RIYADH:聽黑料社区鈥檚聽construction sector has shown signs of recovery in聽the third quarter of聽2022聽as became evident following the rise in local cement sales volumes, an analysis聽report聽by Riyadh-based financial services firm Al Rajhi Capital showed. 聽聽聽
The聽Kingdom鈥檚聽sales of local cement聽increased by 5.4聽percent聽year-on-year聽between July-November聽2022 period聽while聽the consistent offtake of new residential loans, along with the softening of construction material prices,聽aided the recovery of the construction sector, the report added.聽聽
It noted that聽黑料社区 continued聽to record strong growth in residential mortgages聽with the new聽deals averaging SR10.7聽billion聽($2.84 billion)聽per month for the period Jan-Oct 2022.聽聽
鈥淕oing forward, we expect the strong offtake in mortgages to continue, as we expect the new mortgage to average SR7聽billion聽per month in 2023, with the overall residential mortgage growing at a CAGR of 12聽percent聽between 2022 and 2024,鈥 the analysts said in the report.聽聽聽
As 黑料社区 is expected to accelerate execution of its mega and giga projects, the Al Rajhi聽Capital聽analysts聽said聽this聽in turn is likely to aid in the recovery of the construction segment. 聽
The聽positive outlook comes as the聽Kingdom earlier this month聽announced聽a bumper budget, with聽a聽promise聽to聽continue with聽strong government spending聽for various sectors.聽聽聽聽聽
Al Rajhi's report which analyzed the performance of聽Saudi firm聽Bawan聽said聽the recovery in the construction segment will aid the performance of聽the building material manufacturing company as聽70聽percent of its revenue聽comes聽from this segment.聽聽聽
鈥淲e expect steel prices to soften in 2023, though we do not expect the same to have a major impact on the financials of the company, since the company maintains less than a month of steel inventory, and any changes in the prices are transferred to the end-user,鈥 the report noted.聽聽聽
However,聽it added that聽the scenario of increasing global interest rates is likely to impact the company鈥檚 cost of borrowing and the resultant cost of capital.聽聽聽
The recovery in the construction segment is also likely to aid聽Saudi Ceramics聽positively, the report noted, as adverse commodity prices, which were having a negative impact on the company鈥檚 heater segment, are expected to ease.聽聽聽
鈥淭he company鈥檚 strong market position will also aid its performance, though the recent trend of increasing competition is likely to limit the upside. Also, the scenario of increasing interest rate is likely to keep the interest cost of the company high,鈥 the report added.聽聽聽