A glance at Ukraine鈥檚 plan aimed at nudging Russia into talks to end the war

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky speaks during a NATO-Ukraine Council Working Dinner at the NATO Headquarters in Brussels on October 17, 2024. (POOL / AFP)
Short Url
  • Zelensky outlined the plan to Ukraine鈥檚 Parliament on Wednesday without disclosing confidential elements that have been presented in private to key allies, including the US

KYIV: Ukraine鈥檚 President Volodymyr Zelensky has partially revealed his five-point plan aimed at prompting Russia to end the war through negotiations. A key element would be a formal invitation into NATO, which Western backers have been reluctant to consider until after the war ends.
Zelensky outlined the plan to Ukraine鈥檚 Parliament on Wednesday without disclosing confidential elements that have been presented in private to key allies, including the United States.
Here鈥檚 what we know:
Invitation to NATO
The plan鈥檚 first section involves formally inviting Ukraine to join NATO in the near future.
While this doesn鈥檛 mean Ukraine would become a member until after the war ends, it would signal a 鈥渢estament of determination鈥� and demonstrate how Western partners view Ukraine within the 鈥渟ecurity architecture,鈥� Zelensky said.
鈥淔or decades, Russia has exploited the geopolitical uncertainty in Europe, particularly the fact that Ukraine is not a NATO member,鈥� Zelensky said. 鈥淭his has tempted Russia to encroach upon our security.鈥�
He described the invitation to join NATO as 鈥渢ruly fundamental for peace鈥� in Ukraine.
NATO partners have been reluctant to invite Ukraine to join while the war is ongoing, and Zelensky鈥檚 request for an invitation puts the military alliance in a difficult position.
Since the onset of the full-scale invasion in 2022, the alliance has faced challenges in finding ways to bring Ukraine closer without formally extending an invitation.
At their summit in Washington in July, NATO鈥檚 32 members declared Ukraine on an 鈥渋rreversible鈥� path to membership. But any decision on offering to start membership talks is not likely before the next summit in the Netherlands in June.

 

 

Defense
The second section, entitled defense, focuses on strengthening Ukraine鈥檚 capability to reclaim territory and 鈥渢o bring the war back to the Russian territory.鈥�
It includes the continuation of military operations in Russia with the aim of strengthening Ukraine鈥檚 ability to repel Russian forces from occupied territories in Ukraine.
It also would involve enhancing air defense and jointly intercepting Russian missiles and drones with neighboring countries along the international border. Ukraine wants to expand the use of Ukrainian drones and missiles, and lift restrictions on using Western-supplied weapons for long-range strikes against military infrastructure inside Russia.
Ukraine also seeks greater access to a broader range of intelligence from allies and real-time satellite data. This section of the plan has confidential elements accessible only to allies with the 鈥渞elevant assistance potential,鈥� Zelensky said.
He said Ukraine has been providing its partners 鈥渨ith a clear justification of what its goals are, how they intend to achieve them, and how much this will reduce Russia鈥檚 ability to continue the war.鈥�
Western partners have been wary of Ukraine using donated weapons in anything but a defensive capacity, for fear of being drawn into the conflict.
Ukraine has long been lobbying for the US to drop its restrictions on using long-range Western weapons to strike deep inside Russia, but the Biden administration鈥檚 red line remained unchanged even after Zelensky鈥檚 recent visit to Washington, D.C.
 




Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky (C) arrives with US Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin (L) NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte(2L) for the NATO-Ukraine Council Working Dinner attended by NATO defense ministers at the NATO Headquarters in Brussels on October 17, 2024. (POOL / AFP)

Deterrence
In the deterrence section of the plan, Ukraine calls for deploying 鈥渁 comprehensive non-nuclear deterrence package on its territory that would be sufficient to protect the country from any military threat posed by Russia.鈥�
Zelensky did not elaborate on the details of such a non-nuclear deterrence, but he said it would be used against specific Russian military targets, meaning that Russia would 鈥渇ace the loss of its war machine.鈥�
He said this capability would limit Russia鈥檚 options for continuing its aggression and prod it into engaging in a fair diplomatic process to resolve the war.
Classified elements of this section have been shared with the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, and Germany, he said. Other countries capable of contributing also would be briefed, Zelensky said.
Economy
The fourth section focuses on developing Ukraine鈥檚 strategic economic potential and strengthening sanctions against Russia.
Zelensky highlighted that Ukraine is rich in natural resources, including critically important metals 鈥渨orth trillions of US dollars,鈥� such as uranium, titanium, lithium, graphite, etc.
鈥淯kraine鈥檚 deposits of critical resources, combined with its globally significant potential in energy and food production, are among Russia鈥檚 key objectives in this war,鈥� he said. But it also 鈥渞epresents our opportunity for growth.鈥�
The economic component of the plan also includes a confidential addendum shared only with selected partners, he said.
鈥淯kraine offers 鈥� a special agreement for the joint protection of Ukraine鈥檚 critical resources, shared investment, and use of its economic potential,鈥� he said. 鈥淭his, too, is peace through strength 鈥� economic strength.鈥�
Post-war period
The fifth section is geared toward the post-war period. Zelensky stated that Ukraine will have a big army of experienced military personnel after the war.
鈥淭hese are our soldiers 鈥� warriors who will possess real experience in modern warfare, successful use of Western weaponry, and extensive interaction with NATO forces,鈥� he said. 鈥淭his Ukrainian experience should be used to strengthen the alliance鈥檚 defense and ensure security in Europe. It鈥檚 a worthy mission for our heroes.鈥�
He also mentioned that, with partners鈥� approval, Ukrainian units could replace certain US military contingents stationed in Europe.