrastructure Holding Co., whose share price fell by 3.35 percent to SR32.86. 

Jadwa REIT Saudi Fund fell 3.33 percent to SR10.74, while Al Rajhi Bank dropped 3.15 percent to SR101.50. 

Arriyadh Development Co. fell 2.91 percent to SR29.40, while Saudia Dairy and Foodstuff Co. declined 2.77 percent to SR274. 

On the announcements front, the board of directors of Saudi Networkers Services Co. approved the company’s move from the parallel market, known as Nomu, to the main market. 

The company said it will commence fulfilling the applicable requirements and coordinating with the relevant authorities to obtain the necessary approvals for the transfer to the main market.  

“The transfer to the main market is subject to the approval of the Saudi Capital Market Authority and conditional upon meeting all the applicable requirements. Any material developments regarding the event will be announced as they occur,” the statement added. 

The Saudi Networkers Services Co.’s shares traded 3.25 percent higher on the parallel market to close at SR74.55. 


Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July

Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July
Updated 28 September 2025

Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July

Oman private sector lending climbs 4.6% to $55bn by July

JEDDAH: Oman’s conventional commercial banks expanded credit by 8 percent year on year by the end of July 2025, official data showed. 

Private sector lending rose 4.6 percent to 21.3 billion rials ($55.4 billion), according to the Central Bank of Oman. Investments in securities fell 3.4 percent to 5.8 billion rials, with holdings of government development bonds climbing 6.3 percent to 2 billion rials, while foreign securities declined 15.7 percent to 2.1 billion rials. 

The central bank’s 2025 Financial Stability Report pointed to strong capital buffers and high-quality assets, noting that Oman’s banking sector remains profitable and well-positioned to absorb external shocks. 

“Private sector deposits increased 4.1 percent to 17 billion rials by the end of July, accounting for 66.3 percent of total deposits with conventional commercial banks,” ONA reported, citing the report’s findings. 

On the liabilities side, the recent official data noted that the total deposits with conventional commercial banks grew 3.6 percent to 25.7 billion rials by the end of July. It added that government deposits rose 7.1 percent to 5.8 billion rials, while deposits from public sector institutions fell 11 percent to 1.7 billion rials. 

Real estate trade value hits 2.12bn rials    
According to the National Centre for Statistics and Information, Oman’s total real estate transaction value reached 2.124 billion rials by the end of August, marking a 9.9 percent increase from 1.933 billion rials in the same period last year. 

Fees for legal transactions rose 81.7 percent to 79 million rials. Similarly, sale contract values grew 16.1 percent to 831 million rials, despite a slight 1 percent drop in the number of contracts to 43,971. 

Meanwhile, mortgage contract values rose 6.4 percent to 1.285 billion rials, while exchange contract values declined 17.7 percent to 7.6 million rials. Additionally, property ownership transfers rose 2.6 percent to 153,764, though transfers to GCC nationals fell 12.8 percent to 859 ownerships. 

S&P affirms Oman’s BBB- rating 

The global financial rating agency S&P has affirmed Oman’s long-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit rating at “BBB-” with a stable outlook, citing the government’s commitment to financial reforms and its ability to maintain economic stability despite oil price fluctuations. 

“The report noted that the government’s reforms — including restructuring state-owned enterprises, diversifying income sources, and establishing the Oman Future Fund — have strengthened economic resilience and attracted foreign investment,” ONA reported. 

The agency expects Oman’s real GDP growth to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to over 2 percent annually during 2025–2028, supported by non-oil sector expansion. 

It forecasts Brent crude prices to climb from $60 per barrel in late 2025 to $65 in 2026–2028, with public debt falling from 36 percent of GDP in 2024 to 33 percent by 2028. Inflation is expected to average 1.5 percent, government net assets to remain at 8 percent, and non-oil growth to hold at 2.9 percent annually.  

S&P also noted a small fiscal deficit of 0.5 percent of GDP in 2025, moving to a balanced budget by 2026, with an average current account deficit of 1.9 percent of GDP. 


and South Korea deepen cooperation in innovation and SMEs  

 and South Korea deepen cooperation in innovation and SMEs  
Updated 28 September 2025

and South Korea deepen cooperation in innovation and SMEs  

 and South Korea deepen cooperation in innovation and SMEs  

RIYADH: Saudi-Korean bilateral cooperation in innovation and enterprises is set to flourish after the two nations discussed expansion opportunities in high-potential sectors. 

A meeting between ’s Investment Minister, Khalid Al-Falih, and South Korea’s Minister for SMEs and Startups, Han Seong-suk, in Seoul focused on strategically building entrepreneurial environments and orchestrating efforts to drive SME success.   

Al-Falih also participated in a roundtable with pioneering firms under the Saudi-Korean SME and Entrepreneurship Programme, where companies presented innovations and explored prospects for expanding into the Saudi market across key emerging sectors.  

“The meeting saw discussions on ecosystems for entrepreneurship and coordinating efforts to empower SMEs in high-potential sectors,” Al-Falih said in a post on X.  

This focus on SME and startup collaboration is part of a broader, rapidly expanding partnership between the two nations. The ministers’ meeting coincided with the fifth ministerial meeting of the Saudi-Korean Vision 2030 Committee, which Al-Falih led.  

The committee reviewed progress on joint initiatives, which are now set to be elevated under the oversight of the high-level Strategic Partnership Council, chaired by the Crown Prince.    

“This Strategic Partnership Council affords new vistas in artificial intelligence, smart cities, culture, and innovation, whilst advancing diversification,” Al-Falih added on his X account, inviting Korean enterprises to invest in Vision 2030 opportunities, including Expo 2030 and the 2034 World Cup. 

The growing partnership, which has seen investment licenses jump from 65 in 2016 to 213 today, is built on a foundation of strategic collaborations in diverse fields. 

Recent agreements have paved the way for this enhanced cooperation. Earlier this year, the Saudi Space Agency and the Korean Aerospace Administration signed an MoU to collaborate on deep space technologies, manned flight programs, and satellite launches. 

Furthermore, in August, the Saudi General Court of Audit and South Korea’s Board of Audit and Inspection inked a deal to strengthen cooperation in accounting and auditing practices.  

These collaborations in space, audit, and now SMEs and startups underscore a comprehensive strategic alignment. 

As Al-Falih noted, the partnership with the Republic of Korea has “advanced apace,” encompassing major strategic collaborations with giants like Samsung in advanced technologies and Hyundai in automobile manufacturing.  

The bilateral cooperation between the Kingdom and South Korea also spans the defense sector. In February, the two countries signed a government quality assurance agreement to strengthen defense cooperation and boost their military capabilities and long-term industrial development. 

The deal, signed during the International Defense Exhibition and Conference in Abu Dhabi, underscored growing ties between the two nations in defense and technology. 

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s 2019 visit to South Korea led to the signing of an MoU aimed at strengthening defense and industrial partnerships, focusing on military acquisitions, research, and technology. 

Since then, defense ties between and South Korea have grown through several agreements.